Oregon St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#103
Expected Predictive Rating+5.2#97
Pace63.6#329
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#135
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#81
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 6.9% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.3% 3.6% 0.7%
Average Seed 10.2 10.2 11.0
.500 or above 83.9% 86.4% 64.1%
.500 or above in Conference 74.9% 76.5% 62.6%
Conference Champion 2.9% 3.1% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.8% 1.8%
First Four1.6% 1.7% 0.5%
First Round5.5% 6.0% 1.8%
Second Round2.1% 2.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Home) - 89.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 22 - 33 - 8
Quad 34 - 37 - 10
Quad 411 - 118 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 301   Utah Tech W 80-57 91%     1 - 0 +12.9 +2.9 +10.1
  Nov 08, 2024 233   Weber St. W 76-48 85%     2 - 0 +21.6 +6.4 +17.7
  Nov 15, 2024 262   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-59 89%    
  Nov 21, 2024 39   Oregon L 66-69 39%    
  Nov 25, 2024 73   @ North Texas L 57-63 29%    
  Nov 30, 2024 168   UC Davis W 73-65 77%    
  Dec 07, 2024 282   Idaho W 74-60 90%    
  Dec 14, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 17, 2024 296   Sacramento St. W 69-54 91%    
  Dec 22, 2024 100   College of Charleston L 75-76 49%    
  Dec 30, 2024 307   Portland W 76-61 91%    
  Jan 02, 2025 164   @ Loyola Marymount W 66-64 56%    
  Jan 04, 2025 277   San Diego W 77-63 89%    
  Jan 09, 2025 111   @ Santa Clara L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 11, 2025 284   @ Pacific W 73-65 76%    
  Jan 16, 2025 4   Gonzaga L 68-79 16%    
  Jan 18, 2025 69   @ San Francisco L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 23, 2025 229   Pepperdine W 75-64 83%    
  Jan 25, 2025 111   Santa Clara W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 28, 2025 4   @ Gonzaga L 65-82 7%    
  Feb 06, 2025 75   Washington St. W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 08, 2025 40   St. Mary's L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 13, 2025 307   @ Portland W 73-64 79%    
  Feb 15, 2025 284   Pacific W 76-62 88%    
  Feb 20, 2025 229   @ Pepperdine W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 22, 2025 277   @ San Diego W 74-66 75%    
  Feb 27, 2025 69   San Francisco L 67-68 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 40   @ St. Mary's L 61-70 22%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.8 4.5 2.0 0.4 12.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.4 4.9 1.4 0.1 16.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 4.5 7.3 4.5 0.8 0.0 18.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.3 7.2 3.6 0.4 0.0 17.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.8 5.4 2.0 0.2 0.0 13.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.4 3.4 1.1 0.1 9.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.3 6.7 10.0 12.6 14.3 14.4 12.8 9.6 6.4 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
16-2 66.3% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
15-3 33.0% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 8.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.3 1.2 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 90.5% 36.9% 53.6% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.9%
16-2 1.2% 67.7% 17.5% 50.1% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 60.8%
15-3 3.2% 44.9% 15.1% 29.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.7 35.0%
14-4 6.4% 24.1% 10.3% 13.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.9 15.3%
13-5 9.6% 11.1% 7.0% 4.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 8.6 4.5%
12-6 12.8% 4.9% 4.0% 0.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 12.2 0.9%
11-7 14.4% 2.3% 2.2% 0.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 14.0 0.2%
10-8 14.3% 1.0% 1.0% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.2
9-9 12.6% 0.5% 0.5% 12.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.6
8-10 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0
7-11 6.7% 0.1% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7
6-12 4.3% 4.3
5-13 2.4% 2.4
4-14 1.1% 1.1
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.4% 3.2% 3.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 2.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 93.6 3.3%