UCLA
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.6#31
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#64
Pace63.7#322
Improvement+1.1#97

Offense
Total Offense+7.2#42
First Shot+7.2#23
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#180
Layup/Dunks+2.4#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#165
Freethrows+1.4#105
Improvement+2.1#35

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#32
First Shot+5.5#37
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#118
Layups/Dunks+2.1#104
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#239
Freethrows+2.8#36
Improvement-1.0#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 1.4% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 8.2% 9.3% 3.4%
Top 6 Seed 23.7% 26.4% 12.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 68.5% 72.2% 52.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 67.9% 71.7% 51.8%
Average Seed 7.4 7.3 8.0
.500 or above 92.3% 94.9% 81.0%
.500 or above in Conference 77.5% 82.3% 56.9%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 1.0%
First Four6.3% 6.1% 7.4%
First Round65.5% 69.4% 48.9%
Second Round40.2% 43.1% 27.5%
Sweet Sixteen14.3% 15.6% 8.8%
Elite Eight5.3% 5.8% 3.3%
Final Four2.0% 2.2% 1.0%
Championship Game0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.2%

Next Game: Oregon (Home) - 81.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 9
Quad 25 - 310 - 12
Quad 33 - 013 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 251 Eastern Washington W 80-74 97%     1 - 0 -2.0 -0.1 -2.0
  Fri, Nov 7 298 Pepperdine W 74-63 98%     2 - 0 +0.3 +5.5 -3.9
  Mon, Nov 10 285 West Georgia W 83-62 97%     3 - 0 +11.3 +12.0 +0.8
  Fri, Nov 14 9 Arizona L 65-69 29%     3 - 1 +15.3 +3.9 +11.3
  Tue, Nov 18 274 Sacramento St. W 79-48 97%     4 - 1 +21.8 +1.5 +19.9
  Fri, Nov 21 257 Presbyterian W 86-46 97%     5 - 1 +31.6 +14.8 +18.5
  Tue, Nov 25 69 California L 72-80 70%     5 - 2 +0.0 +1.5 -1.4
  Wed, Dec 3 57 @Washington W 82-80 55%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +14.4 +20.3 -5.7
  Sat, Dec 6 80 Oregon W 76-67 81%    
  Sat, Dec 13 4 Gonzaga L 69-77 23%    
  Wed, Dec 17 82 Arizona St. W 78-68 81%    
  Fri, Dec 19 243 Cal Poly W 89-68 98%    
  Tue, Dec 23 271 UC Riverside W 82-59 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 27 @Iowa L 66-70 38%    
  Tue, Jan 6 36 @Wisconsin L 73-75 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 86 Maryland W 77-66 83%    
  Wed, Jan 14 96 @Penn St. W 75-70 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 25 @Ohio St. L 70-74 36%    
  Tue, Jan 20 2 Purdue L 68-74 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 60 Northwestern W 74-67 75%    
  Wed, Jan 28 80 @Oregon W 73-70 62%    
  Sat, Jan 31 24 Indiana W 72-70 58%    
  Tue, Feb 3 120 Rutgers W 75-62 89%    
  Sat, Feb 7 57 Washington W 75-68 74%    
  Sat, Feb 14 1 @Michigan L 66-81 9%    
  Tue, Feb 17 10 @Michigan St. L 64-72 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 17 Illinois L 74-75 48%    
  Tue, Feb 24 32 USC W 76-73 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 95 @Minnesota W 68-63 68%    
  Tue, Mar 3 49 Nebraska W 76-70 69%    
  Sat, Mar 7 32 @USC L 73-76 39%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.9 1.0 0.2 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.4 1.3 0.2 8.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 3.8 4.4 1.8 0.2 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.9 5.4 2.0 0.2 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.5 2.7 0.3 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.2 3.5 0.4 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.1 3.9 0.8 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.2 2.2 4.0 1.1 0.0 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.5 1.8 0.2 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.2 0.3 5.0 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 2.0 0.6 0.0 3.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.9 0.1 2.7 13th
14th 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 1.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.0 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.7 6.3 9.3 12.3 14.0 14.7 13.2 10.1 6.9 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-2 72.6% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
17-3 34.0% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 10.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 25.0% 75.0% 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.6% 100.0% 14.0% 86.0% 2.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.8% 100.0% 8.7% 91.3% 3.4 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.7% 100.0% 6.7% 93.3% 4.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 6.9% 99.8% 4.5% 95.3% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.1 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
14-6 10.1% 99.4% 2.5% 96.9% 6.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.8 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 99.4%
13-7 13.2% 96.8% 2.3% 94.4% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.3 3.7 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 96.7%
12-8 14.7% 91.0% 1.1% 89.8% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.6 3.9 3.1 1.8 0.4 1.3 90.9%
11-9 14.0% 75.1% 0.6% 74.5% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.1 2.9 3.0 1.5 0.0 3.5 74.9%
10-10 12.3% 51.1% 0.5% 50.5% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.1 2.1 0.1 6.0 50.8%
9-11 9.3% 21.5% 0.4% 21.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.1 7.3 21.3%
8-12 6.3% 3.6% 3.6% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 6.1 3.6%
7-13 3.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 3.7 0.5%
6-14 1.9% 1.9
5-15 0.8% 0.8
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 68.5% 1.8% 66.7% 7.4 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.7 6.8 8.7 10.5 11.1 9.4 8.0 5.5 0.2 31.5 67.9%