Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#208
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#252
Pace64.8#301
Improvement+2.1#50

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#211
First Shot-1.9#223
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#161
Layup/Dunks-5.0#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#212
Freethrows+1.6#92
Improvement+1.4#71

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#221
First Shot+1.0#136
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#318
Layups/Dunks-2.8#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#36
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#49
Freethrows-2.5#319
Improvement+0.6#138
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 3.1% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 33.5% 39.9% 19.3%
.500 or above in Conference 41.9% 45.4% 34.2%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.0% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 7.9% 12.3%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round2.7% 3.0% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Neutral) - 68.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 74 - 11
Quad 410 - 614 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 219 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86-90 40%     0 - 1 -4.7 +1.8 -6.0
  Tue, Nov 11 23 @Virginia L 53-91 4%     0 - 2 -20.1 -11.2 -10.5
  Fri, Nov 14 226 @Brown W 72-63 41%     1 - 2 +8.2 +10.0 -1.0
  Sun, Nov 16 286 Holy Cross L 61-67 65%     1 - 3 -13.1 -4.4 -9.8
  Tue, Nov 18 145 @Boston College L 52-63 25%     1 - 4 -7.0 -11.6 +3.7
  Fri, Nov 21 218 @Norfolk St. L 60-62 40%     1 - 5 -2.6 -1.7 -1.2
  Tue, Nov 25 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-68 71%     2 - 5 -2.8 +9.9 -11.8
  Wed, Dec 3 321 Loyola Maryland W 93-71 80%     3 - 5 +9.9 +9.0 -0.1
  Sat, Dec 13 313 Howard W 75-70 69%    
  Thu, Dec 18 312 Jackson St. W 72-67 69%    
  Fri, Dec 19 284 Grambling St. W 69-66 63%    
  Mon, Dec 29 221 Stony Brook W 71-67 63%    
  Wed, Dec 31 125 Towson L 65-68 41%    
  Sat, Jan 3 109 @UNC Wilmington L 64-74 18%    
  Thu, Jan 8 217 @Campbell L 72-75 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 175 @College of Charleston L 69-74 32%    
  Mon, Jan 19 299 N.C. A&T W 75-68 75%    
  Thu, Jan 22 207 Monmouth W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 109 UNC Wilmington L 67-71 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 267 @Drexel L 67-68 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 125 @Towson L 62-71 22%    
  Thu, Feb 5 184 Elon W 76-74 55%    
  Sat, Feb 7 119 William & Mary L 76-79 38%    
  Fri, Feb 13 299 N.C. A&T W 73-69 65%    
  Thu, Feb 19 139 @Hofstra L 64-72 24%    
  Sat, Feb 21 221 @Stony Brook L 68-70 41%    
  Thu, Feb 26 175 College of Charleston W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Feb 28 228 Northeastern W 73-69 62%    
  Tue, Mar 3 119 @William & Mary L 73-82 21%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.2 0.7 0.1 5.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.4 0.9 0.1 7.3 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 4.6 1.5 0.1 8.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.1 2.3 0.2 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.8 4.1 0.5 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.1 1.1 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.6 1.9 0.1 10.5 9th
10th 0.2 1.8 4.6 2.8 0.2 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 2.3 0.7 0.0 7.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.0 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.9 5.8 8.6 11.5 13.6 14.0 13.2 10.6 8.0 5.3 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 98.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 88.7% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 62.0% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 22.9% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 6.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 19.4% 19.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.6% 26.8% 26.8% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.4% 16.0% 16.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
13-5 2.8% 12.7% 12.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.4
12-6 5.3% 9.6% 9.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.8
11-7 8.0% 6.1% 6.1% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 7.5
10-8 10.6% 4.0% 4.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 10.1
9-9 13.2% 2.0% 2.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.9
8-10 14.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.8 0.0 0.2 13.8
7-11 13.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.5
6-12 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
5-13 8.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.5
4-14 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.8
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.6 97.2 0.0%