Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#328
Expected Predictive Rating-12.3#330
Pace74.8#43
Improvement+2.2#82

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#285
First Shot-2.4#242
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#283
Layup/Dunks-0.9#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#317
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#96
Freethrows-1.4#272
Improvement-1.7#279

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#341
First Shot-4.5#317
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#320
Layups/Dunks-6.6#358
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#8
Freethrows-2.6#337
Improvement+4.0#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 9.6% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.6% 2.7% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 65.6% 78.8% 50.7%
Conference Champion 7.1% 10.6% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 2.6% 10.4%
First Four8.3% 9.3% 7.2%
First Round3.3% 4.1% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Away) - 53.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 410 - 1110 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 155   @ Miami (FL) L 72-113 10%     0 - 1 -37.7 -8.7 -26.5
  Nov 10, 2024 33   @ Creighton L 70-96 2%     0 - 2 -10.3 -2.4 -5.2
  Nov 13, 2024 52   @ Nebraska L 60-86 2%     0 - 3 -12.7 -7.5 -4.4
  Nov 17, 2024 297   Manhattan W 85-82 50%     1 - 3 -7.4 +4.9 -12.3
  Nov 20, 2024 305   @ Army L 70-84 31%     1 - 4 -19.2 -6.9 -11.9
  Nov 26, 2024 232   St. Peter's L 76-78 36%     1 - 5 -8.7 +8.2 -17.0
  Dec 01, 2024 318   @ Fairfield L 74-78 34%     1 - 6 -10.3 -3.0 -7.3
  Dec 04, 2024 221   @ Fordham L 75-84 18%     1 - 7 -9.6 -5.0 -3.7
  Dec 11, 2024 42   @ Villanova L 72-86 2%     1 - 8 +0.4 +9.3 -10.4
  Dec 18, 2024 191   @ La Salle L 72-77 14%     1 - 9 -3.6 +1.1 -4.7
  Dec 21, 2024 98   @ Minnesota L 60-74 6%     1 - 10 -6.2 -6.2 -0.7
  Dec 28, 2024 195   @ Boston College L 70-78 14%     1 - 11 -6.8 +7.0 -15.0
  Jan 05, 2025 335   @ Wagner W 71-59 43%     2 - 11 1 - 0 +3.4 -1.7 +5.1
  Jan 10, 2025 350   @ Le Moyne W 91-86 2OT 48%     3 - 11 2 - 0 -4.9 -5.0 -1.0
  Jan 12, 2025 345   St. Francis (PA) L 71-75 66%     3 - 12 2 - 1 -18.7 -8.2 -10.6
  Jan 18, 2025 230   Central Connecticut St. L 60-71 36%     3 - 13 2 - 2 -17.7 -12.5 -5.1
  Jan 20, 2025 357   @ Chicago St. W 75-74 53%    
  Jan 26, 2025 312   @ Stonehill L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 30, 2025 350   Le Moyne W 81-76 69%    
  Feb 01, 2025 359   Mercyhurst W 76-69 75%    
  Feb 06, 2025 230   @ Central Connecticut St. L 66-75 19%    
  Feb 08, 2025 335   Wagner W 67-63 65%    
  Feb 13, 2025 357   Chicago St. W 77-71 73%    
  Feb 15, 2025 314   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-74 33%    
  Feb 20, 2025 359   @ Mercyhurst W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 345   @ St. Francis (PA) L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 27, 2025 312   Stonehill W 75-74 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 314   LIU Brooklyn W 72-71 55%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.4 1.0 0.2 7.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 5.1 4.6 1.1 0.0 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.7 9.5 7.1 1.2 0.1 20.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 9.6 6.9 1.0 0.0 19.2 4th
5th 0.9 7.1 6.5 0.6 0.0 15.1 5th
6th 0.2 3.9 5.6 0.7 10.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 4.7 0.9 7.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.7 1.3 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 2.4 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.0 5.4 10.9 15.4 19.6 18.7 14.1 8.6 3.5 1.0 0.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-3 97.0% 1.0    0.8 0.1 0.0
12-4 67.9% 2.4    1.3 1.0 0.1 0.0
11-5 31.7% 2.7    0.6 1.5 0.6 0.1
10-6 5.9% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 2.9 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
13-3 1.0% 18.8% 18.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.8
12-4 3.5% 18.5% 18.5% 16.0 0.7 2.9
11-5 8.6% 16.3% 16.3% 16.0 1.4 7.2
10-6 14.1% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 1.8 12.4
9-7 18.7% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 1.7 16.9
8-8 19.6% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 1.4 18.2
7-9 15.4% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.8 14.7
6-10 10.9% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.4 10.5
5-11 5.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 5.3
4-12 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-13 0.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.4 91.5 0.0%