Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#142
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#51
Pace65.0#297
Improvement-1.2#291

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#183
First Shot+1.6#136
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#283
Layup/Dunks-1.0#223
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#209
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#43
Freethrows-1.6#262
Improvement-1.5#337

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#122
First Shot+0.8#143
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#137
Layups/Dunks+4.9#49
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#339
Freethrows+1.2#128
Improvement+0.3#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 13.3% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.8 13.3
.500 or above 82.6% 89.1% 73.1%
.500 or above in Conference 83.4% 86.6% 78.8%
Conference Champion 16.3% 19.0% 12.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 1.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round11.7% 13.3% 9.3%
Second Round1.4% 1.7% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rice (Neutral) - 59.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 36 - 58 - 9
Quad 411 - 319 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 248   Iona W 90-76 79%     1 - 0 +6.5 +11.0 -5.1
  Nov 13, 2024 97   Seton Hall W 49-48 34%     2 - 0 +6.3 -5.6 +12.2
  Nov 16, 2024 126   @ Massachusetts W 75-71 OT 34%     3 - 0 +9.3 +2.7 +6.5
  Nov 19, 2024 77   @ Florida St. L 61-79 19%     3 - 1 -7.5 -4.0 -3.7
  Nov 22, 2024 4   @ Houston L 44-80 3%     3 - 2 -13.0 -11.6 -5.4
  Nov 29, 2024 184   Rice W 68-66 60%    
  Nov 30, 2024 313   Tarleton St. W 72-62 81%    
  Dec 01, 2024 106   Arkansas St. L 67-70 39%    
  Dec 09, 2024 208   @ Norfolk St. W 68-67 51%    
  Dec 15, 2024 118   Temple W 70-69 54%    
  Dec 29, 2024 223   @ Quinnipiac W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 02, 2025 222   William & Mary W 77-70 74%    
  Jan 04, 2025 163   @ Northeastern L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 09, 2025 110   College of Charleston W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 11, 2025 152   UNC Wilmington W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 16, 2025 127   @ Towson L 62-66 36%    
  Jan 20, 2025 144   @ Drexel L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 23, 2025 216   Delaware W 74-67 72%    
  Jan 25, 2025 278   Campbell W 73-63 81%    
  Jan 30, 2025 160   @ Elon L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 01, 2025 278   @ Campbell W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 06, 2025 163   Northeastern W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 299   Stony Brook W 75-63 85%    
  Feb 13, 2025 222   @ William & Mary W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 310   @ Hampton W 68-62 71%    
  Feb 20, 2025 273   Monmouth W 75-65 81%    
  Feb 22, 2025 216   @ Delaware W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 27, 2025 299   @ Stony Brook W 72-66 68%    
  Mar 01, 2025 290   N.C. A&T W 79-68 82%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.2 4.9 3.4 1.4 0.3 16.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.3 4.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.4 4.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 13.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.1 4.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.0 4.6 1.1 0.1 10.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 4.5 1.5 0.1 8.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.4 1.9 0.1 0.0 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.2 0.5 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.7 4.6 6.8 9.4 12.0 13.5 13.6 12.5 10.3 6.9 3.7 1.4 0.3 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.2% 1.4    1.4 0.1
16-2 91.7% 3.4    2.7 0.6 0.0
15-3 71.3% 4.9    3.1 1.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 40.8% 4.2    1.6 1.8 0.7 0.1
13-5 15.4% 1.9    0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.3% 16.3 9.3 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 54.6% 47.7% 6.9% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 13.2%
17-1 1.4% 37.4% 36.3% 1.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.9 1.8%
16-2 3.7% 29.8% 29.7% 0.1% 12.1 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.2%
15-3 6.9% 26.1% 26.1% 12.4 0.1 1.0 0.7 0.1 5.1
14-4 10.3% 21.7% 21.7% 12.8 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 8.1
13-5 12.5% 17.5% 17.5% 13.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 10.3
12-6 13.6% 11.7% 11.7% 13.4 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 12.0
11-7 13.5% 7.1% 7.1% 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.6
10-8 12.0% 5.2% 5.2% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 11.4
9-9 9.4% 3.2% 3.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.1
8-10 6.8% 2.9% 2.9% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.6
7-11 4.6% 0.9% 0.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
6-12 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-14 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.4 2.5 0.8 0.1 88.3 0.0%