IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.2	#236
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.5	#283
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.9	#259

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.3	#207

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	5.3%	2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	13.7	14.3

.500 or above	42.6%	59.6%	33.5%
.500 or above in Conference	45.9%	56.2%	40.4%
Conference Champion	4.0%	5.9%	3.0%
Last Place in Conference	7.0%	4.1%	8.6%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	3.7%	5.3%	2.9%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Away) - 34.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 7	3 - 11
Quad 4	11 - 6	14 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	214	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	68-72	35%
Nov 11, 2025	46	@ Virginia	L	52-71	4%
Nov 14, 2025	168	@ Brown	L	62-68	28%
Nov 16, 2025	352	Holy Cross	W	71-63	77%
Nov 18, 2025	100	@ Boston College	L	62-74	13%
Nov 21, 2025	251	@ Norfolk St.	L	66-68	42%
Nov 25, 2025	360	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	69-61	77%
Dec 03, 2025	317	Loyola Maryland	W	71-63	74%
Dec 13, 2025	324	Howard	W	74-69	68%
Dec 18, 2025	238	Jackson St.	W	69-68	50%
Dec 19, 2025	283	Grambling St.	W	64-61	59%
Dec 29, 2025	288	Stony Brook	W	69-63	69%
Dec 31, 2025	131	Towson	L	63-66	39%
Jan 03, 2026	118	@ UNC Wilmington	L	62-72	20%
Jan 08, 2026	203	@ Campbell	L	64-69	34%
Jan 10, 2026	123	@ College of Charleston	L	67-76	21%
Jan 19, 2026	351	N.C. A&T	W	75-64	82%
Jan 22, 2026	211	Monmouth	W	69-67	56%
Jan 24, 2026	118	UNC Wilmington	L	65-69	37%
Jan 29, 2026	227	@ Drexel	L	60-64	39%
Jan 31, 2026	131	@ Towson	L	60-69	22%
Feb 05, 2026	228	Elon	W	67-65	58%
Feb 07, 2026	229	William & Mary	W	75-73	58%
Feb 13, 2026	351	N.C. A&T	W	74-66	75%
Feb 19, 2026	178	@ Hofstra	L	59-65	31%
Feb 21, 2026	288	@ Stony Brook	L	65-66	50%
Feb 26, 2026	123	College of Charleston	L	70-73	39%
Feb 28, 2026	226	Northeastern	W	69-67	57%
Mar 03, 2026	229	@ William & Mary	L	72-76	38%
Projected Record						14 - 15	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.2	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0		4.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.3	2.0	1.2	0.4	0.1				5.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.9	2.8	1.3	0.2	0.0					6.5	3rd
4th										0.2	1.9	3.6	1.8	0.2	0.0						7.7	4th
5th									0.1	1.6	4.2	2.3	0.3	0.0							8.5	5th
6th								0.1	1.1	4.0	3.1	0.6	0.0								8.9	6th
7th							0.0	0.9	4.0	4.1	0.8	0.0									9.8	7th
8th						0.0	0.6	3.3	4.9	1.2	0.1										10.1	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	2.7	4.5	2.0	0.1											9.8	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	2.5	4.4	2.2	0.3	0.0											9.9	10th
11th			0.0	0.4	2.1	3.8	2.0	0.3	0.0												8.7	11th
12th		0.0	0.5	1.9	2.6	1.5	0.3	0.0													6.9	12th
13th	0.1	0.7	1.2	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0														3.9	13th

Total	0.1	0.8	1.8	3.5	5.8	8.3	10.1	11.3	12.5	11.4	10.2	8.6	6.4	4.2	2.6	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	91.9%	0.7		0.6	0.1	0.0
15-3	74.6%	1.1		0.8	0.3	0.1
14-4	44.5%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	14.5%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.0%	4.0		2.2	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		18.0%	18.0%		9.5								0.0					0.0					0.0
17-1	0.2%		42.4%	42.4%		11.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
16-2	0.7%		29.3%	29.3%		12.5												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.5
15-3	1.5%		22.4%	22.4%		13.1												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		1.2
14-4	2.6%		19.4%	19.4%		13.2												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0		2.1
13-5	4.2%		14.5%	14.5%		13.9													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	3.6
12-6	6.4%		10.0%	10.0%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	5.7
11-7	8.6%		5.9%	5.9%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	8.1
10-8	10.2%		4.1%	4.1%		16.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	9.8
9-9	11.4%		1.5%	1.5%		17.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	11.2
8-10	12.5%		0.8%	0.8%		18.2															0.0	0.0	0.1	12.4
7-11	11.3%		0.5%	0.5%		15.9																0.0	0.0	11.2
6-12	10.1%		0.4%	0.4%		19.1																0.0	0.0	10.1
5-13	8.3%		0.2%	0.2%		20.0																	0.0	8.3
4-14	5.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.8
3-15	3.5%																							3.5
2-16	1.8%																							1.8
1-17	0.8%																							0.8
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		3.7%	3.7%	0.0%	14.4								0.0			0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.1	0.9	0.5	96.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%