IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.5	#308
Expected Predictive Rating	+10.7	#40

Pace	65.6	#293
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.6	#309

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#264

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.2%	4.9%	2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.1	15.4

.500 or above	41.8%	60.1%	34.4%
.500 or above in Conference	43.5%	54.1%	39.2%
Conference Champion	3.5%	5.7%	2.6%
Last Place in Conference	10.7%	6.8%	12.3%

First Four	0.7%	0.8%	0.7%
First Round	2.8%	4.4%	2.2%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Away) - 28.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 4	13 - 9	15 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	199	Brown	W	72-71 OT	41%	1 - 0			-4.3	-4.8	+0.5
Nov 08, 2024	193	@ Bryant	W	90-88 OT	20%	2 - 0			+3.2	+3.7	-0.9
Nov 12, 2024	255	American	W	74-66	50%	3 - 0			+0.3	+9.9	-8.1
Nov 16, 2024	253	@ Albany	L	72-78	29%
Nov 20, 2024	41	@ Xavier	L	64-85	2%
Nov 25, 2024	213	Miami (OH)	L	66-71	33%
Nov 30, 2024	242	Bucknell	L	66-70	37%
Dec 06, 2024	320	@ Niagara	L	68-70	44%
Dec 08, 2024	318	@ Canisius	L	68-70	43%
Dec 17, 2024	113	St. Bonaventure	L	64-72	22%
Dec 20, 2024	343	Holy Cross	W	72-65	74%
Dec 30, 2024	183	@ Cornell	L	71-80	20%
Jan 03, 2025	334	Manhattan	W	71-65	69%
Jan 05, 2025	221	Iona	L	68-69	45%
Jan 10, 2025	247	@ Quinnipiac	L	69-75	29%
Jan 16, 2025	335	Sacred Heart	W	77-71	70%
Jan 18, 2025	206	@ Merrimack	L	60-68	24%
Jan 23, 2025	256	Mount St. Mary's	W	70-69	51%
Jan 25, 2025	221	@ Iona	L	65-72	26%
Jan 31, 2025	226	@ Marist	L	62-69	27%
Feb 02, 2025	247	Quinnipiac	L	72-73	49%
Feb 06, 2025	187	St. Peter's	L	62-65	39%
Feb 08, 2025	227	@ Rider	L	66-73	26%
Feb 14, 2025	226	Marist	L	65-66	45%
Feb 16, 2025	335	@ Sacred Heart	L	74-75	50%
Feb 21, 2025	320	Niagara	W	71-67	65%
Feb 23, 2025	318	Canisius	W	71-67	63%
Mar 02, 2025	256	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	67-73	32%
Mar 06, 2025	258	Fairfield	W	68-67	52%
Mar 08, 2025	334	@ Manhattan	L	68-69	49%
Projected Record						14 - 16	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0		3.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	0.9	1.6	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.0				4.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	1.4	2.3	1.5	0.4	0.0	0.0					5.9	3rd
4th											0.2	1.6	3.1	1.8	0.4	0.0							7.1	4th
5th										0.1	1.3	3.7	2.4	0.4	0.0								7.9	5th
6th									0.1	1.1	4.1	3.1	0.7	0.0									9.0	6th
7th								0.0	0.7	3.6	4.0	0.9	0.1										9.3	7th
8th							0.0	0.5	3.0	4.4	1.4	0.1											9.5	8th
9th						0.0	0.4	2.6	4.5	2.0	0.2												9.7	9th
10th					0.0	0.4	2.3	4.3	2.3	0.3													9.6	10th
11th				0.0	0.4	2.1	3.7	2.3	0.4	0.0													8.9	11th
12th			0.1	0.7	2.1	2.9	1.9	0.4	0.0														8.2	12th
13th	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.9	1.8	0.9	0.2	0.0															6.6	13th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.2	2.6	4.4	6.3	8.6	10.1	11.1	11.5	11.1	9.7	7.9	5.6	4.2	2.5	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	93.6%	0.2		0.2	0.0	0.0
17-3	88.1%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
16-4	60.7%	0.9		0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0
15-5	37.4%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0
14-6	12.7%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.5%	3.5		1.8	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																							0.0
19-1	0.1%		28.6%	28.6%		13.2													0.0	0.0		0.0		0.1
18-2	0.3%		29.5%	29.5%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
17-3	0.7%		25.2%	25.2%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5
16-4	1.5%		20.7%	20.7%		14.5														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	1.2
15-5	2.5%		16.9%	16.9%		14.9														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.1
14-6	4.2%		9.6%	9.6%		15.2															0.1	0.2	0.1	3.8
13-7	5.6%		7.9%	7.9%		15.4															0.0	0.2	0.2	5.1
12-8	7.9%		6.2%	6.2%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	7.4
11-9	9.7%		3.9%	3.9%		15.8																0.1	0.3	9.3
10-10	11.1%		2.4%	2.4%		15.9																0.0	0.2	10.8
9-11	11.5%		1.1%	1.1%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.4
8-12	11.1%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	11.0
7-13	10.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
6-14	8.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
5-15	6.3%																							6.3
4-16	4.4%																							4.4
3-17	2.6%																							2.6
2-18	1.2%																							1.2
1-19	0.5%																							0.5
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		3.2%	3.2%	0.0%	15.3													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.5	96.8		0.0%