Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#308
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#295
Pace68.6#205
Improvement+0.7#141

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#181
First Shot+0.2#171
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#232
Layup/Dunks-2.4#260
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#146
Freethrows+2.9#47
Improvement-2.1#335

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#357
First Shot-5.0#335
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#315
Layups/Dunks-6.1#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#128
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#287
Freethrows+3.2#28
Improvement+2.9#13
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 3.8% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 20.1% 38.6% 16.9%
.500 or above in Conference 45.3% 69.3% 41.1%
Conference Champion 1.4% 4.8% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.1% 1.4% 5.8%
First Four1.1% 1.9% 1.0%
First Round1.2% 2.7% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Away) - 14.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 412 - 1013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 35 @USC L 83-114 2%     0 - 1 -15.2 +3.9 -14.5
  Wed, Nov 12 257 Utah Tech W 79-75 39%     1 - 1 -1.3 +10.9 -11.9
  Fri, Nov 14 104 @Hawaii L 56-86 8%     1 - 2 -22.6 -11.7 -9.9
  Sat, Nov 15 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-73 90%     2 - 2 -15.1 +5.6 -20.1
  Fri, Nov 21 39 @Texas A&M L 68-109 3%     2 - 3 -26.0 -2.8 -20.7
  Wed, Nov 26 298 Wagner L 101-103 OT 59%     2 - 4 -12.6 +14.2 -26.6
  Sat, Nov 29 340 @Army L 78-81 OT 50%     2 - 5 -11.3 -3.4 -7.7
  Fri, Dec 5 290 Fairfield W 70-66 58%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -6.2 -9.7 +3.4
  Sun, Dec 7 158 @Marist L 63-74 15%    
  Sat, Dec 13 229 @Fordham L 69-76 25%    
  Thu, Dec 18 148 Furman L 73-79 29%    
  Sun, Dec 21 262 Presbyterian W 70-69 51%    
  Mon, Dec 29 336 @Rider L 73-74 48%    
  Fri, Jan 2 154 Quinnipiac L 77-82 32%    
  Sun, Jan 4 283 @Merrimack L 70-75 33%    
  Fri, Jan 9 355 Canisius W 75-67 77%    
  Sun, Jan 11 342 Niagara W 75-69 71%    
  Wed, Jan 14 290 @Fairfield L 75-79 36%    
  Sat, Jan 17 156 Siena L 70-75 32%    
  Mon, Jan 19 154 @Quinnipiac L 74-85 15%    
  Sat, Jan 24 176 @Iona L 76-86 18%    
  Fri, Jan 30 336 Rider W 76-71 69%    
  Sun, Feb 1 304 @Mount St. Mary's L 74-77 39%    
  Thu, Feb 5 326 St. Peter's W 75-70 66%    
  Sat, Feb 7 256 Sacred Heart W 83-82 50%    
  Fri, Feb 13 342 @Niagara W 72-71 50%    
  Sun, Feb 15 355 @Canisius W 72-70 57%    
  Fri, Feb 20 158 Marist L 66-71 33%    
  Fri, Feb 27 326 @St. Peter's L 72-73 45%    
  Sun, Mar 1 176 Iona L 79-83 37%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.6 0.5 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.0 2.3 0.6 0.0 7.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.2 3.4 0.9 0.1 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.0 4.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.6 4.7 1.3 0.1 13.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.8 4.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.8 4.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 11.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.0 1.5 0.1 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.1 1.5 0.2 7.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.9 1.0 0.1 4.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 13th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.7 5.0 8.0 10.9 12.9 14.0 13.1 11.3 8.5 5.8 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 92.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 89.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 51.9% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 21.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 6.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 24.0% 24.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 14.9% 14.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-4 0.7% 13.0% 13.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-5 1.9% 12.2% 12.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.6
14-6 3.6% 7.3% 7.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.3
13-7 5.8% 6.0% 6.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.5
12-8 8.5% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 8.2
11-9 11.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 11.1
10-10 13.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.9
9-11 14.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.9
8-12 12.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.8
7-13 10.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.9
6-14 8.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.0
5-15 5.0% 5.0
4-16 2.7% 2.7
3-17 1.0% 1.0
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6 98.1 0.0%