Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#104
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#120
Pace73.0#65
Improvement+1.1#135

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#114
First Shot+3.0#92
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#246
Layup/Dunks+4.6#36
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#338
Freethrows+0.8#126
Improvement-1.1#247

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#121
First Shot+0.5#164
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#74
Layups/Dunks+2.0#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#230
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#275
Freethrows+0.9#112
Improvement+2.1#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.7 13.5
.500 or above 7.2% 13.7% 2.6%
.500 or above in Conference 5.4% 10.9% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.4% 1.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California (Away) - 41.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 11
Quad 21 - 42 - 15
Quad 35 - 47 - 18
Quad 47 - 014 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 352   Le Moyne W 86-82 96%     1 - 0 -11.7 -4.1 -8.0
  Nov 12, 2024 209   Colgate W 74-72 81%     2 - 0 -3.2 -2.2 -0.9
  Nov 16, 2024 208   Youngstown St. W 104-95 2OT 81%     3 - 0 +3.9 +8.6 -6.7
  Nov 21, 2024 35   Texas L 66-70 20%     3 - 1 +8.8 +1.7 +6.9
  Nov 22, 2024 14   Texas Tech L 74-79 12%     3 - 2 +12.0 +10.9 +0.8
  Nov 27, 2024 126   Cornell W 82-72 67%     4 - 2 +9.5 -1.2 +10.0
  Dec 03, 2024 8   @ Tennessee L 70-96 6%     4 - 3 -4.8 +10.4 -15.1
  Dec 07, 2024 71   @ Notre Dame L 64-69 27%     4 - 4 0 - 1 +5.3 -4.6 +9.7
  Dec 10, 2024 271   Albany W 102-85 88%     5 - 4 +8.4 +20.1 -12.4
  Dec 14, 2024 88   Georgetown L 71-75 49%     5 - 5 +0.4 +5.3 -5.1
  Dec 21, 2024 17   Maryland L 60-87 13%     5 - 6 -10.5 -8.3 -0.6
  Dec 28, 2024 264   Bucknell W 75-63 87%     6 - 6 +3.7 -2.4 +5.7
  Dec 31, 2024 57   Wake Forest L 71-81 38%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -2.9 +0.9 -3.2
  Jan 04, 2025 72   @ Florida St. L 74-90 27%     6 - 8 0 - 3 -5.8 +6.0 -11.5
  Jan 07, 2025 102   Georgia Tech W 62-55 59%     7 - 8 1 - 3 +8.6 -10.8 +19.2
  Jan 11, 2025 191   @ Boston College W 79-71 61%     8 - 8 2 - 3 +9.2 +8.8 +0.8
  Jan 14, 2025 23   Louisville L 61-85 21%     8 - 9 2 - 4 -11.6 -6.4 -5.5
  Jan 18, 2025 71   Notre Dame W 77-69 45%     9 - 9 3 - 4 +13.2 +4.3 +9.0
  Jan 22, 2025 31   @ Clemson L 72-86 13%     9 - 10 3 - 5 +2.2 +13.2 -12.3
  Jan 25, 2025 37   Pittsburgh L 73-77 29%     9 - 11 3 - 6 +5.6 +9.3 -4.0
  Jan 29, 2025 70   @ Stanford L 61-70 26%     9 - 12 3 - 7 +1.7 -3.0 +3.9
  Feb 01, 2025 113   @ California L 77-79 41%    
  Feb 05, 2025 3   Duke L 65-81 7%    
  Feb 08, 2025 191   Boston College W 79-71 78%    
  Feb 11, 2025 179   @ Miami (FL) W 82-80 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 34   North Carolina L 76-82 29%    
  Feb 18, 2025 37   @ Pittsburgh L 70-81 16%    
  Feb 26, 2025 91   North Carolina St. W 72-71 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 121   @ Virginia Tech L 73-74 44%    
  Mar 04, 2025 47   @ SMU L 74-83 18%    
  Mar 08, 2025 103   Virginia W 66-64 61%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.3 2.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.3 1.9 0.1 6.0 9th
10th 0.4 4.6 5.4 0.5 11.0 10th
11th 0.1 3.0 8.6 2.1 0.1 13.9 11th
12th 0.7 7.7 5.2 0.3 14.0 12th
13th 0.1 3.8 8.4 1.3 0.0 13.6 13th
14th 1.0 8.1 4.5 0.2 13.7 14th
15th 0.2 4.3 7.5 0.7 12.7 15th
16th 0.1 2.2 5.3 1.7 0.0 9.4 16th
17th 0.4 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.3 17th
18th 0.1 0.1 0.2 18th
Total 0.6 3.8 11.2 21.8 24.9 20.7 11.6 4.3 1.0 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.2% 0.2
11-9 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 11.0 0.0 1.0 1.0%
10-10 4.3% 4.3
9-11 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 11.6
8-12 20.7% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 20.7
7-13 24.9% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 24.9
6-14 21.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.8
5-15 11.2% 11.2
4-16 3.8% 3.8
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%