Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#113
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#157
Pace64.7#280
Improvement-3.6#330

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#100
First Shot+4.5#65
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#269
Layup/Dunks+1.5#128
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#42
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#161
Freethrows-0.5#208
Improvement-1.8#287

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#179
First Shot-0.9#206
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#112
Layups/Dunks+2.3#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#353
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#248
Freethrows+2.1#49
Improvement-1.7#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 9.7% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.6 13.2
.500 or above 81.5% 85.3% 61.7%
.500 or above in Conference 85.1% 88.7% 66.4%
Conference Champion 4.1% 4.6% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round9.2% 9.7% 6.2%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Home) - 83.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 63 - 7
Quad 36 - 68 - 13
Quad 49 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 161   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 87-68 70%     1 - 0 +16.5 +15.6 +1.5
  Nov 10, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 60-80 37%     1 - 1 -13.5 -4.9 -8.7
  Nov 14, 2024 138   @ Wichita St. L 73-79 45%     1 - 2 -1.6 +3.0 -4.7
  Nov 19, 2024 336   Western Illinois W 82-56 94%     2 - 2 +11.8 +11.3 +3.6
  Nov 28, 2024 65   North Texas L 48-68 30%     2 - 3 -11.6 -15.1 +1.8
  Nov 29, 2024 96   St. Bonaventure L 56-68 41%     2 - 4 -6.6 -7.2 -0.8
  Dec 04, 2024 143   @ Illinois-Chicago W 83-56 45%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +31.2 +22.7 +12.2
  Dec 07, 2024 356   Northern Illinois W 101-57 95%     4 - 4 +27.5 +26.3 +3.4
  Dec 13, 2024 222   Nebraska Omaha W 78-58 81%     5 - 4 +13.9 +6.2 +9.1
  Dec 16, 2024 226   Montana W 104-76 81%     6 - 4 +21.6 +31.4 -8.8
  Dec 21, 2024 85   Washington St. L 68-76 36%     6 - 5 -1.3 +2.5 -4.3
  Dec 29, 2024 190   Southern Illinois W 78-67 75%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +7.0 +8.9 -1.2
  Jan 01, 2025 139   Belmont W 76-70 66%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +4.8 -2.6 +7.2
  Jan 04, 2025 214   @ Valparaiso L 73-80 62%     8 - 6 3 - 1 -7.1 +1.6 -8.9
  Jan 08, 2025 142   Murray St. L 68-71 66%     8 - 7 3 - 2 -4.3 +4.7 -9.4
  Jan 11, 2025 144   @ Illinois St. W 85-84 46%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +5.1 +17.7 -12.5
  Jan 14, 2025 261   Evansville W 73-56 85%     10 - 7 5 - 2 +8.6 -1.6 +9.9
  Jan 18, 2025 190   @ Southern Illinois L 49-73 56%     10 - 8 5 - 3 -22.5 -14.1 -12.2
  Jan 21, 2025 244   Missouri St. W 73-63 84%    
  Jan 25, 2025 213   @ Indiana St. W 81-78 59%    
  Jan 29, 2025 80   @ Drake L 60-67 25%    
  Feb 02, 2025 73   Bradley L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 05, 2025 244   @ Missouri St. W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 08, 2025 144   Illinois St. W 73-69 66%    
  Feb 11, 2025 213   Indiana St. W 83-75 79%    
  Feb 16, 2025 142   @ Murray St. L 68-69 44%    
  Feb 19, 2025 139   @ Belmont L 77-78 44%    
  Feb 23, 2025 80   Drake L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 26, 2025 143   Illinois-Chicago W 76-72 66%    
  Mar 02, 2025 73   @ Bradley L 67-74 25%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.1 0.1 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.7 1.7 0.1 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.8 6.0 9.0 3.3 0.2 19.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 6.0 9.9 3.9 0.3 20.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 5.2 9.0 4.2 0.4 19.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 6.7 3.4 0.3 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.3 1.9 1.8 0.2 4.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.1 1.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.1 9.3 15.3 19.4 20.6 15.5 9.2 3.7 1.2 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 91.7% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
15-5 49.5% 1.8    0.7 0.8 0.4 0.0
14-6 10.0% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 1.2% 35.8% 35.8% 11.7 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.8
15-5 3.7% 18.8% 18.8% 12.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 3.0
14-6 9.2% 17.9% 17.9% 12.4 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 7.6
13-7 15.5% 13.5% 13.5% 12.5 0.0 1.1 0.9 0.1 13.4
12-8 20.6% 8.4% 8.4% 12.7 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.2 18.9
11-9 19.4% 6.7% 6.7% 13.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 18.1
10-10 15.3% 5.6% 5.6% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 14.4
9-11 9.3% 2.9% 2.9% 14.4 0.2 0.1 9.0
8-12 4.1% 1.0% 1.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 4.0
7-13 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 1.3
6-14 0.2% 0.0 0.2
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.4 3.8 3.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 90.8 0.0%