New Haven
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#332
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#257
Pace63.4#324
Improvement+2.3#42

Offense
Total Offense-7.6#350
First Shot-3.6#273
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#353
Layup/Dunks-2.3#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#255
Freethrows-1.7#285
Improvement+3.1#13

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#258
First Shot-3.4#288
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#146
Layups/Dunks+0.6#150
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#329
Freethrows+0.7#140
Improvement-0.7#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 23.6% 33.9% 14.7%
.500 or above in Conference 64.3% 70.2% 59.1%
Conference Champion 9.6% 12.1% 7.4%
Last Place in Conference 8.0% 5.8% 10.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 46.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 411 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 6 @Connecticut L 55-79 0.5%    0 - 1 -0.3 -3.3 +1.8
  Fri, Nov 7 130 Columbia L 53-71 19%     0 - 2 -18.9 -17.8 -2.3
  Sat, Nov 8 96 Penn St. L 43-87 12%     0 - 3 -41.7 -25.5 -21.7
  Mon, Nov 10 317 @Umass Lowell W 73-67 33%     1 - 3 +0.3 -1.3 +1.7
  Sat, Nov 15 351 Delaware St. W 65-52 70%     2 - 3 -2.8 -7.8 +5.8
  Tue, Nov 18 64 @Seton Hall L 45-68 3%     2 - 4 -11.4 -13.7 -0.8
  Sat, Dec 6 145 @Boston College L 63-67 10%     2 - 5 +0.0 +3.2 -3.8
  Wed, Dec 10 348 @NJIT L 66-67 46%    
  Mon, Dec 22 229 @Fordham L 60-69 19%    
  Mon, Dec 29 11 @Vanderbilt L 57-89 0.2%   
  Fri, Jan 2 339 @Stonehill L 63-65 42%    
  Sun, Jan 4 243 @Central Connecticut St. L 60-69 21%    
  Thu, Jan 8 306 @Le Moyne L 70-75 32%    
  Sat, Jan 10 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-66 75%    
  Sat, Jan 17 298 Wagner W 67-66 51%    
  Mon, Jan 19 352 @Chicago St. L 69-70 48%    
  Fri, Jan 23 324 Mercyhurst W 65-63 58%    
  Sun, Jan 25 357 St. Francis (PA) W 72-65 72%    
  Thu, Jan 29 324 @Mercyhurst L 62-66 37%    
  Sat, Jan 31 357 @St. Francis (PA) W 69-68 52%    
  Thu, Feb 5 227 @LIU Brooklyn L 65-74 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 352 Chicago St. W 72-67 69%    
  Thu, Feb 12 243 Central Connecticut St. L 63-66 41%    
  Sat, Feb 14 227 LIU Brooklyn L 68-71 38%    
  Thu, Feb 19 339 Stonehill W 66-62 64%    
  Sat, Feb 21 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 71-69 56%    
  Thu, Feb 26 298 @Wagner L 64-70 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 306 Le Moyne W 73-72 53%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.7 2.1 1.2 0.4 9.5 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 4.1 4.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 12.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 5.2 4.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 5.9 3.9 0.8 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.7 4.3 0.8 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.7 4.8 0.8 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.6 1.3 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.7 3.8 1.2 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.6 1.0 0.1 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.4 6.4 9.4 12.0 13.7 13.2 11.6 9.7 7.4 4.5 2.6 1.2 0.4 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-1 95.1% 1.2    1.0 0.1
14-2 83.0% 2.1    1.6 0.5 0.0
13-3 59.7% 2.7    1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0
12-4 29.8% 2.2    0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 8.0% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.5% 9.5 5.5 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 0.4
15-1 1.2% 1.2
14-2 2.6% 2.6
13-3 4.5% 4.5
12-4 7.4% 7.4
11-5 9.7% 9.7
10-6 11.6% 11.6
9-7 13.2% 13.2
8-8 13.7% 13.7
7-9 12.0% 12.0
6-10 9.4% 9.4
5-11 6.4% 6.4
4-12 4.4% 4.4
3-13 2.2% 2.2
2-14 1.0% 1.0
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%