Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#166
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#123
Pace63.8#312
Improvement-2.8#322

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#275
First Shot-0.4#184
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#334
Layup/Dunks-0.5#200
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#124
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement-3.9#359

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#92
First Shot+2.9#95
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#150
Layups/Dunks+2.7#81
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#275
Freethrows-0.4#218
Improvement+1.1#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.6% 12.0% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 14.1
.500 or above 82.9% 88.3% 69.0%
.500 or above in Conference 81.3% 87.0% 66.4%
Conference Champion 15.6% 18.9% 7.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.6% 2.8%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round10.6% 12.0% 6.8%
Second Round0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Home) - 72.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 38 - 69 - 9
Quad 49 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 263   Iona W 90-76 78%     1 - 0 +5.6 +11.5 -6.4
  Nov 13, 2024 125   Seton Hall W 49-48 40%     2 - 0 +3.4 -8.3 +11.9
  Nov 16, 2024 190   @ Massachusetts W 75-71 OT 44%     3 - 0 +5.2 +0.8 +4.3
  Nov 19, 2024 69   @ Florida St. L 61-79 15%     3 - 1 -7.1 -5.3 -2.0
  Nov 22, 2024 5   @ Houston L 44-80 3%     3 - 2 -13.2 -10.4 -6.8
  Nov 29, 2024 178   Rice W 68-63 OT 53%     4 - 2 +4.0 -7.1 +10.8
  Nov 30, 2024 285   Tarleton St. L 59-61 73%     4 - 3 -8.8 -5.4 -3.6
  Dec 01, 2024 105   Arkansas St. W 68-66 31%     5 - 3 +6.7 +1.5 +5.3
  Dec 09, 2024 167   @ Norfolk St. W 80-67 39%     6 - 3 +15.6 +14.1 +2.6
  Dec 15, 2024 122   Temple L 42-60 51%     6 - 4 -18.5 -27.1 +7.2
  Dec 29, 2024 239   @ Quinnipiac L 69-75 OT 54%     6 - 5 -7.3 -10.8 +4.2
  Jan 02, 2025 227   William & Mary W 77-71 72%    
  Jan 04, 2025 176   @ Northeastern L 65-67 41%    
  Jan 09, 2025 119   College of Charleston L 69-70 50%    
  Jan 11, 2025 133   UNC Wilmington W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 16, 2025 208   @ Towson L 59-60 47%    
  Jan 20, 2025 163   @ Drexel L 61-64 38%    
  Jan 23, 2025 213   Delaware W 73-68 69%    
  Jan 25, 2025 293   Campbell W 69-59 82%    
  Jan 30, 2025 171   @ Elon L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 01, 2025 293   @ Campbell W 66-62 64%    
  Feb 06, 2025 176   Northeastern W 67-64 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 306   Stony Brook W 72-61 83%    
  Feb 13, 2025 227   @ William & Mary W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 15, 2025 234   @ Hampton W 65-64 53%    
  Feb 20, 2025 261   Monmouth W 71-63 77%    
  Feb 22, 2025 213   @ Delaware L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 27, 2025 306   @ Stony Brook W 69-64 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 316   N.C. A&T W 77-66 85%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.8 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.1 15.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.8 5.4 3.2 0.6 0.1 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.3 5.9 2.6 0.4 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 5.9 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.3 3.7 0.5 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.2 3.3 4.0 0.9 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 4.3 1.4 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.0 2.6 0.2 6.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 2.6 0.5 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.3 0.8 0.0 3.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 1.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.9 5.4 8.1 11.7 13.6 14.6 13.6 11.4 8.3 4.9 2.2 0.7 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 94.7% 2.1    2.0 0.2 0.0
15-3 87.0% 4.2    2.9 1.2 0.2
14-4 57.0% 4.8    2.3 2.0 0.4 0.0
13-5 26.2% 3.0    0.7 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.6% 15.6 8.8 4.6 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 36.2% 36.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 40.6% 40.6% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.2% 28.8% 28.8% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.6
15-3 4.9% 25.5% 25.5% 12.9 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.6
14-4 8.3% 20.7% 20.7% 13.3 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 6.6
13-5 11.4% 16.8% 16.8% 13.7 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.2 9.5
12-6 13.6% 14.0% 14.0% 13.9 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 11.7
11-7 14.6% 9.1% 9.1% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 13.3
10-8 13.6% 5.8% 5.8% 14.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 12.8
9-9 11.7% 3.6% 3.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.3
8-10 8.1% 1.8% 1.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.9
7-11 5.4% 2.2% 2.2% 15.5 0.1 0.1 5.3
6-12 2.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.9
5-13 1.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-14 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 13.7 0.1 1.0 3.5 4.1 1.9 0.2 89.4 0.0%