Georgetown
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#72
Expected Predictive Rating+7.8#74
Pace68.6#182
Improvement+2.7#64

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#141
First Shot-0.9#204
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#55
Layup/Dunks+4.5#40
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#273
Freethrows-2.9#335
Improvement-0.5#209

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#37
First Shot+6.9#17
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#230
Layups/Dunks+4.6#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#126
Freethrows+1.4#83
Improvement+3.2#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 12.3% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.5% 11.0% 3.5%
Average Seed 10.4 10.2 10.7
.500 or above 85.1% 95.9% 81.3%
.500 or above in Conference 29.4% 49.1% 22.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.3% 2.1%
First Four3.4% 5.5% 2.6%
First Round4.8% 9.2% 3.3%
Second Round1.7% 3.5% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Away) - 26.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 25 - 36 - 12
Quad 33 - 210 - 14
Quad 48 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 296   Lehigh W 85-77 94%     1 - 0 -2.4 +4.3 -7.0
  Nov 09, 2024 318   Fairfield W 69-57 95%     2 - 0 +0.2 -10.1 +10.5
  Nov 16, 2024 77   Notre Dame L 63-84 62%     2 - 1 -16.5 -4.2 -14.2
  Nov 20, 2024 266   Mount St. Mary's W 79-51 93%     3 - 1 +19.3 +4.5 +14.7
  Nov 23, 2024 345   St. Francis (PA) W 82-65 97%     4 - 1 +2.3 +0.8 +1.3
  Nov 26, 2024 335   Wagner W 66-41 97%     5 - 1 +10.9 +0.8 +14.0
  Nov 30, 2024 260   Albany W 100-68 92%     6 - 1 +23.6 +12.9 +7.9
  Dec 02, 2024 271   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 86-62 93%     7 - 1 +15.0 -5.2 +17.2
  Dec 06, 2024 32   @ West Virginia L 60-73 22%     7 - 2 +2.7 -0.6 +2.7
  Dec 14, 2024 103   @ Syracuse W 75-71 54%     8 - 2 +10.7 +7.8 +3.0
  Dec 18, 2024 33   Creighton W 81-57 41%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +34.2 +15.8 +19.1
  Dec 22, 2024 132   @ Seton Hall W 61-60 62%     10 - 2 2 - 0 +5.6 -4.0 +9.6
  Dec 28, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 83-53 99%     11 - 2 +10.2 +9.3 +2.7
  Jan 03, 2025 41   Xavier W 69-63 45%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +14.9 +1.7 +13.2
  Jan 07, 2025 20   @ Marquette L 66-74 16%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +10.3 +1.4 +9.1
  Jan 11, 2025 24   Connecticut L 60-68 33%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +4.3 -6.9 +10.6
  Jan 14, 2025 16   @ St. John's L 58-63 14%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +14.2 -1.2 +15.3
  Jan 17, 2025 106   DePaul L 68-73 75%     12 - 6 3 - 4 -4.2 -0.4 -4.2
  Jan 20, 2025 42   @ Villanova L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 25, 2025 81   @ Providence L 68-70 41%    
  Jan 28, 2025 16   St. John's L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 31, 2025 84   Butler W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 04, 2025 41   @ Xavier L 67-74 26%    
  Feb 08, 2025 132   Seton Hall W 70-61 79%    
  Feb 15, 2025 84   @ Butler L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 19, 2025 81   Providence W 70-67 63%    
  Feb 23, 2025 33   @ Creighton L 67-75 23%    
  Feb 26, 2025 24   @ Connecticut L 66-76 16%    
  Mar 01, 2025 20   Marquette L 68-73 33%    
  Mar 04, 2025 42   Villanova L 69-70 46%    
  Mar 08, 2025 106   @ DePaul W 72-71 54%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.2 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 3.7 1.7 0.1 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.9 7.8 3.2 0.3 17.2 6th
7th 0.3 4.1 11.4 11.4 4.3 0.5 32.0 7th
8th 0.6 4.2 9.8 6.8 1.7 0.1 23.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.6 2.9 0.5 0.0 11.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 2.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 11th
Total 0.2 1.3 4.6 9.6 16.9 19.7 18.3 14.5 8.5 4.3 1.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 20.0% 0.0    0.0
14-6 3.2% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.3% 80.6% 9.7% 71.0% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 78.6%
13-7 1.8% 61.9% 2.8% 59.1% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.7 60.8%
12-8 4.3% 35.5% 4.7% 30.8% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 2.7 32.3%
11-9 8.5% 19.6% 2.2% 17.3% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.1 6.8 17.7%
10-10 14.5% 8.8% 2.0% 6.8% 10.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.1 13.2 6.9%
9-11 18.3% 2.8% 1.3% 1.5% 11.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 17.8 1.6%
8-12 19.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.1% 11.4 0.1 0.1 19.5 0.1%
7-13 16.9% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 16.9
6-14 9.6% 0.3% 0.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 9.6
5-15 4.6% 0.6% 0.6% 13.7 0.0 0.0 4.6
4-16 1.3% 1.3
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.7% 1.3% 5.4% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.8 3.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 93.3 5.5%