IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+6.2	#93
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.4	#73
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.8	#81

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.4	#101

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Top 2 Seed	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	1.4%	1.4%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	3.1%	3.2%	0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.7%	16.3%	4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	14.7%	15.3%	3.7%
Average Seed	8.6	8.6	9.3

.500 or above	59.5%	61.0%	28.5%
.500 or above in Conference	35.9%	36.9%	16.6%
Conference Champion	1.2%	1.3%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	11.0%	10.4%	21.8%

First Four	3.5%	3.6%	1.0%
First Round	13.9%	14.4%	3.5%
Second Round	7.3%	7.6%	1.4%
Sweet Sixteen	2.5%	2.6%	0.4%
Elite Eight	1.0%	1.0%	0.2%
Final Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Home) - 95.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 2	4 - 5	6 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 2	10 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 1	17 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	317	Denver	W	88-70	95%
Nov 08, 2024	244	Cal St. Fullerton	W	77-64	89%
Nov 12, 2024	286	Northern Arizona	W	83-68	92%
Nov 17, 2024	191	UC Davis	W	76-66	83%
Nov 20, 2024	251	Norfolk St.	W	79-65	89%
Nov 23, 2024	98	@ Santa Clara	L	75-78	41%
Nov 26, 2024	69	Grand Canyon	L	74-76	43%
Nov 30, 2024	345	Cal Poly	W	81-60	97%
Dec 03, 2024	151	Utah Valley	W	76-67	77%
Dec 07, 2024	109	@ California	L	75-76	48%
Dec 17, 2024	243	Merrimack	W	77-64	87%
Dec 21, 2024	34	Oregon	L	72-77	33%
Jan 01, 2025	43	@ Clemson	L	69-76	27%
Jan 04, 2025	52	@ Pittsburgh	L	69-75	29%
Jan 08, 2025	74	Virginia Tech	W	76-74	55%
Jan 11, 2025	57	Virginia	L	63-64	50%
Jan 15, 2025	41	@ Wake Forest	L	72-80	26%
Jan 18, 2025	7	@ North Carolina	L	72-85	14%
Jan 22, 2025	36	Miami (FL)	L	76-78	43%
Jan 25, 2025	83	Florida St.	W	79-77	57%
Jan 29, 2025	56	Syracuse	L	78-79	49%
Feb 01, 2025	78	@ SMU	L	73-77	36%
Feb 05, 2025	41	Wake Forest	L	75-77	45%
Feb 08, 2025	49	North Carolina St.	L	74-75	48%
Feb 12, 2025	80	@ Georgia Tech	L	73-77	36%
Feb 15, 2025	4	@ Duke	L	66-81	11%
Feb 22, 2025	109	California	W	78-73	67%
Feb 26, 2025	114	Boston College	W	76-70	68%
Mar 01, 2025	78	SMU	W	76-74	56%
Mar 05, 2025	66	@ Notre Dame	L	67-72	34%
Mar 08, 2025	50	@ Louisville	L	75-81	30%
Projected Record						17 - 14	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0			2.5	2nd
3rd													0.1	0.8	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0					3.2	3rd
4th												0.1	0.8	1.7	0.9	0.2	0.0						3.7	4th
5th											0.0	0.6	2.1	1.3	0.3	0.0							4.3	5th
6th											0.2	1.8	2.2	0.6	0.0								4.9	6th
7th										0.1	1.2	2.7	1.2	0.1	0.0								5.3	7th
8th									0.0	0.6	2.9	2.0	0.2	0.0									5.7	8th
9th									0.2	2.0	3.0	0.7	0.0										5.9	9th
10th								0.0	1.0	3.5	1.6	0.1											6.3	10th
11th							0.0	0.4	3.0	2.9	0.4	0.0											6.7	11th
12th						0.0	0.1	1.8	3.5	1.3	0.0												6.8	12th
13th						0.0	0.9	3.6	2.3	0.2	0.0												7.1	13th
14th					0.0	0.6	2.9	3.3	0.7	0.0													7.5	14th
15th				0.0	0.4	2.2	3.5	1.4	0.1														7.5	15th
16th			0.0	0.4	1.8	3.3	1.8	0.2	0.0													7.5	16th
17th		0.0	0.4	1.8	2.9	1.9	0.4	0.0														7.5	17th
18th	0.3	1.0	1.8	2.0	1.2	0.3	0.0															6.6	18th

Total	0.3	1.0	2.2	4.2	6.3	8.3	9.8	10.8	10.7	10.6	9.4	8.0	6.6	4.6	3.2	2.0	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	96.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	87.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1
17-3	59.6%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	29.9%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
15-5	10.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	1.6%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0		0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	3.7%	96.3%	2.1		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	46.6%	53.4%	2.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
18-2	0.2%		100.0%	17.4%	82.6%	3.0		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
17-3	0.6%		99.6%	18.5%	81.1%	4.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.5%
16-4	1.1%		98.9%	16.3%	82.7%	5.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		98.7%
15-5	2.0%		95.2%	8.9%	86.3%	7.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.1		94.7%
14-6	3.2%		85.7%	6.7%	79.0%	8.3				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.0					0.5		84.7%
13-7	4.6%		64.5%	3.4%	61.1%	9.2				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.0				1.6		63.2%
12-8	6.6%		43.4%	1.6%	41.8%	9.9						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.8	1.0	0.1					3.7		42.5%
11-9	8.0%		24.9%	1.2%	23.7%	10.3						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	0.2					6.0		24.0%
10-10	9.4%		9.6%	0.7%	8.9%	10.7							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0				8.5		9.0%
9-11	10.6%		2.7%	0.3%	2.4%	10.9									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1					10.3		2.4%
8-12	10.7%		0.3%	0.1%	0.3%	11.1											0.0	0.0	0.0					10.7		0.3%
7-13	10.8%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	11.8												0.0	0.0		0.0			10.8		0.0%
6-14	9.8%																							9.8
5-15	8.3%																							8.3
4-16	6.3%																							6.3
3-17	4.2%																							4.2
2-18	2.2%																							2.2
1-19	1.0%																							1.0
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		15.7%	1.2%	14.5%	8.6		0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.8	0.9	1.4	1.8	2.4	2.9	3.5	0.6	0.0	0.0			84.3		14.7%