South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -15.2 358
Expected Predictive Rating -14.4 352
Pace 71.8 95
Improvement +2.4 86

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ #355 D- C- F D+ F
Defense D #330 D- F C F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% 358 49% 356 -8.4 364
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 6 35% 278 +4.6 16
Three Pointers 36% 289 34% 165 -2.4 268
1st FG Attempt 0.90 341 -6.1 342
Second Chance 29.7% 206 0.99 230 0.29 212
Turnovers 21.5% 357
Freethrows 0.32 143 63% 364 0.20 248
Total Offense -9.3 355

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 22 66% 342 -7.5 359
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% 363 44% 348 +2.6 10
Three Pointers 43% 116 33% 124 -0.2 193
1st FG Attempt 1.12 336 -5.1 334
Second Chance 39.1% 363 1.22 357 0.48 365
Turnovers 16.6% 202
Freethrows 0.41 363 73% 223 0.30 360
Total Defense -5.9 330

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -2.6 363 +1.6 364
Shot Type Accuracy -3.6 303 +3.4 309
Possession Length 18.6 317 15.5 3
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 323 0.25 357
Improvement +0.3 #161 +2.1 #76

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 3% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 62% 78% 41%
Conference Champion 4% 6% 1%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 2%
First Four3% 3% 3%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Home) - 55.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 47 - 137 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 11 @Louisville L 45 - 104 0% -40  0% 0 - 1 F -36 F -27 F C- F C -1 C F+ A
 Fri, Nov 7 194 @Samford L 72 - 82 8% -1  41% 0 - 2 D -9 D- -7 D- B- F C- -2 C F C
 Mon, Nov 10 286 @N.C. A&T L 62 - 85 15% -14  9% 0 - 3 F -27 F -24 F F+ F C -0 C- D A-
 Fri, Nov 14 156 @College of Charleston L 61 - 88 6% -14  12% 0 - 4 F -24 F -10 D- D- F F -15 F F F
 Wed, Nov 19 282 Chattanooga L 66 - 78 31% -8  2% 0 - 5 F -22 F -16 F A+ C D+ -5 C F C+
 Sun, Nov 23 281 @South Dakota L 81 - 82 15% -8  1% 0 - 6 D+ -5 C+ +2 D A- D D -7 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 48 @Missouri L 66 - 98 1% -24  0% 0 - 7 F -18 D -4 F C+ C+ F -13 A F F
 Sat, Nov 29 130 @Winthrop L 79 - 101 4% -14  7% 0 - 8 F+ -17 C +1 B B- D F -17 F F A-
 Fri, Dec 5 227 @Bethune-Cookman L 59 - 80 9% -12  5% 0 - 9 F -22 F -11 F D+ F F -12 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 8 256 @Charleston Southern L 44 - 84 12% -15  20% 0 - 10 F -42 F -31 F F F F -13 D- C D
 Fri, Dec 12 218 @Queens L 78 - 102 9% -19  0% 0 - 11 F -24 D -4 D- A+ F F -19 F+ F F
 Tue, Dec 16 297 South Carolina Upstate L 72 - 78 34% -6  4% 0 - 12 F+ -17 D -4 B- C D F -13 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 90 @South Carolina L 70 - 95 2% -12  0% 0 - 13 F+ -17 C- -2 C+ C C F -15 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 30 18 @Tennessee L 54 - 105 0% -23  0% 0 - 14 F -30 F+ -10 D- C A- F -21 F F F+
 Sat, Jan 3 237 Howard W 58 - 57 23% +7  98% 1 - 14 1 - 0 D+ -6 F -17 D B+ F A +11 A+ D- D
 Sat, Jan 10 352 @Morgan St. L 67 - 72 33% +2  72% 1 - 15 1 - 1 F+ -16 F -11 D- B F D+ -5 D- C- F
 Mon, Jan 12 364 @Coppin St. W 74 - 72 56% +4  89% 2 - 15 2 - 1 F+ -15 D+ -3 C+ D+ D- F -11 D+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 307 Norfolk St. L 82 - 89 37% +0  52% 2 - 16 2 - 2 F -19 C +1 C- C F+ F -19 F F B-
 Mon, Jan 26 359 Delaware St. W 70 - 64 62% +6  97% 3 - 16 3 - 2 D- -12 F+ -8 B- F C+ D+ -4 C- D- F+
