Bryant
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#157
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#208
Pace82.7#1
Improvement+4.3#24

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#181
First Shot-2.8#261
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#33
Layup/Dunks-2.9#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#208
Freethrows+1.9#75
Improvement+1.1#112

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#148
First Shot+1.2#135
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#247
Layups/Dunks-0.2#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#76
Freethrows-1.5#283
Improvement+3.2#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.2% 32.9% 28.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 94.2% 96.1% 84.7%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 99.8%
Conference Champion 70.1% 74.5% 48.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.0% 0.7% 2.2%
First Round31.9% 32.7% 27.9%
Second Round1.2% 1.3% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Away) - 83.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 7
Quad 415 - 619 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 270   Siena L 88-90 OT 81%     0 - 1 -10.9 -1.7 -8.9
  Nov 14, 2024 329   @ Buffalo W 87-64 78%     1 - 1 +15.2 +2.5 +10.4
  Nov 18, 2024 196   @ Delaware W 85-84 47%     2 - 1 +2.2 +0.9 +1.2
  Nov 21, 2024 312   @ Stonehill L 66-67 73%     2 - 2 -6.9 -8.2 +1.2
  Nov 24, 2024 96   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-85 23%     2 - 3 -6.8 +1.3 -8.1
  Nov 26, 2024 301   Tennessee St. W 97-85 78%     3 - 3 +4.2 +7.5 -5.1
  Nov 27, 2024 156   @ Chattanooga L 76-84 39%     3 - 4 -4.8 +3.0 -8.0
  Dec 02, 2024 193   @ Drexel W 78-73 46%     4 - 4 +6.4 +6.7 -0.4
  Dec 06, 2024 212   Brown L 75-76 71%     4 - 5 -6.5 -1.7 -4.8
  Dec 11, 2024 16   @ St. John's L 77-99 5%     4 - 6 -2.8 +8.2 -8.6
  Dec 14, 2024 221   Fordham L 84-86 64%     4 - 7 -5.3 -0.5 -4.6
  Dec 22, 2024 176   @ Towson L 65-70 43%     4 - 8 -2.9 -4.6 +1.7
  Dec 30, 2024 83   @ Grand Canyon L 66-112 19%     4 - 9 -36.5 -16.1 -9.6
  Jan 04, 2025 202   Maine W 81-55 69%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +21.3 +6.3 +14.3
  Jan 11, 2025 211   Vermont W 73-53 71%     6 - 9 2 - 0 +14.6 +10.7 +6.5
  Jan 16, 2025 260   @ Albany W 89-79 63%     7 - 9 3 - 0 +7.1 +10.3 -3.6
  Jan 18, 2025 188   Umass Lowell W 85-62 67%     8 - 9 4 - 0 +19.0 +1.4 +15.7
  Jan 23, 2025 351   @ New Hampshire W 82-71 84%    
  Jan 25, 2025 322   Binghamton W 83-70 89%    
  Jan 30, 2025 271   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90-86 63%    
  Feb 01, 2025 355   @ NJIT W 77-66 85%    
  Feb 06, 2025 260   Albany W 86-77 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 322   @ Binghamton W 80-73 74%    
  Feb 13, 2025 355   NJIT W 80-63 94%    
  Feb 15, 2025 271   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 93-84 82%    
  Feb 20, 2025 211   @ Vermont W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 27, 2025 188   @ Umass Lowell L 83-84 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 202   @ Maine L 74-75 48%    
  Mar 04, 2025 351   New Hampshire W 84-68 93%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.0 10.3 20.5 22.0 12.4 3.0 70.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 6.2 8.6 3.3 0.4 19.9 2nd
3rd 0.6 2.8 2.9 0.8 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.2 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 5.3 11.2 19.6 23.8 22.4 12.4 3.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 3.0    3.0
15-1 100.0% 12.4    12.2 0.1
14-2 98.1% 22.0    19.8 2.2
13-3 86.3% 20.5    13.4 6.6 0.5 0.0
12-4 52.3% 10.3    3.7 5.0 1.5 0.1
11-5 17.4% 2.0    0.2 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 70.1% 70.1 52.2 14.8 2.8 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 3.0% 46.1% 46.1% 12.6 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.1 1.6
15-1 12.4% 40.9% 40.9% 13.7 0.2 1.7 2.7 0.5 7.3
14-2 22.4% 37.0% 37.0% 14.3 0.8 4.0 3.3 0.2 14.1
13-3 23.8% 34.3% 34.3% 14.8 0.1 2.4 4.9 0.7 15.6
12-4 19.6% 28.6% 28.6% 15.1 0.0 0.6 3.6 1.4 14.0
11-5 11.2% 23.5% 23.5% 15.5 0.1 1.3 1.3 8.6
10-6 5.3% 15.8% 15.8% 15.7 0.2 0.6 4.5
9-7 1.8% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.2 1.6
8-8 0.5% 21.6% 21.6% 16.0 0.1 0.4
7-9 0.0% 0.0 0.0
6-10 0.0% 0.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 32.2% 32.2% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.8 3.4 9.7 13.9 4.4 67.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 12.6 2.9 42.3 51.1 3.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%