Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#123
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#172
Pace66.7#264
Improvement+0.6#144

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#147
First Shot-4.5#293
After Offensive Rebound+5.0#4
Layup/Dunks-3.7#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#126
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#249
Freethrows+0.8#140
Improvement+0.0#190

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#112
First Shot+2.8#83
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#249
Layups/Dunks+0.9#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#284
Freethrows+4.0#13
Improvement+0.7#134
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 10.0 9.8 10.4
.500 or above 5.3% 12.9% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 1.6% 2.8% 1.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 40.8% 33.4% 42.5%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 19.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 12
Quad 22 - 53 - 17
Quad 33 - 16 - 19
Quad 46 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 336 Rider W 81-53 93%     1 - 0 +14.4 +6.9 +8.9
  Mon, Nov 10 328 Maine W 72-60 92%     2 - 0 -0.9 +3.7 -3.4
  Fri, Nov 14 307 Lehigh W 84-72 89%     3 - 0 +0.9 +5.8 -4.9
  Tue, Nov 18 242 American W 80-71 83%     4 - 0 +1.5 +3.8 -2.4
  Fri, Nov 21 243 Central Connecticut St. L 54-67 83%     4 - 1 -20.5 -13.9 -8.3
  Mon, Nov 24 17 Tennessee L 60-85 11%     4 - 2 -8.8 -1.7 -8.4
  Tue, Nov 25 58 Notre Dame L 63-68 25%     4 - 3 +4.5 +2.8 +1.1
  Thu, Nov 27 132 UNLV W 80-65 52%     5 - 3 +16.9 +7.3 +9.7
  Tue, Dec 2 7 Purdue L 65-81 9%     5 - 4 0 - 1 +1.3 +2.8 -2.7
  Sat, Dec 6 1 @Michigan L 60-101 1%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -11.6 +1.0 -11.1
  Sat, Dec 13 64 @Seton Hall L 62-71 19%    
  Sat, Dec 20 248 Penn W 79-69 84%    
  Mon, Dec 29 351 Delaware St. W 77-59 96%    
  Fri, Jan 2 24 Ohio St. L 69-78 19%    
  Mon, Jan 5 81 Oregon L 71-73 44%    
  Thu, Jan 8 15 @Illinois L 65-84 5%    
  Sun, Jan 11 61 Northwestern L 71-74 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 30 @Wisconsin L 68-82 10%    
  Tue, Jan 20 25 @Iowa L 62-77 8%    
  Fri, Jan 23 28 Indiana L 68-76 22%    
  Tue, Jan 27 12 Michigan St. L 61-74 12%    
  Sat, Jan 31 35 @USC L 69-82 11%    
  Tue, Feb 3 27 @UCLA L 62-76 10%    
  Sat, Feb 7 48 Nebraska L 71-76 32%    
  Sun, Feb 15 93 Maryland L 72-73 50%    
  Wed, Feb 18 96 @Penn St. L 71-77 30%    
  Sat, Feb 21 102 @Minnesota L 64-69 32%    
  Tue, Feb 24 49 Washington L 70-75 33%    
  Sun, Mar 1 93 @Maryland L 69-75 29%    
  Thu, Mar 5 12 @Michigan St. L 58-77 5%    
  Sun, Mar 8 96 Penn St. W 74-73 51%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.7 0.1 2.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.2 12th
13th 0.3 2.2 2.8 0.7 0.0 6.1 13th
14th 0.1 2.1 4.8 1.9 0.1 9.1 14th
15th 0.1 1.8 5.6 3.7 0.4 11.7 15th
16th 0.1 1.9 6.6 5.6 1.0 0.0 15.3 16th
17th 0.2 2.3 7.6 7.4 2.1 0.1 0.0 19.6 17th
18th 1.8 6.1 9.8 7.4 2.1 0.2 0.0 27.4 18th
Total 1.8 6.3 12.1 17.0 18.0 15.9 12.3 7.8 4.7 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 38.1% 38.1% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 38.1%
11-9 0.4% 13.2% 13.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 13.2%
10-10 1.1% 4.7% 0.3% 4.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.4%
9-11 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 2.5 0.1%
8-12 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 4.7 0.1%
7-13 7.8% 7.8
6-14 12.3% 12.3
5-15 15.9% 15.9
4-16 18.0% 18.0
3-17 17.0% 17.0
2-18 12.1% 12.1
1-19 6.3% 6.3
0-20 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.2%