Howard
Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#305
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#293
Pace70.9#104
Improvement-1.8#271

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#194
First Shot+0.3#161
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#247
Layup/Dunks+1.1#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#186
Freethrows-2.8#330
Improvement-1.7#268

Defense
Total Defense-7.8#355
First Shot-8.8#361
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#92
Layups/Dunks-2.3#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#160
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#346
Freethrows-1.5#283
Improvement-0.1#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 7.8% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 7.8% 13.9% 2.6%
.500 or above in Conference 94.8% 100.0% 90.4%
Conference Champion 3.3% 6.1% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.0% 7.2% 5.0%
First Round3.1% 4.0% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Away) - 45.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 32 - 32 - 7
Quad 410 - 912 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 19   @ Kansas L 57-87 1%     0 - 1 -11.3 -5.2 -5.7
  Nov 08, 2024 15   @ Missouri L 62-77 1%     0 - 2 +5.2 -3.2 +8.2
  Nov 13, 2024 269   Tennessee St. W 88-84 OT 40%     1 - 2 -1.7 +8.6 -10.5
  Nov 18, 2024 268   @ Florida International W 75-70 30%     2 - 2 +2.0 +2.4 -0.5
  Nov 24, 2024 300   Boston University L 62-69 48%     2 - 3 -14.8 -8.1 -7.3
  Nov 25, 2024 288   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-95 35%     2 - 4 -22.5 -0.3 -22.4
  Nov 30, 2024 258   Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 48%     2 - 5 -11.9 -3.3 -8.4
  Dec 08, 2024 46   @ Cincinnati L 67-84 3%     2 - 6 -3.2 +3.9 -7.3
  Dec 14, 2024 116   UNC Wilmington W 88-83 21%     3 - 6 +5.3 +11.5 -6.3
  Dec 17, 2024 195   Drexel L 65-68 35%     3 - 7 -7.5 -4.9 -2.7
  Dec 28, 2024 250   @ Hampton L 67-83 28%     3 - 8 -18.3 -3.9 -15.0
  Jan 01, 2025 70   @ Yale L 65-93 5%     3 - 9 -17.4 +0.1 -19.5
  Jan 04, 2025 303   Delaware St. W 100-94 59%     4 - 9 1 - 0 -4.6 +14.3 -19.4
  Jan 11, 2025 330   Morgan St. W 100-95 67%     5 - 9 2 - 0 -8.0 +6.9 -15.4
  Jan 13, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 90-75 88%     6 - 9 3 - 0 -6.0 +11.8 -17.7
  Jan 25, 2025 181   @ Norfolk St. L 75-92 18%     6 - 10 3 - 1 -15.6 +0.6 -15.9
  Feb 01, 2025 250   Hampton L 79-80 OT 37%     6 - 11 -5.9 +4.9 -10.8
  Feb 03, 2025 210   South Carolina St. L 66-89 37%     6 - 12 3 - 2 -28.1 -14.6 -10.9
  Feb 08, 2025 310   NC Central W 82-78 61%     7 - 12 4 - 2 -7.2 +0.3 -7.6
  Feb 10, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-57 76%     8 - 12 5 - 2 +4.1 +2.1 +3.2
  Feb 15, 2025 303   @ Delaware St. L 69-90 39%     8 - 13 5 - 3 -26.5 -9.5 -15.9
  Feb 17, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 86-62 88%     9 - 13 6 - 3 +3.0 +5.6 -2.1
  Feb 22, 2025 330   @ Morgan St. L 84-85 46%    
  Feb 24, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 77-70 75%    
  Mar 01, 2025 310   @ NC Central L 77-79 40%    
  Mar 03, 2025 210   @ South Carolina St. L 73-81 20%    
  Mar 06, 2025 181   Norfolk St. L 75-80 36%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.0 1.2 3.3 1st
2nd 0.9 9.5 7.1 0.4 17.9 2nd
3rd 0.7 15.8 15.3 0.7 32.5 3rd
4th 0.2 9.1 16.9 0.9 27.0 4th
5th 2.6 11.6 1.4 15.6 5th
6th 2.5 1.2 3.7 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 5.2 22.7 35.1 25.7 9.8 1.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 74.4% 1.2    0.5 0.7
10-4 20.6% 2.0    0.1 0.9 1.0 0.0
9-5 0.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 0.6 1.6 1.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 1.6% 15.0% 15.0% 15.8 0.1 0.2 1.4
10-4 9.8% 12.3% 12.3% 16.0 1.2 8.6
9-5 25.7% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 2.2 23.5
8-6 35.1% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 1.7 33.4
7-7 22.7% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.8 21.8
6-8 5.2% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.2 5.0
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 6.3 93.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 15.8 20.8 79.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 3.1%