Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#256
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#282
Pace62.7#340
Improvement+1.6#62

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#250
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#326
Layup/Dunks+1.1#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#294
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#99
Freethrows-2.2#302
Improvement+0.8#113

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#244
First Shot-3.0#282
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#132
Layups/Dunks-0.4#190
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#88
Freethrows-2.8#320
Improvement+0.8#117
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.5% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 21.5% 30.8% 13.6%
.500 or above in Conference 26.3% 31.2% 22.0%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 15.2% 12.1% 17.9%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Neutral) - 46.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 93 - 12
Quad 410 - 713 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 184 @Saint Joseph's L 65-76 26%     0 - 1 -9.7 -6.9 -2.6
  Tue, Nov 11 176 @Colgate L 83-90 25%     0 - 2 -5.3 +11.3 -16.7
  Sat, Nov 15 61 Syracuse L 50-80 9%     0 - 3 -20.9 -12.7 -10.7
  Tue, Nov 18 351 NJIT W 75-43 82%     1 - 3 +16.7 -2.4 +19.2
  Fri, Nov 21 240 Penn L 68-84 58%     1 - 4 -23.5 -7.3 -16.9
  Sun, Nov 23 220 Old Dominion W 75-71 55%     2 - 4 -2.6 +2.7 -5.1
  Tue, Nov 25 359 @Morgan St. W 71-66 71%     3 - 4 -6.2 -2.2 -3.6
  Wed, Dec 3 250 @American L 73-75 37%     3 - 5 -3.9 +3.7 -7.7
  Sat, Dec 6 229 La Salle L 66-67 46%    
  Tue, Dec 16 315 Howard W 73-67 71%    
  Fri, Dec 19 307 Mount St. Mary's W 72-66 70%    
  Sun, Dec 21 326 Maine W 66-59 74%    
  Mon, Dec 29 180 @College of Charleston L 66-73 26%    
  Wed, Dec 31 109 @UNC Wilmington L 61-73 12%    
  Sat, Jan 3 136 Hofstra L 65-69 35%    
  Thu, Jan 8 222 Stony Brook W 68-67 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 118 William & Mary L 72-78 31%    
  Thu, Jan 15 205 @Monmouth L 66-72 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 129 @Towson L 60-71 16%    
  Sat, Jan 17 227 Northeastern W 70-68 56%    
  Thu, Jan 29 212 Hampton W 68-67 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 323 N.C. A&T W 73-66 73%    
  Thu, Feb 5 224 @Campbell L 69-74 34%    
  Sat, Feb 7 223 @Elon L 72-77 34%    
  Thu, Feb 12 205 Monmouth W 69-68 51%    
  Mon, Feb 16 222 @Stony Brook L 65-70 34%    
  Thu, Feb 19 227 @Northeastern L 67-71 35%    
  Sat, Feb 21 129 Towson L 63-68 33%    
  Thu, Feb 26 224 Campbell W 72-71 55%    
  Tue, Mar 3 136 @Hofstra L 62-72 18%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.8 0.5 0.1 4.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 3.0 1.1 0.1 6.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 4.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.4 3.2 0.3 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.9 4.6 0.8 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.5 1.8 0.1 11.0 9th
10th 0.2 2.6 6.3 3.0 0.2 12.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.4 3.6 0.6 0.0 12.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 3.0 5.1 3.7 0.7 0.0 13.4 12th
13th 0.2 0.9 2.2 2.8 1.9 0.5 0.0 8.6 13th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.1 6.2 9.5 12.5 14.4 14.2 12.7 10.1 6.9 4.5 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 86.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 50.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 18.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 21.1% 21.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.6% 15.0% 15.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.3% 9.7% 9.7% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
12-6 2.6% 6.8% 6.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.4
11-7 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.3
10-8 6.9% 3.0% 3.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.7
9-9 10.1% 1.0% 1.0% 15.5 0.1 0.0 10.0
8-10 12.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.6
7-11 14.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.1
6-12 14.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.3
5-13 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.5
4-14 9.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.5
3-15 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 98.8 0.0%