Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
197 Norfolk St. 37.6%   16   2 - 2 0 - 0 16 - 12 11 - 3 -1.6      -0.4 190 -1.2 207 65.5 285 +1.1 178 0.0 1
231 Howard 26.9%   2 - 2 0 - 0 15 - 11 10 - 4 -3.4      -0.2 179 -3.2 281 69.1 184 +5.2 106 0.0 1
264 NC Central 17.3%   1 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 15 9 - 5 -5.4      -1.6 216 -3.7 299 66.0 273 -9.0 297 0.0 1
314 South Carolina St. 8.1%   0 - 3 0 - 0 10 - 17 7 - 7 -8.6      -5.5 325 -3.1 272 71.1 122 -12.7 320 0.0 1
332 Morgan St. 5.6%   1 - 3 0 - 0 9 - 17 7 - 7 -9.9      -3.7 281 -6.2 348 75.3 51 -18.2 358 0.0 1
346 Delaware St. 2.8%   0 - 3 0 - 0 8 - 17 6 - 8 -12.4      -8.8 358 -3.7 297 71.3 116 -8.2 290 0.0 1
354 Maryland Eastern Shore 1.5%   0 - 5 0 - 0 5 - 21 5 - 9 -13.8      -7.5 350 -6.3 349 67.6 238 -14.2 337 0.0 1
363 Coppin St. 0.2%   0 - 7 0 - 0 3 - 25 3 - 11 -19.3      -13.5 364 -5.8 343 66.9 257 -14.0 335 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.9 50.9 24.4 13.1 6.6 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
Howard 2.4 35.0 27.2 17.9 10.5 5.6 2.7 1.0 0.2
NC Central 2.9 20.8 24.0 23.2 15.6 9.3 4.8 1.9 0.4
South Carolina St. 4.1 8.0 12.8 16.9 19.9 18.0 13.5 8.1 2.7
Morgan St. 4.5 5.5 9.7 14.8 19.8 20.2 16.1 10.4 3.4
Delaware St. 5.2 2.6 5.6 9.9 15.0 19.3 21.5 18.2 7.8
Maryland Eastern Shore 5.8 1.0 2.6 6.0 11.0 17.3 23.3 26.3 12.5
Coppin St. 7.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 5.0 11.3 25.2 55.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 11 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.4 7.9 12.2 17.3 19.4 18.3 12.3 4.7
Howard 10 - 4 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 4.4 7.6 11.8 15.3 17.8 17.4 13.0 7.4 2.1
NC Central 9 - 5 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.9 7.5 11.7 15.5 18.1 16.8 12.7 7.4 3.1 0.7
South Carolina St. 7 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.3 7.5 11.5 14.2 15.7 14.8 12.5 8.9 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.1
Morgan St. 7 - 7 0.1 0.9 2.4 5.3 9.5 13.3 15.9 16.5 13.8 10.5 6.4 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
Delaware St. 6 - 8 0.5 2.4 5.8 10.1 13.9 16.4 15.8 13.4 9.8 6.3 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 5 - 9 1.0 4.1 9.5 14.6 17.3 17.3 14.4 10.4 6.2 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 3 - 11 10.3 21.0 23.5 19.5 13.0 7.1 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 50.9% 36.6 11.6 2.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Howard 35.0% 22.9 9.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
NC Central 20.8% 11.9 6.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 8.0% 4.0 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Morgan St. 5.5% 2.6 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 2.6% 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.0% 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 37.6% 37.6% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.5 2.7 6.6 11.4 16.4 62.4 0.0%
Howard 26.9% 26.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.9 7.9 13.5 73.1 0.0%
NC Central 17.3% 17.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 15.1 82.7 0.0%
South Carolina St. 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 7.6 91.9 0.0%
Morgan St. 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 5.5 94.4 0.0%
Delaware St. 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 97.2 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5 98.5 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 37.6% 8.7% 33.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 26.9% 7.7% 22.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 17.3% 12.3% 11.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 8.1% 6.6% 4.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 5.6% 5.2% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 2.8% 2.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 77.5% 0.8 22.5 77.5
2nd Round 2.3% 0.0 97.7 2.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0