Preseason Rankings
Wagner
Northeast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#285
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace57.0#363
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#341
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#163
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.7% 44.6% 29.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.1 15.7
.500 or above 76.0% 94.4% 75.6%
.500 or above in Conference 89.1% 96.4% 88.9%
Conference Champion 39.7% 60.8% 39.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.4% 1.5%
First Four19.0% 13.9% 19.1%
First Round19.5% 38.2% 19.0%
Second Round0.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 2.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 4
Quad 416 - 716 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 29   @ Rutgers L 49-70 2%    
  Nov 13, 2024 18   @ St. John's L 53-75 2%    
  Nov 16, 2024 68   @ Seton Hall L 51-68 6%    
  Nov 19, 2024 266   @ Boston University L 58-62 36%    
  Nov 26, 2024 101   @ Georgetown L 56-70 10%    
  Dec 04, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 66-51 91%    
  Dec 08, 2024 359   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 61-55 70%    
  Dec 14, 2024 343   @ NJIT W 62-59 59%    
  Dec 18, 2024 331   Manhattan W 65-58 72%    
  Jan 03, 2025 332   Chicago St. W 62-55 73%    
  Jan 05, 2025 347   Fairleigh Dickinson W 71-62 78%    
  Jan 10, 2025 304   @ Central Connecticut St. L 59-61 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 362   Mercyhurst W 68-53 90%    
  Jan 20, 2025 354   St. Francis (PA) W 65-54 81%    
  Jan 24, 2025 362   @ Mercyhurst W 65-56 77%    
  Jan 26, 2025 354   @ St. Francis (PA) W 62-57 65%    
  Jan 30, 2025 356   @ Stonehill W 63-58 67%    
  Feb 01, 2025 335   Le Moyne W 65-57 75%    
  Feb 06, 2025 352   LIU Brooklyn W 68-58 79%    
  Feb 08, 2025 347   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 13, 2025 335   @ Le Moyne W 62-60 56%    
  Feb 20, 2025 356   Stonehill W 66-55 82%    
  Feb 22, 2025 332   @ Chicago St. W 59-58 54%    
  Feb 27, 2025 352   @ LIU Brooklyn W 65-61 62%    
  Mar 01, 2025 304   Central Connecticut St. W 62-58 64%    
Projected Record 15 - 10 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.3 6.6 10.4 10.4 6.8 2.8 39.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.6 7.4 6.6 2.9 0.5 21.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 14.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.1 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 3.0 1.1 0.1 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 0.8 0.0 4.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 3.0 4.7 7.0 9.2 11.9 13.3 13.9 13.4 10.8 6.8 2.8 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 2.8    2.8
15-1 100.0% 6.8    6.6 0.2
14-2 95.7% 10.4    9.0 1.3 0.0
13-3 78.0% 10.4    7.2 3.0 0.2
12-4 47.3% 6.6    3.1 2.8 0.6 0.0
11-5 17.3% 2.3    0.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 39.7% 39.7 29.4 8.4 1.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 2.8% 68.1% 68.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.9
15-1 6.8% 60.0% 60.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.8 2.7
14-2 10.8% 52.3% 52.3% 15.7 0.0 0.3 1.3 4.1 5.2
13-3 13.4% 40.8% 40.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 5.0 7.9
12-4 13.9% 32.5% 32.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.4 9.4
11-5 13.3% 25.6% 25.6% 16.0 0.0 3.4 9.9
10-6 11.9% 18.4% 18.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2 9.7
9-7 9.2% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 1.2 7.9
8-8 7.0% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.7 6.3
7-9 4.7% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.3 4.4
6-10 3.0% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.2 2.8
5-11 1.7% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.1 1.7
4-12 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9
3-13 0.4% 0.4
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 29.7% 29.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.0 23.6 70.3 0.0%