Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#137
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#160
Pace62.5#347
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#182
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#113
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.2% 15.5% 10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.0 13.5
.500 or above 78.5% 86.3% 68.1%
.500 or above in Conference 84.8% 88.6% 79.8%
Conference Champion 18.4% 22.3% 13.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 1.2%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round13.1% 15.4% 10.0%
Second Round1.8% 2.4% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Home) - 57.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 56 - 8
Quad 412 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 172   Colgate W 73-56 68%     1 - 0 +13.4 +3.8 +10.6
  Nov 12, 2024 112   @ Temple L 61-69 30%     1 - 1 -1.2 -3.5 +1.6
  Nov 16, 2024 127   La Salle W 67-65 57%    
  Nov 19, 2024 258   @ Fairfield W 67-64 63%    
  Nov 22, 2024 159   @ Fordham L 65-67 42%    
  Nov 25, 2024 150   Purdue Fort Wayne W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 02, 2024 193   Bryant W 76-70 71%    
  Dec 14, 2024 253   @ Albany W 75-72 60%    
  Dec 17, 2024 246   @ Howard W 70-68 59%    
  Dec 21, 2024 36   Penn St. L 67-74 27%    
  Jan 02, 2025 304   @ Campbell W 68-62 69%    
  Jan 04, 2025 300   @ N.C. A&T W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 09, 2025 287   @ Stony Brook W 70-65 67%    
  Jan 11, 2025 134   Towson W 65-62 59%    
  Jan 16, 2025 272   Elon W 72-62 81%    
  Jan 20, 2025 131   Hofstra W 66-63 59%    
  Jan 23, 2025 170   @ Northeastern L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 204   Delaware W 72-65 72%    
  Jan 30, 2025 285   @ Monmouth W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 01, 2025 134   @ Towson L 62-65 39%    
  Feb 06, 2025 244   William & Mary W 72-64 76%    
  Feb 08, 2025 156   UNC Wilmington W 70-66 62%    
  Feb 13, 2025 323   @ Hampton W 71-64 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 244   @ William & Mary W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 20, 2025 204   @ Delaware W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 100   College of Charleston L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 27, 2025 323   Hampton W 74-61 87%    
  Mar 01, 2025 285   Monmouth W 74-63 82%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.3 5.4 4.9 2.8 0.8 18.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.8 5.8 3.1 0.7 0.1 16.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 4.8 5.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.4 4.7 1.5 0.1 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.3 1.4 0.1 10.0 5th
6th 0.3 2.2 3.7 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.6 8th
9th 0.3 1.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.0 6.1 7.7 10.2 11.9 13.0 12.9 11.2 8.7 5.6 2.9 0.8 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
17-1 98.2% 2.8    2.5 0.3
16-2 88.0% 4.9    3.6 1.2 0.1
15-3 61.7% 5.4    2.9 2.1 0.4 0.0
14-4 29.3% 3.3    1.1 1.4 0.7 0.1
13-5 7.8% 1.0    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.4% 18.4 11.0 5.4 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.8% 48.2% 43.4% 4.8% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 8.5%
17-1 2.9% 43.4% 42.5% 0.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 1.6%
16-2 5.6% 34.0% 34.0% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.7 0.1%
15-3 8.7% 27.9% 27.9% 12.8 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 6.3
14-4 11.2% 20.4% 20.4% 13.3 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.1 8.9
13-5 12.9% 15.4% 15.4% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 10.9
12-6 13.0% 11.0% 11.0% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 11.5
11-7 11.9% 6.5% 6.5% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 11.1
10-8 10.2% 3.8% 3.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.8
9-9 7.7% 2.5% 2.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.5
8-10 6.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0
7-11 4.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 3.9
6-12 2.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.2% 13.1% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.0 4.2 3.2 1.6 0.3 86.9 0.1%