Georgetown
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#73
Expected Predictive Rating+8.2#74
Pace69.3#140
Improvement+1.7#115

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#127
First Shot-0.9#205
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#50
Layup/Dunks+4.4#41
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#273
Freethrows-2.9#332
Improvement+0.2#173

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#37
First Shot+6.9#23
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#228
Layups/Dunks+4.5#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#128
Freethrows+1.4#83
Improvement+1.4#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 8.0% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.1% 6.2% 1.3%
Average Seed 11.0 10.9 11.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 22.7% 53.8% 16.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.8% 4.7% 1.1%
First Round2.2% 5.3% 1.6%
Second Round0.6% 1.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 17.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 9
Quad 24 - 46 - 12
Quad 34 - 210 - 14
Quad 49 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 279   Lehigh W 85-77 93%     1 - 0 -1.1 +5.8 -7.3
  Nov 09, 2024 328   Fairfield W 69-57 96%     2 - 0 -0.8 -9.4 +8.8
  Nov 16, 2024 95   Notre Dame L 63-84 69%     2 - 1 -18.4 -4.1 -16.2
  Nov 20, 2024 258   Mount St. Mary's W 79-51 92%     3 - 1 +20.1 +3.5 +16.5
  Nov 23, 2024 331   St. Francis (PA) W 82-65 96%     4 - 1 +3.9 +0.8 +2.9
  Nov 26, 2024 347   Wagner W 66-41 97%     5 - 1 +9.8 -1.0 +14.8
  Nov 30, 2024 267   Albany W 100-68 92%     6 - 1 +23.9 +13.9 +7.2
  Dec 02, 2024 288   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 86-62 94%     7 - 1 +14.4 -5.2 +16.7
  Dec 06, 2024 41   @ West Virginia L 60-73 26%     7 - 2 +1.6 +0.0 +1.0
  Dec 14, 2024 108   @ Syracuse W 75-71 57%     8 - 2 +10.0 +6.7 +3.5
  Dec 18, 2024 31   Creighton W 81-57 34%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +35.9 +17.1 +19.7
  Dec 22, 2024 167   @ Seton Hall W 61-60 71%     10 - 2 2 - 0 +3.2 -3.6 +6.9
  Dec 28, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 83-53 99%     11 - 2 +9.0 +9.4 +1.4
  Jan 03, 2025 42   Xavier W 69-63 44%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +15.4 +1.3 +14.1
  Jan 07, 2025 29   @ Marquette L 66-74 18%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +9.3 +0.8 +8.6
  Jan 11, 2025 32   Connecticut L 60-68 36%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +3.6 -5.4 +8.4
  Jan 14, 2025 14   @ St. John's L 58-63 12%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +15.4 +1.2 +14.1
  Jan 17, 2025 120   DePaul L 68-73 77%     12 - 6 3 - 4 -5.0 +1.0 -6.3
  Jan 20, 2025 43   @ Villanova W 64-63 26%     13 - 6 4 - 4 +15.3 +3.8 +11.6
  Jan 25, 2025 79   @ Providence L 68-78 42%     13 - 7 4 - 5 -0.2 +6.3 -7.6
  Jan 28, 2025 14   St. John's L 41-66 24%     13 - 8 4 - 6 -9.7 -19.3 +9.2
  Jan 31, 2025 66   Butler W 73-70 58%     14 - 8 5 - 6 +8.8 +4.9 +4.1
  Feb 04, 2025 42   @ Xavier L 69-74 26%     14 - 9 5 - 7 +9.5 +3.1 +6.4
  Feb 08, 2025 167   Seton Hall W 60-46 84%     15 - 9 6 - 7 +11.1 -3.4 +16.3
  Feb 15, 2025 66   @ Butler L 86-97 38%     15 - 10 6 - 8 -0.1 +9.3 -8.5
  Feb 19, 2025 79   Providence W 93-72 62%     16 - 10 7 - 8 +25.7 +18.5 +6.6
  Feb 23, 2025 31   @ Creighton L 66-75 17%    
  Feb 26, 2025 32   @ Connecticut L 65-74 19%    
  Mar 01, 2025 29   Marquette L 69-73 35%    
  Mar 04, 2025 43   Villanova L 68-69 46%    
  Mar 08, 2025 120   @ DePaul W 72-69 57%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.0 0.1 2.9 5th
6th 1.7 6.6 2.2 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 4.4 26.4 32.1 10.2 0.1 73.1 7th
8th 5.4 5.3 0.7 11.4 8th
9th 1.2 0.2 1.4 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 10.9 31.9 34.5 17.5 4.7 0.6 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.6% 39.3% 39.3% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 39.3%
11-9 4.7% 18.5% 2.6% 15.9% 10.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 3.8 16.3%
10-10 17.5% 7.9% 2.4% 5.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.2 16.2 5.6%
9-11 34.5% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 11.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 33.8 0.6%
8-12 31.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 11.3 0.2 0.1 31.7 0.0%
7-13 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 10.9
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.3% 1.2% 2.1% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 0.5 96.7 2.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.8%