Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#128
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#298
Pace72.2#93
Improvement-1.4#318

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#159
First Shot-1.0#214
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#90
Layup/Dunks+5.0#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#313
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#192
Freethrows-3.1#316
Improvement-1.6#348

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#124
First Shot+0.7#155
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#126
Layups/Dunks+0.6#154
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#184
Freethrows-2.7#312
Improvement+0.2#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.4% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 11.8 12.5
.500 or above 44.7% 57.8% 33.8%
.500 or above in Conference 49.5% 56.7% 43.4%
Conference Champion 3.7% 5.0% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 4.8% 8.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round3.2% 4.3% 2.4%
Second Round0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Neutral) - 45.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 63 - 9
Quad 36 - 69 - 15
Quad 46 - 215 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 341   New Hampshire W 103-74 94%     1 - 0 +14.1 +11.4 -0.7
  Nov 08, 2024 56   @ West Virginia L 69-75 18%     1 - 1 +6.1 +0.2 +6.1
  Nov 13, 2024 87   Louisiana Tech L 66-76 35%     1 - 2 -3.6 -4.3 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2024 134   Hofstra L 71-75 OT 64%     1 - 3 -5.2 -4.0 -1.1
  Nov 23, 2024 114   Temple L 72-73 45%    
  Nov 24, 2024 81   Florida St. L 72-77 33%    
  Nov 27, 2024 244   @ Harvard W 74-71 63%    
  Dec 01, 2024 360   NJIT W 79-59 97%    
  Dec 04, 2024 254   Central Connecticut St. W 75-65 82%    
  Dec 07, 2024 155   Umass Lowell W 79-74 68%    
  Dec 18, 2024 149   Northeastern W 75-70 67%    
  Dec 21, 2024 70   Arizona St. L 72-78 30%    
  Dec 31, 2024 99   @ Saint Joseph's L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 04, 2025 201   Richmond W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 08, 2025 60   Dayton L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 11, 2025 92   @ George Mason L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 15, 2025 162   @ Fordham L 73-74 49%    
  Jan 19, 2025 121   La Salle W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 22, 2025 143   George Washington W 80-76 65%    
  Jan 29, 2025 113   @ Rhode Island L 77-81 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 211   @ Duquesne W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 04, 2025 100   Saint Louis W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 09, 2025 121   @ La Salle L 70-74 38%    
  Feb 12, 2025 131   Davidson W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 115   St. Bonaventure W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 19, 2025 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 67-77 19%    
  Feb 22, 2025 143   @ George Washington L 77-79 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 113   Rhode Island W 80-78 55%    
  Mar 05, 2025 115   @ St. Bonaventure L 69-73 36%    
  Mar 08, 2025 104   Loyola Chicago W 74-73 53%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 2.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.1 3.0 0.6 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 4.1 1.1 0.1 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.5 2.1 0.1 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.5 3.9 0.5 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 4.8 1.3 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.2 2.6 0.2 7.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.1 3.7 0.6 0.0 7.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.8 1.3 0.1 7.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.2 1.6 0.2 6.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.3 14th
15th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.6 15th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.6 4.8 7.3 9.8 11.7 12.7 12.5 11.0 9.3 7.2 4.6 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 93.1% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 74.3% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 41.8% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 15.8% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 44.1% 33.8% 10.3% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.6%
16-2 0.5% 31.7% 22.0% 9.6% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 12.4%
15-3 1.3% 19.3% 17.9% 1.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1.7%
14-4 2.9% 15.8% 15.3% 0.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.6%
13-5 4.6% 11.0% 11.0% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.1 0.1%
12-6 7.2% 8.0% 8.0% 12.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.6
11-7 9.3% 5.9% 5.9% 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.7
10-8 11.0% 2.6% 2.6% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.7
9-9 12.5% 1.7% 1.7% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
8-10 12.7% 0.9% 0.9% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.6
7-11 11.7% 0.4% 0.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7
6-12 9.8% 0.2% 0.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 9.7
5-13 7.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.3
4-14 4.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-15 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.3% 3.2% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 96.7 0.1%