Wagner
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#342
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#321
Pace57.0#362
Improvement-3.6#329

Offense
Total Offense-10.8#362
First Shot-9.7#359
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#257
Layup/Dunks-8.0#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#262
Freethrows-2.2#305
Improvement-1.3#259

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#188
First Shot-2.9#273
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#26
Layups/Dunks+0.2#164
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#283
Freethrows-1.4#282
Improvement-2.3#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 8.7% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 19.1% 41.8% 15.6%
.500 or above in Conference 28.3% 55.2% 24.3%
Conference Champion 1.0% 4.6% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 26.4% 10.9% 28.8%
First Four5.2% 8.2% 4.7%
First Round2.2% 3.1% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Away) - 13.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 5
Quad 410 - 1011 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 74   @ Rutgers L 52-75 3%     0 - 1 -12.7 -13.7 +0.6
  Nov 13, 2024 21   @ St. John's L 45-66 1%     0 - 2 -2.3 -12.7 +8.5
  Nov 16, 2024 131   @ Seton Hall L 28-54 7%     0 - 3 -20.8 -30.2 +1.3
  Nov 19, 2024 255   @ Boston University W 60-58 20%     1 - 3 -0.4 -2.6 +2.5
  Nov 26, 2024 60   @ Georgetown L 41-66 3%     1 - 4 -13.4 -18.0 +0.6
  Dec 04, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 65-52 78%     2 - 4 -6.7 +1.9 -5.6
  Dec 08, 2024 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 63-61 51%     3 - 4 -9.7 -5.5 -3.8
  Dec 14, 2024 359   @ NJIT W 50-43 48%     4 - 4 -4.0 -20.4 +17.1
  Dec 18, 2024 293   Manhattan L 66-80 45%     4 - 5 -24.2 -8.3 -17.4
  Jan 03, 2025 357   Chicago St. L 52-64 70%     4 - 6 0 - 1 -29.0 -16.6 -14.4
  Jan 05, 2025 317   Fairleigh Dickinson L 59-71 53%     4 - 7 0 - 2 -24.3 -21.9 -2.4
  Jan 10, 2025 212   @ Central Connecticut St. L 51-63 13%    
  Jan 18, 2025 355   Mercyhurst W 60-55 69%    
  Jan 20, 2025 348   St. Francis (PA) W 63-59 64%    
  Jan 24, 2025 355   @ Mercyhurst L 57-58 47%    
  Jan 26, 2025 348   @ St. Francis (PA) L 60-62 43%    
  Jan 30, 2025 313   @ Stonehill L 57-63 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 346   Le Moyne W 63-60 63%    
  Feb 06, 2025 330   LIU Brooklyn W 59-57 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 317   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 63-68 31%    
  Feb 13, 2025 346   @ Le Moyne L 60-63 41%    
  Feb 20, 2025 313   Stonehill W 60-59 51%    
  Feb 22, 2025 357   @ Chicago St. L 58-59 47%    
  Feb 27, 2025 330   @ LIU Brooklyn L 56-60 35%    
  Mar 01, 2025 212   Central Connecticut St. L 54-60 30%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.2 3.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 8.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 5.8 2.7 0.2 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 7.6 4.0 0.4 13.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 6.8 6.3 0.7 15.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 6.2 6.9 1.0 0.0 15.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 5.3 6.5 1.5 0.0 15.0 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 3.0 6.0 4.9 1.1 0.0 16.4 9th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.2 7.5 11.2 14.8 16.7 16.9 12.8 8.1 4.5 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 92.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 49.4% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
11-5 14.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 42.9% 42.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.8% 24.0% 24.0% 16.0 0.2 0.6
11-5 1.9% 18.0% 18.0% 16.0 0.3 1.6
10-6 4.5% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 0.7 3.8
9-7 8.1% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 0.9 7.2
8-8 12.8% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 1.0 11.9
7-9 16.9% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 1.0 15.9
6-10 16.7% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.7 16.0
5-11 14.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 14.4
4-12 11.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.1
3-13 7.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.5
2-14 3.2% 3.2
1-15 1.1% 1.1
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 5.4 94.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%