William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#244
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#254
Pace68.4#208
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#186
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#284
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 3.8% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 32.5% 51.1% 26.3%
.500 or above in Conference 44.4% 56.2% 40.5%
Conference Champion 2.4% 4.5% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 4.2% 8.9%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round2.2% 3.7% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Away) - 24.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 410 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 254   @ Radford L 77-89 40%     0 - 1 -13.5 +1.7 -15.2
  Nov 12, 2024 230   Norfolk St. W 84-73 59%     1 - 1 +4.7 +5.0 -0.6
  Nov 15, 2024 163   @ Winthrop L 67-74 25%    
  Nov 16, 2024 283   NC Central W 74-72 58%    
  Nov 17, 2024 197   Georgia Southern L 76-78 42%    
  Nov 22, 2024 59   @ North Carolina St. L 66-82 7%    
  Nov 24, 2024 203   @ Appalachian St. L 68-73 34%    
  Dec 02, 2024 289   @ Old Dominion L 76-77 48%    
  Dec 18, 2024 184   Richmond W 71-70 51%    
  Dec 22, 2024 54   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-79 7%    
  Dec 29, 2024 259   Navy W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 02, 2025 131   @ Hofstra L 65-74 22%    
  Jan 04, 2025 287   @ Stony Brook L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 09, 2025 272   Elon W 76-71 66%    
  Jan 11, 2025 300   N.C. A&T W 79-73 69%    
  Jan 16, 2025 323   @ Hampton W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 20, 2025 156   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-77 25%    
  Jan 23, 2025 323   Hampton W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 25, 2025 285   Monmouth W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 30, 2025 304   @ Campbell W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 100   College of Charleston L 78-84 30%    
  Feb 06, 2025 137   @ Drexel L 64-72 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 204   @ Delaware L 72-77 35%    
  Feb 13, 2025 131   Hofstra L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 137   Drexel L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 20, 2025 156   UNC Wilmington L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 22, 2025 272   @ Elon L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 27, 2025 134   @ Towson L 65-74 23%    
  Mar 01, 2025 170   Northeastern L 71-72 48%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 2.9 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.5 3.2 0.6 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.0 1.2 0.1 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.8 4.6 1.7 0.1 9.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 5.3 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 4.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.7 3.9 0.8 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.7 1.1 0.0 0.0 8.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.5 1.2 0.2 6.0 13th
14th 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.1 14th
Total 0.2 0.5 1.7 3.4 6.0 8.6 10.5 12.0 12.7 11.6 10.5 8.4 5.9 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 87.6% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 67.3% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0
14-4 32.9% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 34.9% 34.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 25.5% 25.5% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 17.3% 17.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.3% 13.8% 13.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0
13-5 4.0% 9.1% 9.1% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.6
12-6 5.9% 7.6% 7.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.5
11-7 8.4% 3.7% 3.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 8.1
10-8 10.5% 2.3% 2.3% 15.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.3
9-9 11.6% 1.3% 1.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.5
8-10 12.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.6
7-11 12.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.0
6-12 10.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.5
5-13 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
4-14 6.0% 6.0
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 97.7 0.0%