Preseason Rankings
Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#305
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.9#271
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.2#353
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#195
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.1% 30.8% 22.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 19.2 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 58.3% 78.0% 52.4%
.500 or above in Conference 83.6% 87.6% 82.4%
Conference Champion 39.4% 50.0% 36.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.7% 2.4%
First Four18.1% 19.3% 17.7%
First Round17.3% 24.5% 15.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 23.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 21 - 5
Quad 414 - 915 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2025 215   @ Quinnipiac L 66-74 23%    
  Nov 11, 2025 100   @ Boston College L 58-74 7%    
  Nov 16, 2025 173   @ Massachusetts L 64-74 18%    
  Nov 21, 2025 81   @ Rutgers L 58-76 5%    
  Nov 24, 2025 254   Sacred Heart L 70-71 50%    
  Dec 03, 2025 101   @ Seton Hall L 54-70 8%    
  Dec 07, 2025 226   @ Northeastern L 62-69 25%    
  Dec 13, 2025 331   @ Binghamton L 63-64 47%    
  Dec 18, 2025 319   Fairfield W 66-62 63%    
  Jan 02, 2026 300   @ LIU Brooklyn L 60-64 38%    
  Jan 04, 2026 363   New Haven W 71-59 85%    
  Jan 08, 2026 340   Stonehill W 66-60 70%    
  Jan 10, 2026 347   @ Le Moyne W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 17, 2026 344   @ St. Francis (PA) W 66-65 52%    
  Jan 19, 2026 361   @ Mercyhurst W 64-59 65%    
  Jan 23, 2026 354   Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-64 74%    
  Jan 25, 2026 340   @ Stonehill W 63-62 51%    
  Jan 29, 2026 343   @ Wagner W 56-55 52%    
  Jan 31, 2026 300   LIU Brooklyn W 63-61 58%    
  Feb 05, 2026 349   Chicago St. W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 07, 2026 343   Wagner W 59-53 70%    
  Feb 12, 2026 363   @ New Haven W 68-62 69%    
  Feb 14, 2026 354   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 19, 2026 347   Le Moyne W 73-66 71%    
  Feb 21, 2026 349   @ Chicago St. W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 26, 2026 361   Mercyhurst W 67-56 81%    
  Feb 28, 2026 344   St. Francis (PA) W 69-62 70%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.5 6.9 8.9 8.1 5.6 35.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 5.1 6.0 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 18.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.7 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.7 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 4.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 0.5 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.0 3.3 5.1 6.3 8.5 10.0 11.3 11.9 10.9 10.5 8.6 5.7 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 98.9% 5.6    5.4 0.2
15-1 94.5% 8.1    7.4 0.7 0.0
14-2 84.2% 8.9    7.1 1.7 0.1
13-3 63.9% 6.9    4.4 2.2 0.3 0.0
12-4 37.7% 4.5    1.8 2.0 0.7 0.1
11-5 12.2% 1.4    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 35.5% 35.5 26.4 7.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 5.7% 54.7% 54.7% 17.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 2.6
15-1 8.6% 48.0% 48.0% 18.4 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.8 4.5
14-2 10.5% 38.8% 38.8% 17.6 0.0 0.5 4.0 6.4
13-3 10.9% 31.7% 31.7% 17.3 0.1 3.6 7.4
12-4 11.9% 24.1% 24.1% 16.9 0.0 3.0 9.1
11-5 11.3% 17.1% 17.1% 16.6 0.0 2.0 9.3
10-6 10.0% 11.0% 11.0% 16.5 1.1 8.9
9-7 8.5% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.6 7.8
8-8 6.3% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.3 6.0
7-9 5.1% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.2 4.9
6-10 3.3% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.1 3.2
5-11 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
4-12 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-13 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 22.1% 22.1% 0.0% 17.4 0.0 0.4 2.6 21.2 77.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%