IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.6	#195
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.5	#167

Pace	67.1	#227
Improvement	-2.6	#300

Offense
Total Offense	-0.2	#183

First Shot	-2.3	#240
After Offensive Rebound	+2.2	#58

Layup/Dunks	-1.7	#246
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.6	#137
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.3	#220
Freethrows	+0.1	#168

Improvement	+0.9	#123

Defense
Total Defense	-1.4	#223

First Shot	-3.6	#289
After Offensive Rebounds	+2.2	#32

Layups/Dunks	-2.1	#263
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.2	#83
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.1	#277
Freethrows	-0.6	#232

Improvement	-3.6	#341

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	2.2%	6.0%	1.1%
.500 or above in Conference	0.2%	0.6%	0.0%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	47.8%	23.8%	54.8%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Away) - 22.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 2	1 - 8	2 - 13
Quad 3	2 - 5	5 - 18
Quad 4	7 - 2	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf	Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	352	The Citadel	W	69-60	90%	1 - 0		-6.7	-8.1	+1.7
Nov 08, 2024	49	Virginia Commonwealth	L	55-80	13%	1 - 1		-14.3	-12.9	-0.7
Nov 15, 2024	110	Temple	W	72-69	42%	2 - 1		+3.4	+4.1	-0.4
Nov 19, 2024	315	Loyola Maryland	W	82-61	82%	3 - 1		+9.5	+9.2	+1.9
Nov 24, 2024	283	Old Dominion	W	82-52	70%	4 - 1		+22.9	+10.8	+13.8
Nov 25, 2024	244	Missouri St.	W	76-74 OT	62%	5 - 1		-2.6	-0.8	-1.8
Nov 26, 2024	57	Boise St.	W	63-61	15%	6 - 1		+11.8	-5.3	+17.1
Nov 29, 2024	274	Dartmouth	L	83-88	77%	6 - 2		-14.2	+2.3	-16.2
Dec 03, 2024	82	South Carolina	L	51-73	29%	6 - 3		-17.9	-15.0	-4.4
Dec 07, 2024	59	@ Wake Forest	L	66-72	11%	6 - 4	0 - 1	+6.1	+5.3	+0.5
Dec 15, 2024	312	Stonehill	W	73-69	82%	7 - 4		-7.4	+4.4	-11.3
Dec 21, 2024	37	SMU	L	77-103	15%	7 - 5	0 - 2	-16.5	+5.3	-21.2
Dec 28, 2024	328	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	78-70	86%	8 - 5		-5.2	+8.4	-12.5
Jan 01, 2025	155	Miami (FL)	W	78-68	52%	9 - 5	1 - 2	+7.8	-4.3	+11.8
Jan 04, 2025	104	@ Georgia Tech	L	64-85	22%	9 - 6	1 - 3	-14.5	-5.5	-8.7
Jan 11, 2025	103	Syracuse	L	71-79	39%	9 - 7	1 - 4	-6.8	+2.1	-9.2
Jan 13, 2025	77	@ Notre Dame	L	60-78	14%	9 - 8	1 - 5	-8.0	-1.1	-9.6
Jan 18, 2025	1	Duke	L	63-88	3%	9 - 9	1 - 6	-4.0	+3.3	-8.6
Jan 21, 2025	107	@ Virginia	L	58-66	22%
Jan 25, 2025	26	@ North Carolina	L	67-85	4%
Feb 01, 2025	58	Florida St.	L	71-79	23%
Feb 05, 2025	27	Louisville	L	68-81	13%
Feb 08, 2025	103	@ Syracuse	L	71-79	21%
Feb 12, 2025	77	Notre Dame	L	68-74	29%
Feb 15, 2025	93	@ North Carolina St.	L	65-75	15%
Feb 18, 2025	137	Virginia Tech	L	70-71	49%
Feb 22, 2025	104	Georgia Tech	L	72-75	41%
Feb 26, 2025	87	@ Stanford	L	68-79	16%
Mar 01, 2025	118	@ California	L	72-79	25%
Mar 05, 2025	30	Clemson	L	63-75	15%
Mar 08, 2025	40	@ Pittsburgh	L	66-82	7%
Projected Record						12 - 19	4 - 16

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st																								1st
2nd																								2nd
3rd																								3rd
4th																								4th
5th																								5th
6th												0.0											0.0	6th
7th										0.0	0.0												0.0	7th
8th										0.0	0.1	0.0											0.1	8th
9th									0.1	0.1	0.0												0.2	9th
10th								0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0												0.7	10th
11th							0.0	0.5	0.7	0.1													1.2	11th
12th						0.0	0.3	1.3	0.3	0.0													2.0	12th
13th						0.2	2.0	1.3	0.1														3.6	13th
14th					0.0	1.7	3.6	0.5															5.9	14th
15th				0.0	1.5	5.0	2.4	0.1															9.0	15th
16th			0.1	1.5	8.0	6.2	0.6															16.3	16th
17th		0.7	5.2	12.3	12.2	2.1	0.1															32.5	17th
18th		4.9	11.6	9.6	2.3	0.1																28.5	18th

Total		5.6	16.9	23.4	24.0	15.4	9.0	3.7	1.6	0.3	0.1	0.0											Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9	0.0%																					0.0
10-10	0.1%																					0.1
9-11	0.3%																					0.3
8-12	1.6%																					1.6
7-13	3.7%																					3.7
6-14	9.0%																					9.0
5-15	15.4%																					15.4
4-16	24.0%																					24.0
3-17	23.4%																					23.4
2-18	16.9%																					16.9
1-19	5.6%																					5.6
0-20

Total	100%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																	100.0	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	5.6%