 Wed, Feb 4 348 Maryland Eastern Shore W 63 - 54 51% +10  86% 4 - 16 4 - 2 D+ -6 F -12 C D D- B+ +6 D F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 237 @Howard L 57 - 85 10% -15  0% 4 - 17 4 - 3 F -29 F -19 F F F+ D- -8 F D- C
 Sat, Feb 14 352 Morgan St. W 79 - 78 55%
 Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. W 78 - 71 76%
 Wed, Feb 18 339 NC Central L 73 - 74 48%
 Sat, Feb 21 307 @Norfolk St. L 68 - 77 19%
 Sat, Feb 28 348 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 64 - 70 29%
 Mon, Mar 2 359 @Delaware St. L 67 - 70 40%
 Thu, Mar 5 339 @NC Central L 70 - 77 28%
Totals 7 - 21 7 - 7 -15 F+ -9 D- C- F D -6 D- F C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ F+ D+ C D 29% 36% 36% F D- C C- C- F C+ F D+ D F+ F+ C+ D 45% 12% 43% F D- F F F C F C- F
0.95 49% 35% 34% -4 -3 0.90 30% 1.0 .29 21% .32 63% .20 1.17 66% 44% 33% +3 +2 1.12 39% 1.2 .48 17% .41 73% .23
Nov
3		 Louisville F F F F F 24% 41% 35% F F C+ D C- F A+ A- A+ C F A+ D+ C+ 44% 6% 50% D+ C C- F F+ A F C- F
0.55 42% 15% 12% -25 -4 0.45 26% 0.8 .21 31% .39 77% .30 1.28 75% 0% 37% +8 +2 1.22 36% 1.3 .45 21% .51 79% .40
Nov
7		 Samford D- F A D D+ 21% 42% 37% F D- F+ A+ B- F C+ A B C- A- A+ D B 48% 4% 48% F C D+ F F C F B- F
1.00 36% 50% 32% -1 -4 0.92 19% 1.8 .34 18% .30 83% .25 1.14 50% 0% 36% -4 +3 1.00 26% 1.4 .38 14% .60 65% .39
Nov
10		 N.C. A&T F F F A+ F+ 29% 42% 29% F F C+ F F+ F A+ F B- C D A+ A+ B- 60% 10% 29% F C- F+ B- D A- F B- F
0.77 43% 30% 43% -4 -3 0.88 29% 0.6 .17 30% .49 50% .25 1.05 62% 20% 21% -5 +3 0.98 37% 1.0 .37 23% .53 73% .39
Nov
14		 College of Charleston F C+ F A+ C- 17% 52% 31% F D- B+ F D- F A+ F A- F F A- A+ F+ 48% 14% 38% F F F C F F F A- F
0.91 63% 20% 47% -3 -6 0.85 38% 0.6 .22 18% .49 44% .22 1.31 92% 29% 16% +5 +2 1.14 47% 1.1 .50 10% .51 68% .35
Nov
19		 Chattanooga F A+ F F F 16% 37% 47% F F D+ A+ A+ C A+ F A D+ F B B+ C 30% 21% 49% C+ C F F F C+ F B F
0.91 75% 5% 25% -16 -4 0.63 30% 2.0 .60 14% .54 62% .34 1.08 69% 33% 29% -1 -1 0.98 31% 1.5 .46 17% .58 71% .41
Nov
23		 South Dakota C+ F+ D+ A- D- 59% 16% 25% C+ D A C- A- D B+ A+ A D D D- D+ F+ 55% 15% 30% F F F A+ F A+ F A+ F
1.15 50% 38% 38% -3 +2 1.00 43% 1.2 .51 18% .33 84% .28 1.16 62% 43% 36% +3 +2 1.13 55% 0.7 .39 25% .53 64% .34
Nov
25		 Missouri D B+ D- F F+ 27% 33% 40% D- F C- B C+ C+ A+ C A+ F D- C A+ A+ 39% 22% 39% B A F F F F F F F
0.94 62% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.79 27% 1.0 .27 17% .47 74% .34 1.40 70% 36% 20% -4 0 0.94 54% 1.9 1.03 13% .49 77% .38
Nov
29		 Winthrop C D B- A+ B+ 39% 30% 31% D B C- A B- D F F F F F F D F 45% 7% 48% F+ F F F F A- A+ F A-
1.08 52% 44% 47% +6 -1 1.11 29% 1.3 .37 19% .20 67% .13 1.38 72% 50% 37% +9 +2 1.25 48% 1.7 .84 19% .25 87% .22
Dec
5		 Bethune-Cookman F F F D- F 30% 24% 46% F+ F A F D+ F B D B- F F A+ F F 47% 17% 36% D- F C+ A+ A+ F A+ F B-
0.90 43% 9% 29% -15 -1 0.70 43% 0.7 .32 21% .37 68% .25 1.21 72% 22% 47% +11 +1 1.26 26% 0.3 .06 11% .20 92% .19
Dec
8		 Charleston Southern F F F C F 28% 52% 20% F F C- F F F A F F F B+ A+ F D- 34% 9% 57% C- D- F+ A- C D F F F
0.64 31% 25% 33% -15 -5 0.63 28% 0.5 .13 22% .45 38% .17 1.23 50% 25% 44% +5 +1 1.15 34% 0.7 .24 16% .52 80% .42
Dec
12		 Queens D F A+ A+ F+ 50% 23% 27% C D- A B+ A+ F D F F+ F F F C F+ 35% 8% 58% D F+ F D- F F F C- F
1.09 35% 50% 50% -2 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .51 20% .31 67% .21 1.42 78% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.19 41% 1.2 .49 8% .44 76% .34
Dec
