Fordham
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#229
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#303
Pace62.5#347
Improvement+2.8#30

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#231
First Shot-2.6#250
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#156
Layup/Dunks+1.7#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#76
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#280
Freethrows-3.2#333
Improvement+1.6#61

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#223
First Shot+0.6#156
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#310
Layups/Dunks+2.6#88
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#311
Freethrows+1.4#103
Improvement+1.2#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 14.0
.500 or above 8.3% 9.0% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 7.2% 7.6% 3.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.5% 25.6% 35.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 90.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 32 - 63 - 14
Quad 48 - 411 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 348 NJIT L 61-72 85%     0 - 1 -26.3 -11.6 -15.6
  Tue, Nov 11 298 Wagner W 63-61 74%     1 - 1 -8.6 -3.2 -5.1
  Fri, Nov 14 176 @Iona L 71-76 29%     1 - 2 -3.4 -1.2 -2.1
  Thu, Nov 20 227 LIU Brooklyn W 69-53 61%     2 - 2 +9.1 -3.3 +13.3
  Sat, Nov 29 330 Albany W 88-68 72%     3 - 2 +9.9 +13.0 -2.4
  Sun, Nov 30 179 Colgate L 62-72 40%     3 - 3 -11.4 -6.3 -6.0
  Sat, Dec 6 286 Holy Cross L 69-70 72%     3 - 4 -11.1 -2.9 -8.2
  Wed, Dec 10 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-65 90%    
  Sat, Dec 13 308 Manhattan W 76-69 75%    
  Mon, Dec 22 332 New Haven W 69-60 81%    
  Wed, Dec 31 70 @Dayton L 62-77 8%    
  Sun, Jan 4 105 Richmond L 68-73 31%    
  Wed, Jan 7 74 George Mason L 62-71 21%    
  Sat, Jan 10 108 @St. Bonaventure L 61-72 16%    
  Wed, Jan 14 45 @Saint Louis L 64-82 5%    
  Sat, Jan 17 133 Duquesne L 72-75 41%    
  Wed, Jan 21 138 @Davidson L 63-72 22%    
  Wed, Jan 28 225 La Salle W 68-65 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 59 @George Washington L 68-84 7%    
  Tue, Feb 3 42 Virginia Commonwealth L 63-76 13%    
  Sat, Feb 7 108 St. Bonaventure L 64-69 33%    
  Tue, Feb 10 178 @Saint Joseph's L 66-72 31%    
  Sat, Feb 14 116 @Rhode Island L 64-74 18%    
  Wed, Feb 18 260 Loyola Chicago W 70-66 65%    
  Sat, Feb 21 138 Davidson L 66-69 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 42 @Virginia Commonwealth L 60-79 5%    
  Wed, Mar 4 225 @La Salle L 65-68 40%    
  Sat, Mar 7 116 Rhode Island L 67-71 36%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 2.6 0.9 0.1 4.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 7.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 4.8 3.9 0.6 0.0 10.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.7 6.0 5.7 1.3 0.1 14.8 11th
12th 0.1 2.3 7.3 7.1 1.8 0.1 18.9 12th
13th 0.4 3.2 7.3 6.2 1.9 0.2 19.2 13th
14th 1.1 4.0 6.0 4.1 1.2 0.1 16.5 14th
Total 1.1 4.5 9.3 13.9 16.5 16.6 13.9 10.3 6.7 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 5.9% 5.9% 12.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.4% 5.5% 5.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
10-8 2.0% 0.7% 0.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
9-9 3.8% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
8-10 6.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 6.7
7-11 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 10.3
6-12 13.9% 13.9
5-13 16.6% 16.6
4-14 16.5% 16.5
3-15 13.9% 13.9
2-16 9.3% 9.3
1-17 4.5% 4.5
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%