Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#256
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#154
Pace66.9#257
Improvement-2.0#343

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#294
First Shot-0.5#204
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#346
Layup/Dunks+0.1#184
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#315
Freethrows+1.2#131
Improvement-0.4#250

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#189
First Shot-1.2#218
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#144
Layups/Dunks-2.2#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#241
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement-1.6#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.7% 37.5% 28.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 79.9% 87.2% 69.0%
.500 or above in Conference 92.2% 94.3% 89.0%
Conference Champion 46.9% 51.7% 39.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.7% 1.7%
First Four16.3% 15.9% 16.9%
First Round25.0% 29.1% 19.0%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Away) - 59.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 31 - 32 - 5
Quad 416 - 718 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 77   @ Providence L 55-59 9%     0 - 1 +6.3 -4.4 +10.3
  Nov 08, 2024 100   @ Saint Joseph's W 73-67 12%     1 - 1 +14.2 +5.6 +8.7
  Nov 16, 2024 148   Northeastern L 62-80 30%     1 - 2 -17.4 -10.4 -7.1
  Nov 21, 2024 331   @ Sacred Heart W 74-71 60%    
  Nov 24, 2024 329   Binghamton W 72-64 77%    
  Dec 01, 2024 154   Umass Lowell L 71-73 43%    
  Dec 04, 2024 129   @ Massachusetts L 65-75 18%    
  Dec 07, 2024 318   @ Holy Cross W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 15, 2024 117   @ Rhode Island L 67-78 16%    
  Dec 18, 2024 274   @ Fairfield L 66-68 43%    
  Dec 21, 2024 224   Quinnipiac W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 03, 2025 343   @ St. Francis (PA) W 70-66 66%    
  Jan 05, 2025 359   @ Mercyhurst W 67-60 72%    
  Jan 10, 2025 280   Wagner W 61-57 65%    
  Jan 12, 2025 337   LIU Brooklyn W 76-67 79%    
  Jan 18, 2025 342   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-74 65%    
  Jan 24, 2025 336   @ Le Moyne W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 26, 2025 349   Chicago St. W 76-65 84%    
  Jan 30, 2025 337   @ LIU Brooklyn W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 344   @ Stonehill W 69-65 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 342   Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-71 82%    
  Feb 13, 2025 359   Mercyhurst W 70-57 86%    
  Feb 15, 2025 343   St. Francis (PA) W 73-63 81%    
  Feb 20, 2025 349   @ Chicago St. W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 22, 2025 344   Stonehill W 72-62 82%    
  Feb 27, 2025 336   Le Moyne W 73-64 78%    
  Mar 01, 2025 280   @ Wagner L 58-60 44%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.8 8.9 12.3 11.5 7.1 2.6 46.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 4.8 7.9 6.1 2.3 0.4 22.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.9 4.9 2.3 0.4 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 2.3 0.6 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.9 6.0 8.8 11.7 14.2 15.4 14.6 11.9 7.1 2.6 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 2.6    2.6
15-1 100.0% 7.1    7.0 0.1
14-2 96.8% 11.5    10.4 1.1 0.0
13-3 84.2% 12.3    9.4 2.8 0.1
12-4 58.0% 8.9    4.8 3.5 0.6 0.0
11-5 27.0% 3.8    1.0 1.8 0.8 0.1
10-6 6.2% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 46.9% 46.9 35.2 9.6 1.8 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 2.6% 69.9% 69.9% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.8
15-1 7.1% 59.9% 59.9% 14.7 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.7 0.9 2.8
14-2 11.9% 52.1% 52.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 3.0 5.7
13-3 14.6% 43.2% 43.2% 15.7 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.6 8.3
12-4 15.4% 36.1% 36.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 5.0 9.8
11-5 14.2% 29.1% 29.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.0 10.1
10-6 11.7% 22.2% 22.2% 16.0 0.0 2.6 9.1
9-7 8.8% 17.3% 17.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5 7.2
8-8 6.0% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.8 5.2
7-9 3.9% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.4 3.5
6-10 2.1% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.2 1.9
5-11 1.1% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.1 1.1
4-12 0.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-13 0.2% 0.2
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 33.7% 33.7% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.9 6.5 23.0 66.3 0.0%