IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Oregon St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.1	#123
Expected Predictive Rating	+7.7	#32

Pace	61.4	#346
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.9	#110

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.2	#158

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.5%	3.1%	1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.7%	1.0%	0.2%
Average Seed	10.7	10.5	11.2

.500 or above	65.0%	73.6%	48.3%
.500 or above in Conference	55.2%	60.6%	44.7%
Conference Champion	1.6%	2.0%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	4.1%	2.9%	6.3%

First Four	0.5%	0.7%	0.1%
First Round	2.3%	2.8%	1.3%
Second Round	0.6%	0.8%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Illinois-Chicago (Home) - 66.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 3	2 - 7
Quad 3	6 - 5	7 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 2	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	198	North Dakota St.	W	67-65	76%	1 - 0			-3.3	-5.1	+2.0
Nov 07, 2025	141	Illinois-Chicago	W	72-68	66%
Nov 12, 2025	98	North Texas	W	61-60	52%
Nov 17, 2025	28	@ Oregon	L	61-76	9%
Nov 21, 2025	234	Evansville	W	69-63	71%
Nov 29, 2025	186	California Baptist	W	70-63	73%
Dec 03, 2025	189	Vermont	W	66-59	73%
Dec 06, 2025	276	Southern Utah	W	74-63	83%
Dec 13, 2025	210	Montana St.	W	71-63	75%
Dec 17, 2025	200	Sam Houston St.	W	72-65	73%
Dec 21, 2025	75	@ Arizona St.	L	65-73	24%
Dec 28, 2025	97	Santa Clara	L	70-71	49%
Dec 30, 2025	73	San Francisco	L	67-69	42%
Jan 02, 2026	214	@ Pacific	W	69-67	56%
Jan 04, 2026	146	@ Washington St.	L	72-73	46%
Jan 08, 2026	127	Seattle	W	67-64	61%
Jan 10, 2026	280	@ Portland	W	73-68	68%
Jan 14, 2026	132	Loyola Marymount	W	69-65	62%
Jan 17, 2026	214	Pacific	W	72-64	74%
Jan 21, 2026	49	@ St. Mary's	L	56-68	14%
Jan 28, 2026	132	@ Loyola Marymount	L	66-68	42%
Jan 31, 2026	180	@ San Diego	W	73-72	52%
Feb 04, 2026	146	Washington St.	W	75-70	65%
Feb 07, 2026	14	Gonzaga	L	67-79	16%
Feb 12, 2026	73	@ San Francisco	L	64-72	24%
Feb 15, 2026	127	@ Seattle	L	64-67	41%
Feb 21, 2026	246	Pepperdine	W	75-65	79%
Feb 25, 2026	180	San Diego	W	76-69	71%
Feb 28, 2026	97	@ Santa Clara	L	67-73	31%
Projected Record						16 - 13	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.1		1.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.8	2.0	2.1	1.2	0.3	0.0			6.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.2	4.0	3.3	1.2	0.2	0.0				11.3	3rd
4th									0.0	0.7	3.5	5.2	3.0	0.7	0.0						13.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.7	3.6	5.4	2.6	0.3								12.6	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	3.6	5.2	2.6	0.3	0.0								12.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.9	5.2	2.2	0.3	0.0									10.9	7th
8th						0.3	2.4	4.9	2.3	0.2											10.0	8th
9th					0.3	1.9	4.2	1.9	0.3												8.5	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	1.7	2.8	1.7	0.3	0.0												6.8	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.4	1.8	1.0	0.1	0.0													4.6	11th
12th	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.1															2.0	12th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.9	2.3	4.0	6.1	8.8	10.3	12.0	11.9	12.2	10.4	8.1	6.0	3.6	1.9	0.8	0.3	0.1			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	86.8%	0.2		0.2	0.1
16-2	60.1%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.0
15-3	26.0%	0.5		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	6.8%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	1.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.1%	0.0					0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.6%	1.6		0.6	0.7	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%										0.0	0.0		0.0			0.0							0.0
17-1	0.3%		62.3%	26.4%	35.8%	8.2				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0						0.1		48.7%
16-2	0.8%		42.4%	18.4%	24.1%	9.7					0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.5		29.5%
15-3	1.9%		22.9%	14.1%	8.9%	10.6									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					1.5		10.3%
14-4	3.6%		14.5%	10.2%	4.3%	10.7								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1					3.1		4.8%
13-5	6.0%		6.1%	5.1%	1.1%	11.1											0.0	0.3	0.1	0.0				5.7		1.1%
12-6	8.1%		3.5%	3.4%	0.1%	11.4											0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			7.8		0.1%
11-7	10.4%		2.1%	2.0%	0.0%	11.9												0.1	0.1	0.0				10.2		0.0%
10-8	12.2%		1.0%	1.0%		12.0												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			12.1
9-9	11.9%		0.3%	0.3%		12.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			11.9
8-10	12.0%		0.0%	0.0%		14.0															0.0			12.0
7-11	10.3%		0.0%	0.0%		13.0														0.0				10.3
6-12	8.8%																							8.8
5-13	6.1%																							6.1
4-14	4.0%																							4.0
3-15	2.3%																							2.3
2-16	0.9%																							0.9
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		2.5%	1.8%	0.7%	10.7				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0			97.5		0.7%