Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#156
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#127
Pace64.6#307
Improvement-1.0#257

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#197
First Shot-2.5#248
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#100
Layup/Dunks+2.2#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#18
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.6#360
Freethrows+0.2#170
Improvement-1.5#300

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#142
First Shot+0.4#161
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#160
Layups/Dunks-4.6#321
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#273
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#34
Freethrows+1.5#100
Improvement+0.5#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.4% 21.8% 15.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.2 14.6
.500 or above 99.0% 99.2% 96.1%
.500 or above in Conference 96.7% 97.2% 89.3%
Conference Champion 30.3% 31.6% 12.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 1.0%
First Round21.2% 21.7% 15.0%
Second Round0.8% 0.8% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 93.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 34 - 5
Quad 420 - 423 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 297 Bryant W 82-66 83%     1 - 0 +5.5 +10.3 -4.0
  Fri, Nov 7 226 @Brown W 62-46 52%     2 - 0 +15.2 -3.9 +19.9
  Wed, Nov 12 108 @St. Bonaventure L 66-75 24%     2 - 1 -1.9 +3.4 -6.1
  Mon, Nov 17 179 Colgate L 69-72 66%     2 - 2 -7.4 -0.2 -7.5
  Fri, Nov 21 330 Albany W 73-63 88%     3 - 2 -3.1 +4.8 -6.3
  Mon, Nov 24 286 @Holy Cross W 73-69 64%     4 - 2 -0.1 +3.4 -3.2
  Fri, Nov 28 287 Longwood W 70-63 74%     5 - 2 -0.1 -4.0 +4.2
  Sat, Nov 29 242 @American W 59-55 55%     6 - 2 +2.5 -13.6 +16.0
  Sun, Nov 30 328 Maine W 64-60 82%     7 - 2 -5.9 +0.7 -5.9
  Fri, Dec 5 342 Niagara W 83-54 90%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +14.6 +10.5 +6.2
  Sun, Dec 7 355 Canisius W 73-57 93%    
  Wed, Dec 17 185 @Vermont L 68-70 43%    
  Mon, Dec 22 28 @Indiana L 62-79 6%    
  Fri, Jan 2 176 @Iona L 73-75 43%    
  Sun, Jan 4 336 @Rider W 71-64 75%    
  Fri, Jan 9 283 Merrimack W 71-62 80%    
  Sun, Jan 11 304 @Mount St. Mary's W 72-67 67%    
  Wed, Jan 14 256 Sacred Heart W 79-71 77%    
  Sat, Jan 17 308 @Manhattan W 75-70 68%    
  Mon, Jan 19 290 Fairfield W 75-65 82%    
  Thu, Jan 22 158 Marist W 64-61 61%    
  Fri, Jan 30 342 @Niagara W 69-61 77%    
  Sun, Feb 1 355 @Canisius W 70-60 82%    
  Thu, Feb 5 176 Iona W 76-72 64%    
  Sat, Feb 7 326 @St. Peter's W 69-63 72%    
  Fri, Feb 13 154 Quinnipiac W 74-71 60%    
  Sun, Feb 15 158 @Marist L 61-64 40%    
  Fri, Feb 20 283 @Merrimack W 68-65 62%    
  Sun, Feb 22 326 St. Peter's W 72-60 87%    
  Fri, Feb 27 290 @Fairfield W 72-68 64%    
  Sun, Mar 1 336 Rider W 74-61 88%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.6 7.2 8.6 6.3 2.9 0.7 30.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 5.2 8.1 6.2 2.3 0.4 0.0 23.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 4.6 6.3 3.7 0.8 0.1 17.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.7 4.6 2.2 0.4 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.0 1.2 0.1 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.8 0.7 0.1 4.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.5 6.2 8.9 12.0 14.8 15.8 14.3 10.9 6.7 2.9 0.7 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
19-1 99.9% 2.9    2.8 0.1
18-2 94.2% 6.3    5.5 0.8 0.0
17-3 78.8% 8.6    6.0 2.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 50.7% 7.2    3.5 2.9 0.7 0.1
15-5 22.7% 3.6    1.1 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0
14-6 6.0% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 30.3% 30.3 19.7 8.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.7% 45.6% 45.6% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
19-1 2.9% 43.0% 43.0% 13.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7
18-2 6.7% 38.7% 38.7% 13.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.2 4.1
17-3 10.9% 33.9% 33.9% 13.8 0.1 1.1 1.8 0.7 0.0 7.2
16-4 14.3% 26.8% 26.8% 14.2 0.0 0.7 1.9 1.2 0.1 10.4
15-5 15.8% 22.6% 22.6% 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.6 0.2 12.2
14-6 14.8% 18.7% 18.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.3 12.0
13-7 12.0% 14.0% 14.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 10.3
12-8 8.9% 10.1% 10.1% 15.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 8.0
11-9 6.2% 8.1% 8.1% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 5.7
10-10 3.5% 5.1% 5.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.3
9-11 1.9% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.8
8-12 0.9% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
7-13 0.4% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4
6-14 0.1% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 21.4% 21.4% 0.0% 14.2 0.1 0.7 4.0 7.8 6.8 2.0 78.6 0.0%