Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#131
Expected Predictive Rating+15.1#18
Pace65.0#309
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#168
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#115
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 19.4% 12.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.7 12.3 13.0
.500 or above 82.2% 92.3% 77.7%
.500 or above in Conference 86.9% 92.2% 84.6%
Conference Champion 19.2% 25.5% 16.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 0.8%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round14.2% 19.3% 12.0%
Second Round2.3% 3.8% 1.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 30.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 36 - 57 - 9
Quad 412 - 319 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 221   Iona W 90-76 77%     1 - 0 +7.9 +10.5 -3.1
  Nov 13, 2024 97   Seton Hall W 49-48 37%     2 - 0 +6.3 -6.6 +13.1
  Nov 16, 2024 109   @ Massachusetts L 68-73 31%    
  Nov 19, 2024 80   @ Florida St. L 66-75 22%    
  Nov 22, 2024 2   @ Houston L 53-74 3%    
  Nov 29, 2024 191   Rice W 68-64 63%    
  Nov 30, 2024 299   Tarleton St. W 72-63 79%    
  Dec 01, 2024 115   Arkansas St. L 70-72 44%    
  Dec 09, 2024 230   @ Norfolk St. W 69-67 57%    
  Dec 15, 2024 112   Temple W 69-68 54%    
  Dec 29, 2024 247   @ Quinnipiac W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 02, 2025 244   William & Mary W 74-65 78%    
  Jan 04, 2025 170   @ Northeastern L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 09, 2025 100   College of Charleston L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 156   UNC Wilmington W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 16, 2025 134   @ Towson L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 20, 2025 137   @ Drexel L 63-66 41%    
  Jan 23, 2025 204   Delaware W 74-67 73%    
  Jan 25, 2025 304   Campbell W 73-61 85%    
  Jan 30, 2025 272   @ Elon W 72-67 65%    
  Feb 01, 2025 304   @ Campbell W 70-64 70%    
  Feb 06, 2025 170   Northeastern W 70-65 68%    
  Feb 08, 2025 287   Stony Brook W 75-64 83%    
  Feb 13, 2025 244   @ William & Mary W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 323   @ Hampton W 73-65 75%    
  Feb 20, 2025 285   Monmouth W 76-65 83%    
  Feb 22, 2025 204   @ Delaware W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 27, 2025 287   @ Stony Brook W 72-67 67%    
  Mar 01, 2025 300   N.C. A&T W 78-66 84%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.5 5.5 5.1 3.1 0.7 19.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.9 6.1 3.5 0.9 0.1 17.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 5.2 5.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 15.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 4.5 4.8 1.5 0.1 12.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.5 4.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.6 1.3 0.1 7.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 2.8 1.5 0.1 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.6 0.2 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 3.5 5.5 7.4 10.0 11.7 13.5 13.3 11.9 9.3 6.0 3.2 0.7 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 98.0% 3.1    2.8 0.3
16-2 85.4% 5.1    3.8 1.2 0.1
15-3 58.8% 5.5    3.0 2.1 0.4 0.0
14-4 29.3% 3.5    1.2 1.5 0.7 0.1
13-5 8.1% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.2% 19.2 11.7 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 58.6% 47.7% 10.8% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 20.7%
17-1 3.2% 45.5% 42.3% 3.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.7 5.5%
16-2 6.0% 35.8% 35.2% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 3.9 0.9%
15-3 9.3% 27.2% 27.0% 0.2% 12.5 0.1 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.8 0.2%
14-4 11.9% 22.0% 21.9% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.0 9.2 0.0%
13-5 13.3% 16.0% 16.0% 13.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 11.1
12-6 13.5% 11.1% 11.1% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 12.0
11-7 11.7% 7.0% 7.0% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.9
10-8 10.0% 3.9% 3.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.6
9-9 7.4% 2.5% 2.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.2
8-10 5.5% 2.1% 2.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.4
7-11 3.5% 0.9% 0.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 3.5
6-12 2.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.1
5-13 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 14.4% 14.1% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 4.9 4.5 2.5 0.8 0.2 85.7 0.3%