Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.7 #203
Expected Predictive Rating -5.4 #248
Pace 60.9 #355
Improvement +7.7 #3

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #277 C D+ F F C
Defense #130 C+ C- C- C- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #198 1.06 #288 -2.2 #260
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #203 0.67 #306 -1.5 #255
Three Pointers 43% #137 1.16 #23 +4.2 #52
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #164 +0.5 #164
Freethrows 15.0 #313 65% #355 9.8 #342
Second Chance 31.0% #171 0.88 #349 0.27 #274
Turnovers 19.1% #329
Total Offense -3.7 #277

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #148 1.14 #154 -0.4 #190
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #70 0.76 #185 -1.5 #299
Three Pointers 36% #311 0.95 #96 +3.8 #46
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #123 +1.9 #123
Freethrows 18.5 #227 74% #274 13.7 #250
Second Chance 32.2% #254 1.07 #227 0.34 #247
Turnovers 15.5% #240
Total Defense +1.1 #130

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.3% #173 -0.7% #103
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.8% #163 -3.0% #128
Possession Length 19.6 #350 17.2 #154
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #248 0.20 #273
Improvement +0.5 #155 +7.2 #1

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.2% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 29.1% 35.7% 13.7%
.500 or above in Conference 55.4% 64.6% 34.1%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.8% 4.9%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.8%
First Round3.5% 4.0% 2.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Home) - 69.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 94 - 12
Quad 411 - 515 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 159 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 76 29% -1  0 - 1 -8 -5 F B D- -3 B A- F
 Tue, Nov 11 199 @Colgate L 83 - 90 38% -7  0 - 2 -7 +10 A+ C- D -16 F D+ A-
 Sat, Nov 15 67 Syracuse L 50 - 80 15% -10  0 - 3 -22 -14 D+ F F -10 C D F
 Tue, Nov 18 336 NJIT W 75 - 43 86% +13  1 - 3 +18 -3 C- D C +21 A+ A A+
 Fri, Nov 21 182 Penn L 68 - 84 57% -9  1 - 4 -20 -5 F C- B- -16 D+ F C
 Sun, Nov 23 240 Old Dominion W 75 - 71 68% +1  2 - 4 -3 +4 B- B- D -7 C- D+ D
 Tue, Nov 25 360 @Morgan St. W 71 - 66 83% +7  3 - 4 -8 -3 D F F -4 D A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 224 @American L 73 - 75 42% +1  3 - 5 -3 +4 A- F B+ -7 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 197 La Salle L 64 - 69 49% -8  3 - 6 -8 -6 F A C -2 D+ C F
 Tue, Dec 16 265 Howard L 66 - 74 72% -7  3 - 7 -17 -5 C F D- -12 F F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 288 Mount St. Mary's W 75 - 67 77% +11  4 - 7 -2 -2 A+ D+ F -0 D- D- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 341 Maine W 74 - 56 86% +9  5 - 7 +3 +16 A+ D- F -9 C F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 164 @College of Charleston L 63 - 72 30% +1  5 - 8 0 - 1 -6 -2 C D- F -6 F F B-
 Wed, Dec 31 125 @UNC Wilmington L 53 - 65 22% -8  5 - 9 0 - 2 -7 -8 F B F -1 A- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 126 Hofstra L 67 - 70 43% -8  5 - 10 0 - 3 -4 +4 C D A+ -9 C F D
 Thu, Jan 8 242 Stony Brook W 56 - 37 68% +7  6 - 10 1 - 3 +12 -8 F A F +24 A+ D- D-
 Sat, Jan 10 138 William & Mary W 64 - 58 46% +5  7 - 10 2 - 3 +4 -5 A+ F F +10 A+ A+ B-
 Thu, Jan 15 202 @Monmouth W 73 - 51 38% +14  8 - 10 3 - 3 +22 +16 A+ A+ F +11 A C+ A+
 Mon, Jan 19 157 @Towson L 58 - 59 29% +7  8 - 11 3 - 4 +2 -4 A F F +6 A+ D- C
 Sat, Jan 24 259 Northeastern W 74 - 68 70%
 Thu, Jan 29 230 Hampton W 66 - 62 65%
 Sat, Jan 31 304 N.C. A&T W 73 - 65 79%
 Thu, Feb 5 190 @Campbell L 69 - 73 36%
 Sat, Feb 7 184 @Elon L 68 - 72 36%
 Thu, Feb 12 202 Monmouth W 66 - 63 61%
 Mon, Feb 16 242 @Stony Brook L 64 - 65 46%
 Thu, Feb 19 259 @Northeastern L 71 - 72 49%
 Sat, Feb 21 157 Towson W 62 - 61 51%
 Thu, Feb 26 190 Campbell W 72 - 70 58%
 Tue, Mar 3 126 @Hofstra L 62 - 70 23%
Totals 14 - 16 9 - 9 -3 -4 C D+ F +1 C+ C- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 1.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 2.2 0.7 0.1 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 4.3 1.4 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.3 5.1 3.4 0.2 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 2.7 7.4 1.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.5 7.4 3.2 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 3.1 7.5 0.5 11.2 7th
8th 0.8 7.3 2.9 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.1 3.8 6.5 0.4 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.7 6.2 2.0 0.0 9.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 4.1 2.9 0.1 8.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.7 0.2 4.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 13th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.7 7.7 13.9 19.5 21.3 17.8 10.3 4.5 1.3 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 73.2% 0.2    0.1 0.0
13-5 44.7% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 14.6% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.2% 14.6% 14.6% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.3% 14.5% 14.5% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1
12-6 4.5% 11.0% 11.0% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.0
11-7 10.3% 8.4% 8.4% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 9.4
10-8 17.8% 4.7% 4.7% 15.2 0.0 0.6 0.2 17.0
9-9 21.3% 2.9% 2.9% 15.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 20.7
8-10 19.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 19.1
7-11 13.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.7
6-12 7.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.6
5-13 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.7
4-14 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.1 96.3 0.0%