Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#167
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#205
Pace78.2#21
Improvement+0.8#131

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#243
First Shot-6.4#343
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#23
Layup/Dunks+2.0#108
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#351
Freethrows-1.5#277
Improvement+0.5#133

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#111
First Shot+1.2#125
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#136
Layups/Dunks-4.7#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#12
Freethrows-1.5#270
Improvement+0.3#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.6% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 14.0
.500 or above 75.8% 84.6% 65.1%
.500 or above in Conference 67.0% 71.5% 61.5%
Conference Champion 2.7% 3.4% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.1% 2.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.7% 4.6% 2.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Home) - 54.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 65 - 9
Quad 412 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 172 Marshall L 72-78 63%     0 - 1 -10.1 -13.2 +4.0
  Sat, Nov 8 330 Albany W 83-62 87%     1 - 1 +7.9 -1.2 +8.0
  Thu, Nov 13 306 Le Moyne W 94-80 83%     2 - 1 +2.9 +4.2 -2.5
  Sun, Nov 16 243 Central Connecticut St. W 84-77 74%     3 - 1 -0.5 +0.9 -2.2
  Fri, Nov 21 175 College of Charleston L 65-69 52%     3 - 2 -5.3 -7.5 +2.0
  Sat, Nov 22 273 Green Bay L 75-79 69%     3 - 3 -9.8 +0.5 -10.5
  Mon, Nov 24 165 Oregon St. W 73-65 49%     4 - 3 +7.4 +3.0 +4.8
  Wed, Dec 3 202 Harvard W 78-71 68%     5 - 3 +1.4 -0.7 +1.8
  Sat, Dec 6 317 Umass Lowell W 80-60 85%     6 - 3 +8.3 -5.6 +12.2
  Wed, Dec 10 145 Boston College W 71-70 55%    
  Sat, Dec 13 101 Florida St. L 78-84 29%    
  Sat, Dec 20 121 Kent St. L 83-84 48%    
  Tue, Dec 30 205 @Eastern Michigan L 72-73 46%    
  Sat, Jan 3 129 Bowling Green W 75-74 50%    
  Tue, Jan 6 190 @Ohio L 79-81 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 310 Ball St. W 77-66 83%    
  Tue, Jan 13 245 @Western Michigan W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 333 @Northern Illinois W 81-74 73%    
  Tue, Jan 20 163 Toledo W 81-78 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 223 @Buffalo W 77-76 50%    
  Tue, Jan 27 112 @Miami (OH) L 76-83 25%    
  Sat, Jan 31 205 Eastern Michigan W 75-70 67%    
  Tue, Feb 3 309 Central Michigan W 80-70 83%    
  Sat, Feb 14 54 @Akron L 77-91 11%    
  Tue, Feb 17 112 Miami (OH) L 79-80 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 223 Buffalo W 80-74 71%    
  Tue, Feb 24 310 @Ball St. W 74-69 66%    
  Sat, Feb 28 129 @Bowling Green L 72-78 30%    
  Tue, Mar 3 190 Ohio W 82-78 65%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.6 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.3 3.1 0.6 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.4 6.1 2.9 0.4 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 6.2 3.1 0.4 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.9 3.7 0.4 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.5 4.1 0.6 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.3 0.9 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.2 1.9 3.5 1.2 0.1 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.5 1.2 0.1 5.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.0 0.1 3.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.5 5.9 9.0 12.2 14.1 14.3 13.2 10.9 7.4 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1
16-2 72.4% 0.5    0.4 0.2
15-3 42.9% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.1
14-4 17.9% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 4.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 18.9% 18.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 22.2% 22.2% 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.0% 16.0% 16.0% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6
14-4 4.2% 10.6% 10.6% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.8
13-5 7.4% 8.3% 8.3% 13.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.8
12-6 10.9% 6.1% 6.1% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.2
11-7 13.2% 4.6% 4.6% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 12.6
10-8 14.3% 3.4% 3.4% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 13.9
9-9 14.1% 2.0% 2.0% 14.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.8
8-10 12.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.0
7-11 9.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.0
6-12 5.9% 5.9
5-13 3.5% 3.5
4-14 1.7% 1.7
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.1 96.3 0.0%