IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Chattanooga
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.8	#179
Expected Predictive Rating	-8.0	#302

Pace	67.1	#250
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.8	#154

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.6	#225

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.2%	13.3%	8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	14.4	14.8

.500 or above	61.7%	67.6%	40.6%
.500 or above in Conference	73.7%	76.8%	62.5%
Conference Champion	14.8%	16.2%	9.6%
Last Place in Conference	1.6%	1.1%	3.1%

First Four	1.1%	1.0%	1.5%
First Round	11.7%	12.9%	7.4%
Second Round	1.0%	1.1%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Home) - 78.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 5	3 - 10
Quad 4	13 - 5	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	65	@ USC	L	51-77	13%	0 - 1			-14.5	-14.8	-1.2
Nov 07, 2024	40	@ St. Mary's	L	74-86	9%	0 - 2			+1.8	+13.8	-13.1
Nov 11, 2024	215	@ Austin Peay	L	61-67	47%	0 - 3			-5.9	-7.0	+0.6
Nov 14, 2024	274	Morehead St.	W	71-63	78%
Nov 17, 2024	321	@ Southeast Missouri St.	W	76-71	68%
Nov 25, 2024	306	Tennessee St.	W	78-68	81%
Nov 27, 2024	193	Bryant	W	80-76	64%
Dec 03, 2024	143	Lipscomb	W	76-75	53%
Dec 12, 2024	248	@ Evansville	W	73-72	51%
Dec 15, 2024	340	Alabama A&M	W	79-66	88%
Dec 21, 2024	24	@ Indiana	L	64-81	7%
Jan 01, 2025	249	@ Mercer	W	73-72	52%
Jan 04, 2025	292	@ The Citadel	W	69-66	61%
Jan 09, 2025	174	UNC Greensboro	W	70-67	60%
Jan 11, 2025	357	VMI	W	86-70	92%
Jan 15, 2025	178	Wofford	W	72-69	61%
Jan 18, 2025	148	@ Furman	L	71-76	33%
Jan 22, 2025	141	Samford	W	79-78	53%
Jan 25, 2025	190	@ East Tennessee St.	L	71-73	42%
Jan 29, 2025	263	@ Western Carolina	W	69-68	54%
Feb 01, 2025	249	Mercer	W	75-69	71%
Feb 05, 2025	178	@ Wofford	L	69-72	40%
Feb 08, 2025	148	Furman	W	74-73	54%
Feb 12, 2025	141	@ Samford	L	76-81	34%
Feb 15, 2025	190	East Tennessee St.	W	74-70	62%
Feb 19, 2025	263	Western Carolina	W	72-65	73%
Feb 22, 2025	292	The Citadel	W	72-63	78%
Feb 27, 2025	174	@ UNC Greensboro	L	67-70	39%
Mar 01, 2025	357	@ VMI	W	83-73	81%
Projected Record						15 - 14	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.7	2.5	4.1	4.0	2.2	0.9	0.2		14.8	1st
2nd											0.1	1.3	4.4	5.1	2.8	0.7	0.1				14.6	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.5	5.4	5.3	1.7	0.2	0.0					14.2	3rd
4th									0.1	1.7	5.4	5.0	1.4	0.1							13.8	4th
5th							0.0	0.1	1.5	5.0	4.8	1.1	0.0								12.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.1	1.6	4.3	3.9	0.9	0.0									10.8	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.4	3.2	2.9	0.7	0.0										8.4	7th
8th				0.0	0.4	1.3	2.4	2.0	0.4	0.0											6.5	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0												3.6	9th
10th	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0														0.8	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.4	2.9	4.7	7.1	9.3	11.3	12.7	12.9	11.9	9.4	7.1	4.8	2.3	0.9	0.2			Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.9		0.9	0.0
16-2	96.4%	2.2		2.0	0.2
15-3	84.4%	4.0		3.0	1.0	0.1
14-4	57.2%	4.1		2.2	1.6	0.3	0.0
13-5	26.8%	2.5		0.8	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	5.8%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	14.8%	14.8		9.2	4.2	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		63.2%	61.4%	1.8%	10.9						0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1		4.5%
17-1	0.9%		48.6%	48.2%	0.4%	12.6						0.0					0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.5		0.7%
16-2	2.3%		40.3%	40.3%		13.2												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.0		1.4
15-3	4.8%		33.2%	33.2%		13.6												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0	3.2
14-4	7.1%		25.6%	25.6%		14.0													0.0	0.4	0.9	0.4	0.1	5.3
13-5	9.4%		20.8%	20.8%		14.4													0.0	0.2	0.8	0.8	0.2	7.5
12-6	11.9%		15.1%	15.1%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.4	10.1
11-7	12.9%		10.8%	10.8%		15.2														0.0	0.2	0.7	0.5	11.5
10-8	12.7%		7.6%	7.6%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	11.8
9-9	11.3%		5.7%	5.7%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.5	10.7
8-10	9.3%		3.4%	3.4%		15.9																0.0	0.3	9.0
7-11	7.1%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																0.0	0.1	7.0
6-12	4.7%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
5-13	2.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.9
4-14	1.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
3-15	0.7%																							0.7
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		12.2%	12.2%	0.0%	14.4						0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.9	3.4	3.6	2.5	87.8		0.0%