IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.7	#289
Expected Predictive Rating	-19.4	#357

Pace	73.5	#75
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.5	#249

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.2	#320

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.8%	0.9%	0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.3	15.8

.500 or above	12.3%	13.9%	3.5%
.500 or above in Conference	22.8%	24.6%	13.2%
Conference Champion	0.9%	1.0%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	22.1%	20.4%	31.4%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
First Round	0.7%	0.7%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 84.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	2 - 8	2 - 10
Quad 4	7 - 8	9 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	315	Buffalo	L	82-83	68%	0 - 1			-12.5	-1.4	-11.1
Nov 09, 2024	8	@ Arizona	L	44-102	1%	0 - 2			-37.5	-21.7	-12.8
Nov 12, 2024	254	@ Radford	L	75-87	31%	0 - 3			-13.5	+0.0	-13.5
Nov 15, 2024	360	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	79-68	85%
Nov 24, 2024	144	Boston College	L	69-77	23%
Dec 02, 2024	244	William & Mary	W	77-76	52%
Dec 07, 2024	153	George Washington	L	77-82	34%
Dec 15, 2024	170	Northeastern	L	72-75	39%
Dec 21, 2024	319	@ Louisiana Monroe	L	72-73	47%
Jan 02, 2025	115	Arkansas St.	L	73-80	26%
Jan 04, 2025	231	Southern Miss	L	77-78	48%
Jan 09, 2025	188	@ Louisiana	L	71-79	23%
Jan 11, 2025	198	@ South Alabama	L	71-78	26%
Jan 16, 2025	203	Appalachian St.	L	72-73	45%
Jan 18, 2025	197	Georgia Southern	L	78-80	44%
Jan 22, 2025	126	James Madison	L	75-81	29%
Jan 25, 2025	268	Coastal Carolina	W	74-72	56%
Jan 29, 2025	203	@ Appalachian St.	L	69-76	27%
Feb 01, 2025	126	@ James Madison	L	72-84	15%
Feb 05, 2025	146	Texas St.	L	69-74	35%
Feb 13, 2025	223	@ Georgia St.	L	72-79	28%
Feb 15, 2025	197	@ Georgia Southern	L	75-83	26%
Feb 20, 2025	200	Marshall	L	77-78	46%
Feb 22, 2025	223	Georgia St.	L	75-76	48%
Feb 25, 2025	200	@ Marshall	L	74-81	26%
Feb 28, 2025	268	@ Coastal Carolina	L	71-75	36%
Projected Record						9 - 17	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0			0.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.1		0.0			1.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.8	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0					2.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.9	1.5	0.7	0.1	0.0						3.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.6	1.9	1.3	0.2	0.0							4.0	5th
6th									0.3	2.1	2.1	0.4	0.0								4.8	6th
7th								0.2	1.9	3.2	0.8	0.0									6.1	7th
8th							0.1	1.3	3.7	1.7	0.1										6.8	8th
9th						0.0	0.8	3.9	3.1	0.4											8.2	9th
10th					0.0	0.5	3.3	4.5	1.1	0.0											9.5	10th
11th				0.0	0.5	3.2	5.2	1.9	0.1												10.9	11th
12th			0.0	0.7	3.4	5.7	3.0	0.4	0.0												13.2	12th
13th		0.2	1.4	4.0	5.4	3.0	0.5	0.0													14.4	13th
14th	0.7	2.6	4.3	4.1	1.9	0.4	0.0														14.0	14th

Total	0.7	2.8	5.7	8.7	11.2	12.7	12.9	12.1	10.3	8.0	5.9	4.0	2.4	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0				Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	83.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	78.1%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	41.8%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	17.5%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
16-2	0.1%																			0.0	0.0			0.0
15-3	0.3%		6.3%	6.3%		13.7														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3
14-4	0.7%		10.4%	10.4%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6
13-5	1.5%		7.0%	7.0%		15.1															0.0	0.1	0.0	1.4
12-6	2.4%		5.2%	5.2%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	2.3
11-7	4.0%		4.1%	4.1%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.1	3.9
10-8	5.9%		1.4%	1.4%		15.8																0.0	0.1	5.8
9-9	8.0%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																0.0	0.1	7.9
8-10	10.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	10.3
7-11	12.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.0
6-12	12.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.9
5-13	12.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.7
4-14	11.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
3-15	8.7%																							8.7
2-16	5.7%																							5.7
1-17	2.8%																							2.8
0-18	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		0.8%	0.8%	0.0%	15.3														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	99.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%