IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Furman
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.0	#148
Expected Predictive Rating	+13.9	#24

Pace	70.9	#133
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.2	#147

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.2	#171

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	19.0%	22.1%	14.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.2	13.0	13.6

.500 or above	83.7%	90.4%	73.2%
.500 or above in Conference	84.0%	87.8%	78.0%
Conference Champion	25.8%	29.8%	19.6%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.6%	1.4%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%
First Round	18.9%	22.0%	14.0%
Second Round	2.3%	3.0%	1.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.5%	0.7%	0.3%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Home) - 61.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 1	1 - 2
Quad 3	5 - 5	6 - 7
Quad 4	13 - 4	19 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	151	@ Belmont	W	76-74	39%	1 - 0			+5.9	+4.3	+1.6
Nov 11, 2024	232	Jacksonville	W	78-69	76%	2 - 0			+2.6	-0.4	+2.6
Nov 15, 2024	145	Tulane	W	81-78	61%
Nov 23, 2024	303	@ Charleston Southern	W	76-71	69%
Nov 26, 2024	152	Seattle	W	72-71	50%
Nov 30, 2024	5	@ Kansas	L	66-87	3%
Dec 04, 2024	239	@ Florida Gulf Coast	W	70-68	56%
Dec 07, 2024	107	Princeton	L	75-76	48%
Dec 14, 2024	310	South Carolina St.	W	80-68	85%
Dec 21, 2024	236	@ Harvard	W	73-72	55%
Jan 01, 2025	263	@ Western Carolina	W	72-69	61%
Jan 04, 2025	174	@ UNC Greensboro	L	70-71	45%
Jan 08, 2025	292	@ The Citadel	W	71-66	66%
Jan 11, 2025	178	Wofford	W	74-69	66%
Jan 15, 2025	190	East Tennessee St.	W	76-70	69%
Jan 18, 2025	179	Chattanooga	W	76-71	67%
Jan 22, 2025	357	@ VMI	W	86-74	85%
Jan 25, 2025	249	@ Mercer	W	75-73	58%
Jan 29, 2025	141	Samford	W	82-79	59%
Feb 01, 2025	190	@ East Tennessee St.	L	73-74	49%
Feb 05, 2025	263	Western Carolina	W	75-66	78%
Feb 08, 2025	179	@ Chattanooga	L	73-74	46%
Feb 12, 2025	249	Mercer	W	78-70	76%
Feb 15, 2025	174	UNC Greensboro	W	73-68	65%
Feb 19, 2025	141	@ Samford	L	79-82	39%
Feb 22, 2025	357	VMI	W	89-71	94%
Feb 26, 2025	292	The Citadel	W	74-63	82%
Mar 01, 2025	178	@ Wofford	L	71-72	47%
Projected Record						18 - 10	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.9	3.4	6.4	6.9	5.0	2.4	0.7		25.8	1st
2nd											0.1	1.4	4.9	6.7	4.1	1.2	0.1				18.5	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.6	5.0	5.5	2.3	0.4	0.0					14.8	3rd
4th									0.1	1.2	4.5	4.6	1.5	0.1							12.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.1	0.9	3.7	3.9	1.0	0.0								9.6	5th
6th							0.1	0.8	3.0	3.0	0.8	0.0									7.7	6th
7th						0.1	0.8	2.0	2.1	0.5	0.0										5.6	7th
8th				0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.1	0.4	0.0											3.7	8th
9th		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0												1.9	9th
10th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.4	10th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	2.8	4.2	6.5	8.5	10.9	12.1	12.9	12.4	10.9	8.1	5.2	2.4	0.7			Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.7		0.7
17-1	100.0%	2.4		2.3	0.0
16-2	97.4%	5.0		4.6	0.4	0.0
15-3	85.3%	6.9		5.3	1.5	0.1
14-4	59.0%	6.4		3.5	2.5	0.4	0.0
13-5	27.6%	3.4		1.0	1.6	0.7	0.1	0.0
12-6	7.3%	0.9		0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	25.8%	25.8		17.6	6.3	1.6	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.7%		64.6%	58.3%	6.3%	10.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.2		15.1%
17-1	2.4%		54.6%	53.0%	1.5%	11.8									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0			1.1		3.3%
16-2	5.2%		44.4%	43.8%	0.6%	12.3										0.0	0.0	0.2	1.2	0.7	0.1	0.0		2.9		1.0%
15-3	8.1%		36.1%	36.0%	0.0%	12.7												0.1	1.0	1.3	0.4	0.0		5.2		0.1%
14-4	10.9%		30.5%	30.5%		13.1												0.0	0.7	1.6	0.8	0.1		7.6
13-5	12.4%		23.2%	23.2%		13.5													0.3	1.2	1.1	0.2	0.0	9.5
12-6	12.9%		18.2%	18.2%		13.8												0.0	0.1	0.7	1.1	0.4	0.0	10.5
11-7	12.1%		12.0%	12.0%		14.2													0.0	0.3	0.7	0.4	0.1	10.7
10-8	10.9%		9.2%	9.2%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	9.9
9-9	8.5%		7.5%	7.5%		14.8														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	7.8
8-10	6.5%		4.4%	4.4%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	6.2
7-11	4.2%		2.1%	2.1%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	4.1
6-12	2.8%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.8
5-13	1.4%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
4-14	0.7%																							0.7
3-15	0.3%																							0.3
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		19.0%	18.9%	0.1%	13.2				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8	4.2	6.2	4.9	2.2	0.5	81.0		0.1%