Bryant
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#176
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#249
Pace82.7#2
Improvement+0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#168
First Shot-3.5#281
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#15
Layup/Dunks-3.3#289
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#205
Freethrows+1.8#82
Improvement+0.7#123

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#199
First Shot-0.5#181
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#219
Layups/Dunks-1.1#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#99
Freethrows-1.6#288
Improvement-0.6#238
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.6% 24.4% 19.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 67.2% 79.3% 57.5%
.500 or above in Conference 90.2% 92.7% 88.2%
Conference Champion 29.2% 33.3% 25.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 0.6%
First Four3.3% 2.3% 4.0%
First Round20.3% 23.5% 17.7%
Second Round0.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Away) - 44.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 54 - 8
Quad 412 - 617 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 283   Siena L 88-90 OT 80%     0 - 1 -11.6 -2.3 -9.0
  Nov 14, 2024 324   @ Buffalo W 87-64 70%     1 - 1 +16.8 +2.4 +12.2
  Nov 18, 2024 207   @ Delaware W 85-84 44%     2 - 1 +1.6 +2.1 -0.5
  Nov 21, 2024 323   @ Stonehill L 66-67 70%     2 - 2 -7.1 -7.9 +0.7
  Nov 24, 2024 89   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-85 17%     2 - 3 -5.9 +2.7 -8.5
  Nov 26, 2024 321   Tennessee St. W 97-85 78%     3 - 3 +2.9 +5.8 -4.6
  Nov 27, 2024 178   @ Chattanooga L 76-84 39%     3 - 4 -5.9 +4.2 -10.3
  Dec 02, 2024 153   @ Drexel W 78-73 34%     4 - 4 +8.3 +6.5 +1.8
  Dec 06, 2024 159   Brown L 75-76 59%     4 - 5 -4.1 -0.8 -3.3
  Dec 11, 2024 15   @ St. John's L 77-99 5%     4 - 6 -3.7 +4.8 -6.3
  Dec 14, 2024 172   Fordham L 84-86 50%     4 - 7 -2.8 +0.9 -3.4
  Dec 22, 2024 209   @ Towson L 70-71 45%    
  Dec 30, 2024 102   @ Grand Canyon L 78-87 20%    
  Jan 04, 2025 213   Maine W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 11, 2025 194   Vermont W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 16, 2025 248   @ Albany W 85-84 54%    
  Jan 18, 2025 151   Umass Lowell W 87-85 56%    
  Jan 23, 2025 354   @ New Hampshire W 81-72 80%    
  Jan 25, 2025 310   Binghamton W 81-71 83%    
  Jan 30, 2025 255   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-88 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 351   @ NJIT W 79-70 78%    
  Feb 06, 2025 248   Albany W 88-81 74%    
  Feb 08, 2025 310   @ Binghamton W 78-74 65%    
  Feb 13, 2025 351   NJIT W 82-67 91%    
  Feb 15, 2025 255   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 92-85 75%    
  Feb 20, 2025 194   @ Vermont L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 27, 2025 151   @ Umass Lowell L 84-88 35%    
  Mar 01, 2025 213   @ Maine L 75-76 45%    
  Mar 04, 2025 354   New Hampshire W 84-69 92%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.9 7.6 9.2 6.3 2.5 0.5 29.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 4.0 9.0 6.9 2.1 0.2 22.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.7 8.1 4.6 0.7 0.0 17.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.3 2.3 0.2 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 2.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 5.4 8.8 12.8 15.9 16.8 15.2 11.4 6.5 2.5 0.5 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-1 100.0% 2.5    2.4 0.0
14-2 97.1% 6.3    5.6 0.7 0.0
13-3 81.2% 9.2    6.3 2.7 0.2
12-4 50.1% 7.6    3.1 3.5 1.0 0.0
11-5 17.1% 2.9    0.5 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 29.2% 29.2 18.4 8.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.5% 49.3% 49.3% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-1 2.5% 48.3% 48.3% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3
14-2 6.5% 39.2% 39.2% 14.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.6 0.0 3.9
13-3 11.4% 33.5% 33.5% 14.5 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.8 0.2 7.6
12-4 15.2% 27.9% 27.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.4 0.8 11.0
11-5 16.8% 22.2% 22.2% 15.3 0.0 0.3 2.0 1.4 13.1
10-6 15.9% 16.5% 16.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.5 13.3
9-7 12.8% 12.7% 12.7% 15.8 0.3 1.3 11.1
8-8 8.8% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9 7.8
7-9 5.4% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.5 4.9
6-10 2.7% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.1 2.6
5-11 1.2% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.1 1.1
4-12 0.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 21.6% 21.6% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.6 8.3 6.9 78.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.0 18.2 69.7 9.1 3.0