South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#262
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#296
Pace68.9#184
Improvement+4.9#7

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#268
First Shot-4.7#309
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#109
Layup/Dunks-0.2#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#102
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#318
Freethrows-1.2#251
Improvement+3.7#8

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#244
First Shot-1.2#212
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#270
Layups/Dunks-3.3#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#97
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#57
Freethrows-2.4#325
Improvement+1.2#89
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.3% 19.1% 14.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 43.3% 53.6% 29.7%
.500 or above in Conference 83.7% 86.5% 80.0%
Conference Champion 19.0% 21.5% 15.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.8% 1.7%
First Four11.7% 11.8% 11.7%
First Round11.6% 13.4% 9.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Away) - 56.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 413 - 714 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 64-86 7%     0 - 1 -11.1 -4.4 -6.2
  Nov 14, 2024 204   @ Jacksonville L 62-71 27%     0 - 2 -8.1 -8.6 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2024 289   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-75 43%     0 - 3 -16.8 -11.6 -4.7
  Nov 22, 2024 361   @ Alabama A&M W 82-70 72%     1 - 3 +0.3 +4.3 -4.0
  Nov 23, 2024 353   IU Indianapolis W 72-62 76%     2 - 3 -2.8 -5.4 +3.0
  Nov 27, 2024 186   @ Marshall L 53-82 24%     2 - 4 -27.3 -17.4 -10.2
  Dec 01, 2024 53   @ Xavier L 68-71 5%     2 - 5 +10.0 -0.1 +10.2
  Dec 05, 2024 109   Samford L 81-88 26%     2 - 6 -6.0 +7.4 -13.6
  Dec 09, 2024 299   Charleston Southern W 82-63 68%     3 - 6 +8.7 +4.5 +4.2
  Dec 14, 2024 126   @ Furman L 64-68 16%     3 - 7 +1.2 +4.6 -4.0
  Dec 18, 2024 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-75 57%    
  Dec 21, 2024 216   @ Northern Kentucky L 66-72 29%    
  Dec 29, 2024 40   @ Georgia L 61-81 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 349   @ Morgan St. W 79-75 63%    
  Jan 06, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 72-62 81%    
  Jan 11, 2025 341   @ Delaware St. W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 13, 2025 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-66 86%    
  Jan 25, 2025 258   @ NC Central L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 196   @ Norfolk St. L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 03, 2025 254   @ Howard L 73-76 38%    
  Feb 15, 2025 349   Morgan St. W 82-72 81%    
  Feb 17, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 75-59 92%    
  Feb 22, 2025 341   @ Delaware St. W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 24, 2025 358   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-69 69%    
  Mar 01, 2025 196   Norfolk St. L 70-71 47%    
  Mar 03, 2025 254   Howard W 76-73 59%    
  Mar 06, 2025 258   NC Central W 73-70 60%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.7 6.9 5.2 2.1 0.4 19.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 6.9 9.6 4.2 0.5 22.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 8.1 9.0 2.7 0.1 21.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 7.5 7.0 1.6 0.0 18.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.7 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.7 8.7 13.3 17.0 18.0 16.0 11.2 5.7 2.1 0.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
13-1 100.0% 2.1    2.0 0.1
12-2 91.4% 5.2    4.1 1.2 0.0
11-3 61.9% 6.9    3.3 3.2 0.5 0.0
10-4 23.0% 3.7    0.8 1.8 1.0 0.1
9-5 3.1% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 19.0% 19.0 10.6 6.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.4% 44.6% 44.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
13-1 2.1% 43.2% 43.2% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 1.2
12-2 5.7% 35.2% 35.2% 15.6 0.1 0.6 1.3 3.7
11-3 11.2% 27.9% 27.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 2.7 8.1
10-4 16.0% 23.5% 23.5% 16.0 0.1 3.6 12.2
9-5 18.0% 17.6% 17.6% 16.0 0.0 3.1 14.8
8-6 17.0% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0 14.9
7-7 13.3% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 1.1 12.2
6-8 8.7% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.6 8.1
5-9 4.7% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.2 4.4
4-10 2.0% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.1 2.0
3-11 0.7% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-12 0.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.3% 17.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.8 15.1 82.7 0.0%