Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#193
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#212
Pace61.6#345
Improvement-1.9#269

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#230
First Shot-4.3#296
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#65
Layup/Dunks+0.6#154
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#214
Freethrows-4.2#358
Improvement-2.3#305

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#140
First Shot+0.8#154
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#179
Layups/Dunks-4.0#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#88
Freethrows+2.1#48
Improvement+0.4#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 7.3% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 69.3% 79.5% 55.3%
.500 or above in Conference 58.1% 69.4% 42.6%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.2% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round6.0% 7.2% 4.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 57.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 34 - 84 - 10
Quad 413 - 517 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 198   Colgate W 73-56 62%     1 - 0 +12.6 +2.9 +10.7
  Nov 12, 2024 110   @ Temple L 61-69 24%     1 - 1 -2.1 -4.2 +1.4
  Nov 16, 2024 191   La Salle L 68-71 60%     1 - 2 -7.1 -5.6 -1.5
  Nov 19, 2024 318   @ Fairfield W 67-61 68%     2 - 2 -0.3 -4.0 +4.3
  Nov 22, 2024 221   @ Fordham W 73-71 47%     3 - 2 +1.4 +6.9 -5.3
  Nov 25, 2024 145   Purdue Fort Wayne L 81-87 40%     3 - 3 -4.7 +12.5 -17.7
  Nov 26, 2024 357   Chicago St. W 83-71 88%     4 - 3 -2.1 +13.4 -14.6
  Dec 02, 2024 157   Bryant L 73-78 54%     4 - 4 -7.3 -1.3 -6.0
  Dec 07, 2024 287   Penn W 60-47 71%     5 - 4 +5.8 -12.7 +19.5
  Dec 14, 2024 260   @ Albany W 77-70 56%     6 - 4 +4.1 +5.3 -0.8
  Dec 17, 2024 281   @ Howard W 68-65 61%     7 - 4 -1.2 -8.2 +7.2
  Dec 21, 2024 51   Penn St. L 64-75 19%     7 - 5 -3.2 +0.2 -4.4
  Jan 02, 2025 252   @ Campbell L 54-57 54%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -5.4 -17.2 +11.8
  Jan 04, 2025 323   @ N.C. A&T W 68-59 69%     8 - 6 1 - 1 +2.4 -7.0 +9.6
  Jan 09, 2025 320   @ Stony Brook W 67-51 69%     9 - 6 2 - 1 +9.5 +8.2 +5.6
  Jan 11, 2025 176   Towson L 82-93 OT 58%     9 - 7 2 - 2 -14.4 +4.3 -18.0
  Jan 16, 2025 158   Elon L 54-65 54%     9 - 8 2 - 3 -13.4 -9.3 -6.5
  Jan 20, 2025 174   Hofstra W 61-59 58%    
  Jan 23, 2025 200   @ Northeastern L 66-68 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 196   Delaware W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 30, 2025 267   @ Monmouth W 67-65 56%    
  Feb 01, 2025 176   @ Towson L 59-63 37%    
  Feb 06, 2025 189   William & Mary W 75-72 61%    
  Feb 08, 2025 141   UNC Wilmington L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 13, 2025 256   @ Hampton W 64-63 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 189   @ William & Mary L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 20, 2025 196   @ Delaware L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 22, 2025 127   College of Charleston L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 27, 2025 256   Hampton W 67-60 74%    
  Mar 01, 2025 267   Monmouth W 70-63 76%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.2 2.2 1st
2nd 0.3 1.9 1.3 0.3 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 2.7 0.5 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 4.7 1.5 0.1 7.6 4th
5th 0.4 4.7 3.6 0.3 9.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 6.5 1.1 10.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 7.5 3.6 0.1 12.4 7th
8th 0.4 5.4 6.4 0.5 12.6 8th
9th 0.2 2.8 7.1 1.8 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 5.5 3.0 0.2 10.2 10th
11th 0.8 3.5 3.0 0.5 7.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.3 0.6 5.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.3 7.6 12.4 17.2 18.9 16.5 11.8 6.7 3.0 1.0 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
14-4 71.0% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.1
13-5 34.2% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.9% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 1.0% 21.0% 21.0% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-5 3.0% 19.7% 19.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 2.4
12-6 6.7% 15.5% 15.5% 14.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 5.7
11-7 11.8% 11.7% 11.7% 14.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 10.4
10-8 16.5% 6.5% 6.5% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 15.4
9-9 18.9% 4.2% 4.2% 14.9 0.2 0.5 0.1 18.2
8-10 17.2% 3.0% 3.0% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 16.7
7-11 12.4% 2.3% 2.3% 15.4 0.2 0.1 12.1
6-12 7.6% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.4
5-13 3.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.3
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 2.7 0.8 93.9 0.0%