Oregon St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#70
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#84
Pace63.6#307
Improvement-3.0#313

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#53
First Shot+5.2#52
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#168
Layup/Dunks+1.9#115
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#103
Freethrows+1.1#108
Improvement+1.3#103

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#105
First Shot+3.0#87
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#234
Layups/Dunks+1.4#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#224
Freethrows+1.2#99
Improvement-4.2#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 8.7% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.7% 2.9% 1.4%
Average Seed 10.8 10.8 11.0
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.6%
.500 or above in Conference 95.1% 96.5% 83.4%
Conference Champion 3.1% 3.4% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.0% 2.1% 1.4%
First Round7.1% 7.6% 3.5%
Second Round2.1% 2.2% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Home) - 89.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 6
Quad 22 - 34 - 9
Quad 34 - 28 - 11
Quad 413 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 284   Utah Tech W 80-57 94%     1 - 0 +13.1 +2.5 +10.7
  Nov 08, 2024 237   Weber St. W 76-48 91%     2 - 0 +20.9 +4.6 +18.8
  Nov 15, 2024 309   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-51 95%     3 - 0 +7.8 +2.0 +8.3
  Nov 21, 2024 28   Oregon L 75-78 39%     3 - 1 +7.6 +11.5 -4.1
  Nov 25, 2024 65   @ North Texas L 55-58 37%     3 - 2 +8.2 +0.3 +7.3
  Nov 30, 2024 228   UC Davis W 90-57 90%     4 - 2 +26.5 +24.8 +4.0
  Dec 07, 2024 246   Idaho W 78-62 92%     5 - 2 +8.5 +7.3 +3.0
  Dec 14, 2024 60   UC Irvine W 67-55 55%     6 - 2 +18.5 +0.8 +17.6
  Dec 17, 2024 337   Sacramento St. W 82-45 97%     7 - 2 +22.8 +9.4 +15.1
  Dec 22, 2024 127   College of Charleston W 74-65 70%     8 - 2 +11.3 +0.8 +10.3
  Dec 23, 2024 178   Oakland W 80-74 OT 80%     9 - 2 +5.2 +8.6 -3.2
  Dec 25, 2024 52   Nebraska L 66-78 40%     9 - 3 -1.5 +5.2 -7.8
  Dec 30, 2024 308   Portland W 89-79 95%     10 - 3 1 - 0 -1.0 +18.0 -18.1
  Jan 02, 2025 152   @ Loyola Marymount L 61-82 66%     10 - 4 1 - 1 -17.4 -3.4 -15.7
  Jan 04, 2025 290   San Diego W 81-54 94%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +16.8 +10.1 +8.2
  Jan 09, 2025 67   @ Santa Clara L 81-82 OT 38%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +10.1 +6.0 +4.2
  Jan 11, 2025 302   @ Pacific W 91-55 88%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +30.9 +21.1 +12.4
  Jan 16, 2025 14   Gonzaga W 97-89 OT 28%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +21.9 +18.9 +2.3
  Jan 18, 2025 75   @ San Francisco L 70-81 41%     13 - 6 4 - 3 -0.9 +6.9 -8.6
  Jan 23, 2025 203   Pepperdine W 78-65 89%    
  Jan 25, 2025 67   Santa Clara W 75-73 59%    
  Jan 28, 2025 14   @ Gonzaga L 71-83 13%    
  Feb 06, 2025 85   Washington St. W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 13, 2025 308   @ Portland W 79-66 88%    
  Feb 15, 2025 302   Pacific W 81-63 96%    
  Feb 20, 2025 203   @ Pepperdine W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 22, 2025 290   @ San Diego W 78-65 87%    
  Feb 27, 2025 75   San Francisco W 72-69 62%    
  Mar 01, 2025 35   @ St. Mary's L 62-70 23%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.3 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 2.0 6.0 1.5 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.5 12.4 4.8 0.0 19.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 12.5 7.3 0.2 21.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 9.2 10.1 0.6 21.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 6.5 7.9 1.4 16.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.1 0.7 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.8 11.3 19.5 26.6 22.2 11.7 3.5 0.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 56.3% 2.0    0.5 1.1 0.4 0.0
13-5 6.9% 0.8    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 0.7 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.3% 69.0% 17.2% 51.7% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 62.5%
14-4 3.5% 40.3% 18.2% 22.2% 10.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.0 2.1 27.1%
13-5 11.7% 20.8% 13.1% 7.7% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 0.2 9.3 8.8%
12-6 22.2% 9.6% 7.0% 2.6% 11.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 20.1 2.8%
11-7 26.6% 4.2% 3.7% 0.5% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.3 25.5 0.5%
10-8 19.5% 2.9% 2.7% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 18.9 0.2%
9-9 11.3% 1.9% 1.9% 0.1% 11.6 0.1 0.1 11.1 0.1%
8-10 3.8% 2.1% 2.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 3.7
7-11 0.9% 0.9
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.2% 5.6% 2.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 5.0 1.2 0.0 91.8 2.7%