Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
237 Howard 51.7%   16   11 - 10 5 - 3 -4.3      -5.7 319 +1.4 128 71.5 104 -6.4 267 -11.0 4
307 Norfolk St. 18.0%   7 - 14 4 - 4 -8.7      -6.5 331 -2.2 243 70.0 138 -10.7 327 -13.1 6
339 NC Central 10.9%   5 - 13 5 - 2 -11.6      -5.3 313 -6.3 336 67.0 229 -11.4 333 -6.7 2
348 Maryland Eastern Shore 7.4%   6 - 17 4 - 4 -12.4      -9.0 354 -3.5 284 61.1 352 -12.4 343 -11.7 5
352 Morgan St. 6.6%   7 - 13 6 - 2 -13.6      -6.0 325 -7.6 354 74.7 37 -11.0 332 -4.8 1
358 South Carolina St. 2.8%   4 - 17 4 - 3 -15.2      -9.3 355 -5.9 330 71.8 95 -14.4 352 -10.0 3
359 Delaware St. 2.7%   3 - 16 1 - 7 -15.3      -12.8 364 -2.5 255 67.0 231 -18.6 359 -25.3 8
364 Coppin St. 0.0%   3 - 21 2 - 6 -19.6      -10.9 362 -8.7 360 71.0 114 -18.4 357 -19.5 7


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Feb 9 237 Howard 81 81 Yale 87   
Mon, Feb 9 359 Delaware St. 63 339 NC Central 72   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 14 352 Morgan St. 77 358 South Carolina St. 79 56%   
Sat, Feb 14 237 Howard 71 348 Maryland Eastern Shore 60 85%   
Sat, Feb 14 359 Delaware St. 62 307 Norfolk St. 72 82%   
Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. 68 339 NC Central 79 85%   
Mon, Feb 16 307 Norfolk St. 67 348 Maryland Eastern Shore 66 53%   
Mon, Feb 16 352 Morgan St. 75 339 NC Central 80 69%   
Mon, Feb 16 359 Delaware St. 62 237 Howard 70 78%   
Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. 70 358 South Carolina St. 78 76%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Howard 1.6 60.8 23.0 9.9 4.9 1.2 0.3
Norfolk St. 3.5 11.2 17.9 21.6 23.0 17.0 9.0 0.3 0.1
NC Central 2.5 31.6 26.9 18.9 12.5 6.6 3.5 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 4.2 3.9 9.9 17.0 22.5 26.0 19.9 0.8 0.0
Morgan St. 2.4 32.2 26.7 20.6 12.9 6.0 1.6
South Carolina St. 4.6 3.7 8.7 11.6 16.9 23.9 33.7 1.4 0.1
Delaware St. 7.3 0.1 0.1 0.9 5.2 54.3 39.3
Coppin St. 7.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 4.9 60.2 33.9

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Howard 10 - 4 16 - 11 0.0 0.2 2.0 10.3 26.7 38.6 22.2
Norfolk St. 8 - 6 11 - 16 0.3 2.0 9.0 23.5 31.9 24.9 8.4
NC Central 9 - 5 9 - 16 0.3 3.1 10.8 23.6 29.4 22.2 9.3 1.4
Maryland Eastern Shore 7 - 7 9 - 20 0.9 6.0 18.2 30.4 29.1 13.6 1.8
Morgan St. 9 - 5 10 - 16 1.7 9.7 24.5 31.1 22.4 9.1 1.5
South Carolina St. 7 - 7 7 - 21 2.2 11.2 24.8 28.7 20.7 9.7 2.5 0.3
Delaware St. 3 - 11 5 - 20 7.6 25.4 32.1 22.8 9.4 2.6 0.2
Coppin St. 3 - 11 4 - 26 26.8 38.4 24.3 8.6 1.7 0.2 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Howard 60.8% 35.0 18.3 5.9 1.5 0.1
Norfolk St. 11.2% 2.3 4.7 3.0 1.1 0.1
NC Central 31.6% 13.6 12.0 4.6 1.3 0.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 3.9% 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.1
Morgan St. 32.2% 14.8 11.3 4.7 1.3 0.1
South Carolina St. 3.7% 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.0
Delaware St.
Coppin St.


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Howard 51.7% 51.7% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.8 9.8 41.1 48.3 0.0%
Norfolk St. 18.0% 18.0% 0.0% 0.1 17.8 82.1 0.0%
NC Central 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 10.9 89.1 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 7.4 92.7 0.0%
Morgan St. 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 6.6 93.5 0.0%
South Carolina St. 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 2.8 97.2 0.0%
Delaware St. 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 2.7 97.3 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 59.0% 0.6 41.0 59.0
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Howard 51.7% 25.4% 39.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Norfolk St. 18.0% 16.9% 8.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 10.9% 10.8% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.4% 7.4% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 6.6% 6.5% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 2.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 2.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%