Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#68
Expected Predictive Rating+12.6#43
Pace75.2#39
Improvement+1.0#109

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#93
First Shot+3.7#79
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#219
Layup/Dunks+1.1#135
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#72
Freethrows-0.1#186
Improvement-0.3#197

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#58
First Shot+3.8#73
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#101
Layups/Dunks+0.3#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#116
Freethrows+1.3#94
Improvement+1.3#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 1.0% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.6% 21.0% 10.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.6% 16.6% 7.1%
Average Seed 10.1 10.0 10.3
.500 or above 99.5% 99.9% 99.1%
.500 or above in Conference 91.3% 93.2% 89.5%
Conference Champion 3.7% 4.5% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.9% 8.1% 3.9%
First Round12.4% 16.7% 8.5%
Second Round5.0% 7.0% 3.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 1.9% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington (Away) - 47.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 5
Quad 24 - 46 - 9
Quad 34 - 111 - 10
Quad 412 - 122 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 276   Portland St. W 100-92 93%     1 - 0 -1.1 +8.4 -10.5
  Nov 08, 2024 76   Bradley W 91-74 65%     2 - 0 +21.1 +16.1 +4.7
  Nov 11, 2024 291   Idaho W 90-67 94%     3 - 0 +13.2 +5.2 +6.8
  Nov 15, 2024 43   Iowa L 66-76 38%     3 - 1 +1.1 -10.0 +11.9
  Nov 18, 2024 192   Northern Colorado W 83-69 88%     4 - 1 +9.5 +5.5 +3.8
  Nov 21, 2024 251   Eastern Washington W 96-81 88%     5 - 1 +9.9 +6.8 +1.4
  Nov 26, 2024 256   Fresno St. W 84-73 89%     6 - 1 +5.7 +0.5 +3.7
  Nov 27, 2024 49   SMU L 60-77 41%     6 - 2 -6.7 -2.4 -6.2
  Dec 02, 2024 54   @ Nevada W 68-57 32%     7 - 2 +23.9 +2.7 +21.5
  Dec 07, 2024 58   Boise St. W 74-69 45%     8 - 2 +14.3 +2.9 +11.2
  Dec 14, 2024 191   Missouri St. W 91-78 87%     9 - 2 +8.5 +17.4 -8.8
  Dec 18, 2024 96   @ Washington L 74-75 48%    
  Dec 21, 2024 99   Northern Iowa W 75-72 60%    
  Dec 28, 2024 312   @ Portland W 82-69 89%    
  Dec 30, 2024 189   Loyola Marymount W 76-67 81%    
  Jan 04, 2025 56   San Francisco W 73-72 56%    
  Jan 09, 2025 264   Pacific W 82-65 94%    
  Jan 11, 2025 3   @ Gonzaga L 71-86 8%    
  Jan 16, 2025 315   @ San Diego W 82-68 90%    
  Jan 18, 2025 312   Portland W 85-66 96%    
  Jan 23, 2025 78   @ Santa Clara L 75-77 42%    
  Jan 25, 2025 41   St. Mary's L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 30, 2025 264   @ Pacific W 79-68 83%    
  Feb 01, 2025 56   @ San Francisco L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 06, 2025 67   @ Oregon St. L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 08, 2025 226   Pepperdine W 82-68 90%    
  Feb 15, 2025 41   @ St. Mary's L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 19, 2025 3   Gonzaga L 74-83 20%    
  Feb 22, 2025 78   Santa Clara W 78-74 64%    
  Feb 27, 2025 315   San Diego W 85-65 96%    
  Mar 01, 2025 226   @ Pepperdine W 79-71 77%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 5.8 6.7 2.7 0.5 17.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.5 8.6 7.5 1.8 0.1 20.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.1 9.3 7.3 1.2 0.0 21.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 8.2 5.8 0.9 0.0 18.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.6 3.6 0.5 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.4 5.2 10.0 15.0 18.1 18.2 14.6 9.2 4.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 68.5% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.0
15-3 34.0% 1.4    0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 7.8% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.5 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 96.3% 23.9% 72.4% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.2%
16-2 1.5% 88.5% 20.7% 67.7% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 85.5%
15-3 4.2% 70.5% 15.9% 54.6% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.0 1.2 65.0%
14-4 9.2% 45.1% 10.9% 34.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.0 0.1 5.1 38.4%
13-5 14.6% 24.3% 6.8% 17.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 0.2 11.0 18.7%
12-6 18.2% 11.1% 4.0% 7.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 0.3 16.2 7.5%
11-7 18.1% 4.3% 2.2% 2.1% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 17.4 2.2%
10-8 15.0% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 14.7 0.7%
9-9 10.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9 0.1%
8-10 5.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2 0.0%
7-11 2.4% 2.4
6-12 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.8
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.6% 4.5% 11.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.8 3.5 7.4 0.9 0.0 84.4 11.6%