IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.6	#75
Expected Predictive Rating	+11.4	#34

Pace	72.8	#89
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.3	#50

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.3	#101

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	0.9%	1.6%	0.4%
Top 6 Seed	2.6%	4.5%	1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid	19.7%	28.0%	13.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	14.0%	21.7%	8.9%
Average Seed	9.4	9.1	9.8

.500 or above	93.3%	97.5%	90.4%
.500 or above in Conference	88.4%	92.3%	85.7%
Conference Champion	6.2%	8.0%	4.9%
Last Place in Conference	0.2%	0.1%	0.3%

First Four	5.1%	7.0%	3.8%
First Round	17.1%	24.4%	12.0%
Second Round	8.0%	11.8%	5.3%
Sweet Sixteen	2.8%	4.2%	1.8%
Elite Eight	1.0%	1.6%	0.7%
Final Four	0.4%	0.6%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
National Champion	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Neutral) - 40.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 3	1 - 3
Quad 1b	1 - 2	2 - 5
Quad 2	3 - 3	4 - 8
Quad 3	6 - 2	10 - 10
Quad 4	11 - 1	21 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	209	Portland St.	W	100-92	89%	1 - 0			+2.3	+11.8	-10.6
Nov 08, 2024	90	Bradley	W	91-74	68%	2 - 0			+19.8	+17.9	+1.5
Nov 11, 2024	282	Idaho	W	90-67	93%	3 - 0			+13.7	+7.6	+5.0
Nov 15, 2024	45	Iowa	L	82-85	41%
Nov 18, 2024	192	Northern Colorado	W	85-73	87%
Nov 21, 2024	228	Eastern Washington	W	87-76	84%
Nov 27, 2024	234	Fresno St.	W	83-72	84%
Dec 02, 2024	46	@ Nevada	L	71-76	31%
Dec 07, 2024	47	Boise St.	L	73-75	42%
Dec 14, 2024	195	Missouri St.	W	79-67	87%
Dec 18, 2024	79	@ Washington	L	76-79	40%
Dec 21, 2024	128	Northern Iowa	W	77-72	68%
Dec 28, 2024	307	@ Portland	W	81-69	86%
Dec 30, 2024	164	Loyola Marymount	W	76-68	75%
Jan 04, 2025	69	San Francisco	W	76-73	58%
Jan 09, 2025	284	Pacific	W	85-68	93%
Jan 11, 2025	4	@ Gonzaga	L	73-88	10%
Jan 16, 2025	277	@ San Diego	W	83-72	82%
Jan 18, 2025	307	Portland	W	84-66	94%
Jan 23, 2025	111	@ Santa Clara	W	79-78	52%
Jan 25, 2025	40	St. Mary's	L	72-73	49%
Jan 30, 2025	284	@ Pacific	W	82-71	83%
Feb 01, 2025	69	@ San Francisco	L	73-76	38%
Feb 06, 2025	103	@ Oregon St.	L	71-72	49%
Feb 08, 2025	229	Pepperdine	W	83-69	88%
Feb 15, 2025	40	@ St. Mary's	L	69-75	30%
Feb 19, 2025	4	Gonzaga	L	76-85	23%
Feb 22, 2025	111	Santa Clara	W	82-75	71%
Feb 27, 2025	277	San Diego	W	86-69	92%
Mar 01, 2025	229	@ Pepperdine	W	80-72	74%
Projected Record						20 - 10	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.9	2.1	2.1	0.8	0.1		6.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.9	5.9	7.4	4.3	1.0				20.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.6	3.5	8.3	7.3	2.3	0.2					22.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.8	4.4	8.1	5.1	1.1	0.0						19.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.7	4.0	5.8	3.1	0.5	0.0							14.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.6	2.8	3.7	1.6	0.2									9.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	1.6	1.9	0.7	0.1										4.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	0.9	0.9	0.2	0.0											2.3	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0												0.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0														0.3	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0															0.1	11th

Total		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.7	3.2	5.7	9.2	12.4	15.3	15.8	14.5	10.6	6.6	3.1	0.8	0.1			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.8		0.7	0.2
16-2	68.6%	2.1		1.2	0.9	0.0
15-3	31.6%	2.1		0.7	1.1	0.2	0.0
14-4	8.3%	0.9		0.1	0.4	0.3	0.0
13-5	0.9%	0.1			0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.2%	6.2		2.9	2.6	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		100.0%	51.5%	48.5%	3.3		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0			0.0								100.0%
17-1	0.8%		96.0%	33.2%	62.8%	5.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		94.1%
16-2	3.1%		88.1%	24.3%	63.8%	7.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0					0.4		84.3%
15-3	6.6%		68.3%	19.1%	49.2%	8.9			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.7	0.9	1.0	0.1					2.1		60.8%
14-4	10.6%		46.7%	13.1%	33.6%	10.0					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.7	1.2	2.0	0.3	0.0				5.7		38.7%
13-5	14.5%		26.4%	9.6%	16.8%	10.7							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	2.0	0.6	0.0				10.7		18.6%
12-6	15.8%		10.8%	4.7%	6.1%	11.0								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	0.3	0.0				14.1		6.4%
11-7	15.3%		4.3%	2.4%	1.9%	11.3										0.0	0.0	0.4	0.2	0.0				14.6		1.9%
10-8	12.4%		2.0%	1.6%	0.5%	11.6											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			12.2		0.5%
9-9	9.2%		1.3%	1.0%	0.3%	12.0												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		9.1		0.3%
8-10	5.7%		0.5%	0.4%	0.1%	12.1												0.0	0.0	0.0				5.7		0.1%
7-11	3.2%		0.1%	0.1%		12.0													0.0					3.2
6-12	1.7%																							1.7
5-13	0.6%																							0.6
4-14	0.2%																							0.2
3-15	0.1%																							0.1
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		19.7%	6.5%	13.1%	9.4		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.0	1.2	1.5	2.2	3.5	6.8	1.8	0.1	0.0	0.0		80.3		14.0%