IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.3	#251
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.5	#268
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.9	#243

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.4	#256

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	24.3%	31.3%	21.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	15.2	15.6

.500 or above	50.7%	69.8%	42.2%
.500 or above in Conference	86.0%	92.4%	83.1%
Conference Champion	31.4%	40.7%	27.3%
Last Place in Conference	1.5%	0.6%	1.9%

First Four	10.8%	10.0%	11.1%
First Round	19.1%	26.4%	15.9%
Second Round	0.6%	1.2%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Home) - 30.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 9
Quad 4	13 - 6	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	107	James Madison	L	69-74	31%
Nov 14, 2024	247	@ William & Mary	L	67-70	38%
Nov 16, 2024	322	@ Hampton	W	73-71	57%
Nov 20, 2024	93	@ Stanford	L	65-79	11%
Nov 22, 2024	69	@ Grand Canyon	L	63-79	9%
Nov 25, 2024	191	@ UC Davis	L	65-71	30%
Dec 01, 2024	260	@ Stony Brook	L	68-70	42%
Dec 09, 2024	155	Hofstra	L	67-69	44%
Dec 11, 2024	9	@ Baylor	L	58-81	2%
Dec 15, 2024	174	@ Northern Kentucky	L	66-73	28%
Dec 19, 2024	293	Alabama St.	W	68-66	58%
Dec 20, 2024	273	Grambling St.	W	66-65	54%
Dec 29, 2024	125	@ High Point	L	69-79	21%
Dec 31, 2024	14	@ Tennessee	L	59-81	3%
Jan 04, 2025	359	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	73-59	88%
Jan 06, 2025	340	@ Delaware St.	W	71-67	63%
Jan 11, 2025	363	Coppin St.	W	74-57	92%
Jan 13, 2025	320	@ Morgan St.	W	74-73	55%
Jan 25, 2025	249	Howard	W	73-70	59%
Feb 01, 2025	307	South Carolina St.	W	74-68	70%
Feb 03, 2025	256	NC Central	W	71-68	61%
Feb 15, 2025	359	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	70-62	74%
Feb 17, 2025	340	Delaware St.	W	74-64	79%
Feb 22, 2025	363	@ Coppin St.	W	71-60	82%
Feb 24, 2025	320	Morgan St.	W	77-70	73%
Mar 01, 2025	307	@ South Carolina St.	W	71-70	51%
Mar 03, 2025	256	@ NC Central	L	68-71	42%
Mar 06, 2025	249	@ Howard	L	70-73	40%
Projected Record						14 - 14	9 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.6	3.8	8.5	9.8	6.4	2.3		31.4	1st
2nd								0.0	1.1	5.6	9.3	5.3	1.1				22.5	2nd
3rd							0.0	1.2	5.7	7.2	2.7	0.2					17.1	3rd
4th						0.1	1.3	4.9	5.0	1.2	0.0						12.5	4th
5th					0.1	1.1	3.5	3.2	0.5	0.0							8.4	5th
6th			0.0	0.1	1.1	2.1	1.5	0.2									5.0	6th
7th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	0.5	0.1										2.3	7th
8th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0											0.7	8th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	2.3	3.8	6.5	9.6	12.3	14.6	15.9	14.0	10.9	6.4	2.3			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	2.3		2.3
13-1	100.0%	6.4		6.1	0.3
12-2	89.6%	9.8		7.5	2.2	0.0
11-3	60.6%	8.5		4.2	3.6	0.6	0.0
10-4	24.1%	3.8		0.9	1.9	0.9	0.1	0.0
9-5	4.1%	0.6		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	31.4%	31.4		21.0	8.2	1.9	0.3	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	2.3%		66.5%	66.5%		14.1										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.8
13-1	6.4%		54.8%	54.8%		14.7												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.3	0.8	2.9
12-2	10.9%		45.1%	45.1%		15.2													0.0	0.2	0.8	1.7	2.2	6.0
11-3	14.0%		34.1%	34.1%		15.6													0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	3.3	9.3
10-4	15.9%		26.7%	26.7%		15.8														0.0	0.1	0.6	3.6	11.7
9-5	14.6%		17.8%	17.8%		15.9															0.0	0.1	2.5	12.0
8-6	12.3%		11.1%	11.1%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.3	10.9
7-7	9.6%		8.2%	8.2%		16.0																0.0	0.8	8.8
6-8	6.5%		5.8%	5.8%		16.0																0.0	0.4	6.1
5-9	3.8%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																	0.1	3.7
4-10	2.3%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
3-11	0.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	0.9
2-12	0.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	0.4
1-13	0.1%																							0.1
0-14	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		24.3%	24.3%	0.0%	15.4										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	1.0	2.5	5.3	15.3	75.7		0.0%