William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#225
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#295
Pace77.3#23
Improvement-1.9#297

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#140
First Shot+0.2#165
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#133
Layup/Dunks-1.6#243
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#62
Freethrows+1.1#109
Improvement-0.6#239

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#306
First Shot-3.5#290
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#259
Layups/Dunks+1.9#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#316
Freethrows-1.2#261
Improvement-1.2#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.5% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 20.9% 28.5% 10.8%
.500 or above in Conference 46.3% 51.7% 39.1%
Conference Champion 3.5% 4.4% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 5.9% 9.6%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.8%
First Round3.3% 4.3% 2.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Home) - 56.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 94 - 12
Quad 49 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 202   @ Radford L 77-89 33%     0 - 1 -10.8 +3.8 -14.6
  Nov 12, 2024 196   Norfolk St. W 84-73 55%     1 - 1 +6.3 +5.4 +0.6
  Nov 15, 2024 181   @ Winthrop L 85-86 30%     1 - 2 +1.0 +3.3 -2.2
  Nov 16, 2024 258   NC Central L 76-78 58%     1 - 3 -7.5 -2.3 -5.1
  Nov 17, 2024 235   Georgia Southern W 102-87 52%     2 - 3 +11.1 +15.2 -6.0
  Nov 22, 2024 79   @ North Carolina St. L 61-84 11%     2 - 4 -12.9 -11.2 -0.2
  Nov 24, 2024 171   @ Appalachian St. L 76-79 29%     2 - 5 -0.7 +11.3 -12.2
  Dec 02, 2024 318   @ Old Dominion L 83-88 60%     2 - 6 -10.8 +2.1 -12.6
  Dec 18, 2024 205   Richmond W 78-76 57%    
  Dec 22, 2024 55   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 68-84 6%    
  Dec 29, 2024 301   Navy W 84-77 75%    
  Jan 02, 2025 156   @ Hofstra L 70-76 27%    
  Jan 04, 2025 309   @ Stony Brook W 79-77 57%    
  Jan 09, 2025 149   Elon L 77-78 47%    
  Jan 11, 2025 313   N.C. A&T W 90-82 78%    
  Jan 16, 2025 270   @ Hampton L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 20, 2025 142   @ UNC Wilmington L 76-83 25%    
  Jan 23, 2025 270   Hampton W 78-73 69%    
  Jan 25, 2025 273   Monmouth W 82-76 70%    
  Jan 30, 2025 269   @ Campbell L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 122   College of Charleston L 81-84 40%    
  Feb 06, 2025 153   @ Drexel L 71-78 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 207   @ Delaware L 83-87 36%    
  Feb 13, 2025 156   Hofstra L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 153   Drexel L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 20, 2025 142   UNC Wilmington L 79-80 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 149   @ Elon L 74-81 28%    
  Feb 27, 2025 209   @ Towson L 69-73 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 158   Northeastern L 78-79 49%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 2.6 0.8 0.1 5.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.3 3.3 3.9 0.6 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.2 1.5 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.1 3.0 0.2 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.0 4.5 0.7 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.7 1.4 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.2 2.2 0.1 8.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.8 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.7 5.0 7.9 10.5 12.5 13.6 13.1 11.5 8.7 6.0 3.6 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 98.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 87.3% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 59.2% 1.2    0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.5% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 22.4% 22.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 25.2% 25.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.9% 23.0% 23.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.1% 18.0% 18.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.7
13-5 3.6% 14.8% 14.8% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.1
12-6 6.0% 10.3% 10.3% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 5.4
11-7 8.7% 6.8% 6.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 8.1
10-8 11.5% 4.3% 4.3% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 11.0
9-9 13.1% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 12.8
8-10 13.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.4
7-11 12.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.5
6-12 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 10.5
5-13 7.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.9
4-14 5.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.0
3-15 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.1 96.4 0.0%