Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#139
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#169
Pace67.9#222
Improvement+1.8#63

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#209
First Shot-0.7#195
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#229
Layup/Dunks-1.8#239
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#193
Freethrows+1.0#126
Improvement+0.2#167

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#85
First Shot+2.5#91
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#155
Layups/Dunks+1.1#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#136
Freethrows-0.8#238
Improvement+1.6#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.9% 16.9% 12.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.0 13.5
.500 or above 76.3% 88.3% 71.9%
.500 or above in Conference 84.5% 89.3% 82.8%
Conference Champion 17.9% 22.8% 16.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.5% 1.1%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round13.8% 16.9% 12.7%
Second Round1.3% 1.7% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 26.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 35 - 56 - 11
Quad 412 - 318 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 62 @Central Florida L 78-82 17%     0 - 1 +7.8 +5.8 +2.2
  Fri, Nov 7 176 @Iona L 73-81 50%     0 - 2 -6.4 -4.1 -1.7
  Fri, Nov 14 316 @Bucknell W 83-77 76%     1 - 2 +0.4 +2.5 -2.5
  Wed, Nov 19 160 @Temple L 76-81 46%     1 - 3 -2.4 +1.1 -3.5
  Fri, Nov 28 225 La Salle W 63-58 70%     2 - 3 +1.2 -7.2 +8.6
  Sat, Nov 29 283 Merrimack W 78-58 78%     3 - 3 +13.4 +6.3 +8.0
  Sun, Nov 30 248 @Penn W 77-60 63%     4 - 3 +15.1 +5.2 +10.7
  Wed, Dec 3 130 @Columbia L 70-72 37%     4 - 4 +3.1 +2.8 +0.1
  Sun, Dec 7 95 @Pittsburgh L 64-71 27%    
  Sat, Dec 13 60 @Syracuse L 64-75 16%    
  Sun, Dec 21 154 Quinnipiac W 76-71 66%    
  Mon, Dec 29 217 Campbell W 77-69 77%    
  Sat, Jan 3 267 @Drexel W 69-65 65%    
  Thu, Jan 8 125 @Towson L 64-68 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 207 Monmouth W 73-66 76%    
  Thu, Jan 15 221 @Stony Brook W 70-68 58%    
  Sat, Jan 17 184 Elon W 77-71 71%    
  Thu, Jan 22 299 @N.C. A&T W 73-67 72%    
  Sat, Jan 24 119 @William & Mary L 75-79 34%    
  Thu, Jan 29 175 College of Charleston W 73-67 70%    
  Sat, Jan 31 207 @Monmouth W 70-69 56%    
  Thu, Feb 5 228 Northeastern W 74-65 78%    
  Sat, Feb 7 125 Towson W 67-65 58%    
  Thu, Feb 12 175 @College of Charleston L 70-71 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 109 @UNC Wilmington L 66-71 32%    
  Thu, Feb 19 208 Hampton W 72-64 76%    
  Sat, Feb 21 228 @Northeastern W 71-68 59%    
  Sat, Feb 28 221 Stony Brook W 73-65 77%    
  Tue, Mar 3 267 Drexel W 72-62 81%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 2.7 4.9 5.1 3.1 1.1 0.2 17.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 4.3 6.4 4.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 17.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.2 6.5 3.2 0.6 0.0 15.4 3rd
4th 0.3 3.4 6.0 2.7 0.4 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.9 2.5 0.3 7.5 6th
7th 0.3 2.4 2.8 0.4 0.0 6.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 2.4 0.8 0.0 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.0 0.1 3.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.4 4.3 6.9 9.8 12.2 14.2 14.6 12.6 10.1 6.4 3.3 1.2 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.4% 1.1    1.1 0.0
16-2 94.1% 3.1    2.7 0.4 0.0
15-3 78.8% 5.1    3.5 1.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 49.1% 4.9    2.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0
13-5 21.0% 2.7    0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.4% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.9% 17.9 10.8 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 43.8% 42.2% 1.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.7%
17-1 1.2% 40.6% 40.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7
16-2 3.3% 35.4% 35.4% 12.4 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 2.1
15-3 6.4% 28.7% 28.7% 12.7 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.6
14-4 10.1% 23.9% 23.9% 13.0 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.6 0.0 7.7
13-5 12.6% 19.8% 19.8% 13.3 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.1
12-6 14.6% 16.1% 16.1% 13.6 0.1 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 12.3
11-7 14.2% 10.7% 10.7% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 12.7
10-8 12.2% 6.3% 6.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 11.4
9-9 9.8% 4.8% 4.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 9.4
8-10 6.9% 2.9% 2.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.7
7-11 4.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.2
6-12 2.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 2.4
5-13 1.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-14 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.9% 13.9% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.4 3.9 1.4 0.3 86.1 0.0%