Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#153
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#176
Pace62.0#342
Improvement-0.1#200

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#178
First Shot-2.7#253
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#50
Layup/Dunks+2.7#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#189
Freethrows-4.2#354
Improvement-0.1#182

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#150
First Shot-1.3#213
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#58
Layups/Dunks-4.3#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#131
Freethrows+1.3#92
Improvement-0.1#194
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.8% 13.4% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.1
.500 or above 85.1% 91.0% 76.3%
.500 or above in Conference 83.5% 86.3% 79.2%
Conference Champion 17.5% 19.9% 14.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.7% 1.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round11.7% 13.4% 9.2%
Second Round0.9% 1.1% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Away) - 59.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 35 - 66 - 8
Quad 414 - 519 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 224   Colgate W 73-56 74%     1 - 0 +10.7 +1.3 +10.4
  Nov 12, 2024 118   @ Temple L 61-69 30%     1 - 1 -2.1 -3.1 +0.2
  Nov 16, 2024 155   La Salle L 68-71 62%     1 - 2 -5.7 -5.2 -0.6
  Nov 19, 2024 292   @ Fairfield W 67-61 66%     2 - 2 +2.2 -3.3 +6.1
  Nov 22, 2024 172   @ Fordham W 73-71 43%     3 - 2 +4.2 +8.4 -4.0
  Nov 25, 2024 152   Purdue Fort Wayne L 81-87 50%     3 - 3 -5.7 +11.6 -17.7
  Nov 26, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 83-71 91%     4 - 3 -2.2 +12.0 -13.2
  Dec 02, 2024 176   Bryant L 73-78 66%     4 - 4 -8.8 -3.0 -5.8
  Dec 07, 2024 284   Penn W 60-47 75%     5 - 4 +6.4 -12.6 +20.0
  Dec 14, 2024 248   @ Albany W 77-70 58%     6 - 4 +5.2 +5.4 +0.1
  Dec 17, 2024 254   @ Howard W 72-69 60%    
  Dec 21, 2024 31   Penn St. L 67-76 18%    
  Jan 02, 2025 269   @ Campbell W 67-64 61%    
  Jan 04, 2025 313   @ N.C. A&T W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 09, 2025 309   @ Stony Brook W 70-65 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 209   Towson W 64-58 70%    
  Jan 16, 2025 149   Elon W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 20, 2025 156   Hofstra W 65-62 62%    
  Jan 23, 2025 158   @ Northeastern L 65-68 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 207   Delaware W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 30, 2025 273   @ Monmouth W 69-66 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 209   @ Towson L 61-62 49%    
  Feb 06, 2025 225   William & Mary W 78-71 72%    
  Feb 08, 2025 142   UNC Wilmington W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 13, 2025 270   @ Hampton W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 225   @ William & Mary W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 20, 2025 207   @ Delaware L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 122   College of Charleston W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 27, 2025 270   Hampton W 70-61 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 273   Monmouth W 72-63 79%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.9 5.0 3.0 1.1 0.2 17.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.9 3.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 15.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.0 6.2 3.2 0.6 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 5.7 3.3 0.5 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.6 3.7 0.6 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 4.3 1.0 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 3.8 1.5 0.1 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.5 2.1 0.2 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.9 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.7 4.6 7.1 9.9 12.7 14.1 14.3 12.3 9.5 6.2 3.1 1.1 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.6% 1.1    1.1 0.0
16-2 95.5% 3.0    2.6 0.4 0.0
15-3 81.6% 5.0    3.4 1.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 52.1% 4.9    2.2 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.3% 2.6    0.6 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.9% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.5% 17.5 10.1 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 40.0% 38.9% 1.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7%
17-1 1.1% 34.4% 34.4% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
16-2 3.1% 30.6% 30.6% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.2
15-3 6.2% 25.5% 25.5% 13.2 0.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 4.6
14-4 9.5% 21.3% 21.3% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.5
13-5 12.3% 17.0% 17.0% 13.9 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 10.2
12-6 14.3% 13.8% 13.8% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.0 12.4
11-7 14.1% 8.9% 8.9% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 12.8
10-8 12.7% 5.4% 5.4% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 12.0
9-9 9.9% 4.1% 4.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.5
8-10 7.1% 2.8% 2.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.0
7-11 4.6% 1.7% 1.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 4.5
6-12 2.7% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.6
5-13 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
4-14 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.8% 11.7% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 4.5 2.6 0.4 88.3 0.0%