Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#336
Expected Predictive Rating-23.6#365
Pace67.1#250
Improvement+1.1#111

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#341
First Shot-6.6#347
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#187
Layup/Dunks-3.7#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#353
Freethrows+2.1#69
Improvement+0.6#129

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#310
First Shot-2.6#257
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#282
Layups/Dunks-3.6#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#261
Freethrows+3.4#19
Improvement+0.5#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.2% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.1% 7.0% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 14.8% 34.8% 12.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 20.9% 7.3% 22.4%
First Four0.6% 1.1% 0.5%
First Round0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 10.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 47 - 118 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 23 @Virginia L 53-87 1%     0 - 1 -16.1 -8.5 -10.9
  Wed, Nov 5 123 @Rutgers L 53-81 7%     0 - 2 -22.5 -13.7 -10.3
  Tue, Nov 18 46 @Texas L 65-99 2%     0 - 3 -20.1 -7.7 -10.1
  Thu, Nov 20 8 @Houston L 45-91 1%     0 - 4 -23.3 -13.8 -11.4
  Tue, Nov 25 364 Coppin St. L 65-68 82%     0 - 5 -23.4 -16.6 -6.8
  Thu, Dec 4 283 @Merrimack L 66-68 25%     0 - 6 0 - 1 -5.6 -0.1 -5.6
  Sun, Dec 7 154 @Quinnipiac L 67-81 10%    
  Tue, Dec 9 316 Bucknell W 71-70 54%    
  Tue, Dec 16 296 @Delaware L 67-73 29%    
  Mon, Dec 22 42 @Virginia Commonwealth L 59-84 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 308 Manhattan W 74-73 52%    
  Sun, Jan 4 156 Siena L 64-71 25%    
  Fri, Jan 9 290 @Fairfield L 68-74 29%    
  Sun, Jan 11 158 Marist L 59-66 26%    
  Wed, Jan 14 176 Iona L 73-79 29%    
  Sat, Jan 17 326 @St. Peter's L 65-69 36%    
  Mon, Jan 19 256 Sacred Heart L 76-78 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 304 @Mount St. Mary's L 67-73 31%    
  Fri, Jan 30 308 @Manhattan L 71-76 31%    
  Sun, Feb 1 326 St. Peter's W 68-66 57%    
  Thu, Feb 5 158 @Marist L 56-69 12%    
  Sat, Feb 7 283 Merrimack L 66-67 46%    
  Fri, Feb 13 304 Mount St. Mary's W 71-70 51%    
  Sun, Feb 15 256 @Sacred Heart L 73-81 23%    
  Fri, Feb 20 355 Canisius W 69-63 69%    
  Sun, Feb 22 342 Niagara W 68-64 63%    
  Fri, Feb 27 176 @Iona L 70-82 14%    
  Sun, Mar 1 156 @Siena L 61-74 12%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.3 2.1 0.4 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.0 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.6 4.2 1.1 0.1 11.3 9th
10th 0.2 1.5 4.9 5.4 1.7 0.1 13.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.5 5.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 15.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 2.9 5.5 5.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 16.6 12th
13th 0.4 1.5 3.1 4.1 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.0 13th
Total 0.4 1.5 3.8 7.2 10.5 13.3 14.1 13.7 11.5 9.1 6.4 4.0 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 85.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 63.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 34.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 7.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.2% 8.2% 8.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-6 0.5% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5
13-7 1.2% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.1
12-8 2.4% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.1 2.3
11-9 4.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 3.9
10-10 6.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 6.3
9-11 9.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.1
8-12 11.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.5
7-13 13.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.6
6-14 14.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.1
5-15 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.3
4-16 10.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.5
3-17 7.2% 7.2
2-18 3.8% 3.8
1-19 1.5% 1.5
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%