Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.8#362
Expected Predictive Rating-21.9#364
Pace71.9#125
Improvement+1.2#98

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#333
First Shot-7.5#355
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#98
Layup/Dunks-4.7#323
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#67
Freethrows-5.4#361
Improvement-0.3#200

Defense
Total Defense-8.7#362
First Shot-11.7#365
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#23
Layups/Dunks-4.9#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#359
Freethrows+0.1#175
Improvement+1.5#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.1% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.6% 2.3% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 24.3% 34.9% 23.1%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.3% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 33.8% 25.3% 34.7%
First Four1.9% 3.0% 1.8%
First Round0.7% 1.3% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 9.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 46 - 166 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 2 @Iowa St. L 50-88 0.2%    0 - 1 -12.2 -10.4 -1.4
  Sat, Nov 8 326 @St. Peter's L 83-93 22%     0 - 2 -16.7 +3.4 -19.5
  Wed, Nov 12 46 @Texas L 58-93 1%     0 - 3 -21.1 -13.0 -6.5
  Sat, Nov 15 348 @NJIT L 81-93 30%     0 - 4 -21.3 -0.9 -19.3
  Mon, Nov 24 300 East Texas A&M L 65-70 34%     0 - 5 -15.7 -7.9 -8.0
  Wed, Nov 26 340 Army L 73-81 48%     0 - 6 -22.3 -3.7 -18.9
  Tue, Dec 2 65 @Providence L 64-94 2%     0 - 7 -18.4 -1.3 -19.0
  Wed, Dec 10 229 @Fordham L 65-79 10%    
  Mon, Dec 22 145 @Boston College L 62-81 4%    
  Mon, Dec 29 102 @Minnesota L 59-82 2%    
  Fri, Jan 2 324 @Mercyhurst L 67-75 22%    
  Sun, Jan 4 357 @St. Francis (PA) L 75-79 36%    
  Thu, Jan 8 352 Chicago St. W 78-77 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 332 @New Haven L 66-74 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 227 LIU Brooklyn L 74-82 24%    
  Mon, Jan 19 298 Wagner L 73-77 36%    
  Fri, Jan 23 243 @Central Connecticut St. L 65-78 12%    
  Sun, Jan 25 306 Le Moyne L 79-83 37%    
  Thu, Jan 29 339 @Stonehill L 68-75 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 298 @Wagner L 70-80 18%    
  Thu, Feb 5 339 Stonehill L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 324 Mercyhurst L 70-72 42%    
  Thu, Feb 12 357 St. Francis (PA) W 78-76 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 243 Central Connecticut St. L 68-75 26%    
  Thu, Feb 19 352 @Chicago St. L 75-80 33%    
  Sat, Feb 21 332 New Haven L 69-71 44%    
  Thu, Feb 26 306 @Le Moyne L 76-86 20%    
  Sat, Feb 28 227 @LIU Brooklyn L 71-85 11%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 2.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.7 2.0 0.3 7.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.7 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 5.1 4.6 0.7 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 5.8 6.0 1.3 0.0 15.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.0 7.0 6.3 1.8 0.1 18.8 9th
10th 0.8 3.2 6.3 7.3 4.4 1.3 0.1 23.4 10th
Total 0.8 3.2 6.9 10.5 13.3 14.8 14.3 12.0 9.0 6.4 4.2 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 85.7% 0.0    0.0
15-1 96.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 86.7% 0.2    0.1 0.0
13-3 57.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 31.1% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 7.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 23.3% 23.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.2% 25.0% 25.0% 16.0 0.1 0.2
13-3 0.5% 15.3% 15.3% 16.0 0.1 0.5
12-4 1.3% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 0.1 1.1
11-5 2.5% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.2 2.3
10-6 4.2% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.2 4.0
9-7 6.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.3 6.1
8-8 9.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 8.7
7-9 12.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 11.8
6-10 14.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 14.1
5-11 14.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.7
4-12 13.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.2
3-13 10.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.5
2-14 6.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.8
1-15 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
0-16 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 2.0 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%