South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#243
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#273
Pace71.0#111
Improvement+2.7#65

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#248
First Shot-5.2#318
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#50
Layup/Dunks-1.4#240
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#311
Freethrows-0.8#231
Improvement+2.2#66

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#228
First Shot-1.4#224
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#204
Layups/Dunks-3.8#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#49
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#47
Freethrows-2.7#339
Improvement+0.5#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.0% 24.9% 18.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 57.5% 71.2% 42.2%
.500 or above in Conference 95.4% 98.6% 91.8%
Conference Champion 27.5% 36.4% 17.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four12.8% 12.5% 13.0%
First Round16.1% 18.9% 12.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Away) - 52.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 414 - 615 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 82   @ South Carolina L 64-86 10%     0 - 1 -12.4 -4.0 -7.9
  Nov 14, 2024 185   @ Jacksonville L 62-71 28%     0 - 2 -7.3 -8.1 +1.0
  Nov 16, 2024 255   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-75 43%     0 - 3 -15.6 -9.8 -5.4
  Nov 22, 2024 358   @ Alabama A&M W 82-70 76%     1 - 3 +0.2 +6.0 -5.8
  Nov 23, 2024 326   IU Indianapolis W 72-62 71%     2 - 3 -0.2 -5.1 +5.3
  Nov 27, 2024 179   @ Marshall L 53-82 27%     2 - 4 -27.1 -17.5 -10.1
  Dec 01, 2024 41   @ Xavier L 68-71 5%     2 - 5 +11.4 +1.2 +10.3
  Dec 05, 2024 115   Samford L 81-88 33%     2 - 6 -6.8 +8.0 -15.0
  Dec 09, 2024 279   Charleston Southern W 82-63 69%     3 - 6 +9.6 +5.6 +4.1
  Dec 14, 2024 151   @ Furman L 64-68 22%     3 - 7 -0.3 +3.0 -4.0
  Dec 18, 2024 338   @ South Carolina Upstate W 85-70 66%     4 - 7 +6.3 -1.7 +6.3
  Dec 21, 2024 235   @ Northern Kentucky L 47-58 39%     4 - 8 -12.4 -18.3 +4.5
  Dec 29, 2024 34   @ Georgia L 72-79 4%     4 - 9 +8.5 +6.4 +2.5
  Jan 04, 2025 334   @ Morgan St. W 86-72 66%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +5.4 +3.2 +1.7
  Jan 06, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 85-77 82%     6 - 9 2 - 0 -6.3 -0.2 -7.0
  Jan 11, 2025 321   Delaware St. L 75-76 77%     6 - 10 2 - 1 -13.1 +2.2 -15.3
  Jan 13, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-64 89%     7 - 10 3 - 1 -4.1 -3.4 -0.6
  Jan 25, 2025 306   @ NC Central W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 01, 2025 182   @ Norfolk St. L 69-75 26%    
  Feb 03, 2025 281   @ Howard L 78-79 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 334   Morgan St. W 84-74 83%    
  Feb 17, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 77-62 93%    
  Feb 22, 2025 321   @ Delaware St. W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 24, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-69 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 182   Norfolk St. L 72-73 48%    
  Mar 03, 2025 281   Howard W 81-76 68%    
  Mar 06, 2025 306   NC Central W 76-70 73%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1.2 7.2 11.5 6.4 1.2 27.5 1st
2nd 0.1 3.0 12.7 14.3 3.7 0.0 33.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.8 10.1 8.4 1.2 21.5 3rd
4th 0.5 4.9 4.3 0.4 10.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 2.8 0.2 5.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.2 1.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.2 0.9 3.6 9.6 17.7 22.7 22.6 15.2 6.4 1.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 1.2    1.2
12-2 99.7% 6.4    5.6 0.8
11-3 75.5% 11.5    6.6 4.7 0.2
10-4 31.9% 7.2    1.7 4.0 1.6 0.0
9-5 5.1% 1.2    0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 27.5% 27.5 15.1 9.8 2.2 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 1.2% 42.9% 42.9% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.7
12-2 6.4% 40.2% 40.2% 15.3 0.1 1.5 1.0 3.8
11-3 15.2% 30.8% 30.8% 15.8 0.0 0.9 3.8 10.5
10-4 22.6% 26.0% 26.0% 15.9 0.5 5.4 16.8
9-5 22.7% 19.5% 19.5% 16.0 0.1 4.4 18.3
8-6 17.7% 14.3% 14.3% 16.0 2.5 15.1
7-7 9.6% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 1.0 8.6
6-8 3.6% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.3 3.3
5-9 0.9% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 0.1 0.8
4-10 0.2% 0.0 0.2
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 22.0% 22.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.5 3.0 18.4 78.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 14.2 9.8 62.7 27.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%