16		 South Carolina Upstate D A A B A 20% 47% 33% F B- F A+ C D F+ D+ F+ F C- F D F 42% 22% 36% C- F D- F F D+ F B+ F
1.07 70% 48% 38% +9 -5 1.10 19% 1.8 .35 18% .23 69% .16 1.16 58% 60% 38% +7 0 1.16 33% 1.3 .44 16% .44 64% .28
Dec
22		 South Carolina C- F A+ A+ B+ 26% 46% 28% F C+ C+ C- C C C F D F F F B F 36% 20% 44% C+ F F F+ F A+ F F+ F
1.00 14% 56% 47% +2 -4 0.98 30% 0.9 .27 16% .27 56% .15 1.35 88% 67% 30% +14 0 1.29 48% 1.2 .57 21% .65 86% .56
Dec
30		 Tennessee F+ F D+ D+ D 27% 39% 35% F D- F+ A+ C A- B+ F D+ F F F A- F 48% 10% 42% F F F D+ F F+ F A+ F+
0.78 38% 32% 29% -10 -3 0.76 16% 1.5 .24 14% .34 50% .17 1.52 91% 80% 30% +18 +2 1.42 67% 1.1 .73 14% .56 58% .32
Jan
3		 Howard F D+ B F C- 30% 41% 30% F D C A B+ F A- C- B+ A A B- A+ A+ 50% 7% 43% F A+ A F D- D F A+ F
0.83 55% 40% 27% -3 -3 0.89 33% 1.3 .44 30% .41 70% .29 0.82 41% 33% 16% -21 +3 0.66 26% 1.8 .45 19% .58 64% .37
Jan
10		 Morgan St. F A- C+ F D 40% 28% 33% F D- C+ B B F D- F F D+ F B- A+ D+ 48% 20% 33% F D- C- C- C- F F A+ D
1.01 71% 42% 21% 0 -1 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 27% .39 47% .18 1.08 68% 33% 20% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 12% .48 61% .29
Jan
12		 Coppin St. D+ A- B A+ A- 17% 44% 39% F C+ F+ A- D+ D- A+ F A+ F A+ F+ D C- 26% 16% 58% D D+ F F F D+ F D- F
1.13 71% 44% 50% +15 -5 1.22 28% 1.3 .36 20% .65 62% .40 1.10 27% 43% 36% -5 0 0.91 41% 1.2 .49 21% .68 74% .51
Jan
17		 Norfolk St. C B- D- B- C 31% 18% 51% D- C- A- F C F+ B- A+ A F D- B D+ F+ 62% 8% 30% F F F F F B- F F F
1.14 67% 33% 36% +3 0 1.08 42% 0.8 .33 21% .39 82% .32 1.24 61% 33% 36% +2 +3 1.14 38% 1.8 .67 21% .83 79% .65
Jan
26		 Delaware St. F+ F A+ A+ B- 45% 14% 40% C+ B- F F F C+ A+ F+ A+ D+ C+ F A+ B- 52% 13% 35% F C- D- D D- F+ F F F
1.02 47% 67% 47% +7 +1 1.19 19% 0.8 .15 17% .49 64% .32 0.93 50% 50% 19% -11 +2 0.85 29% 0.9 .26 16% .45 81% .36
Feb
4		 Maryland Eastern Shore F A+ A D+ B+ 21% 38% 41% F C D- C+ D D- A+ D A+ B+ B- B C- C- 49% 9% 43% F D F F F A+ F+ A+ D+
0.98 75% 47% 31% +5 -4 1.05 26% 1.2 .30 19% .51 70% .36 0.84 53% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 36% 1.2 .44 33% .30 62% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Howard F F+ F F F 37% 21% 42% D- F D- F F F+ C- F F D- C F F F 66% 7% 27% F F C F D- C F D F
0.76 47% 18% 27% -12 0 0.77 27% 0.7 .20 23% .33 53% .17 1.13 52% 100% 42% +3 +4 1.16 34% 1.3 .45 21% .61 78% .47



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.6 1.8 0.3 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 2.0 6.0 0.7 8.7 2nd
3rd 0.8 8.8 2.0 11.6 3rd
4th 0.3 7.8 8.7 0.1 16.9 4th
5th 0.5 7.2 15.2 1.1 23.9 5th
6th 1.4 10.1 17.4 4.9 33.7 6th
7th 0.7 0.7 0.1 1.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
Total 2.2 11.2 24.8 28.7 20.7 9.7 2.5 0.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1
10-4 71.6% 1.8    0.5 1.0 0.3
9-5 16.4% 1.6    0.1 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.3% 20.7% 20.7% 16.0 0.1 0.2
10-4 2.5% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 0.2 2.3
9-5 9.7% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.5 9.1
8-6 20.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.6 20.1
7-7 28.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.7 28.0
6-8 24.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.5 24.3
5-9 11.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 11.0
4-10 2.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 16.0 97.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.6%