Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#294
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#274
Pace64.0#299
Improvement-1.0#228

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#281
First Shot-8.6#356
After Offensive Rebound+4.6#6
Layup/Dunks-5.6#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.8#360
Freethrows-0.8#238
Improvement-0.5#214

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#283
First Shot-2.7#260
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#274
Layups/Dunks-1.6#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#319
Freethrows+2.3#42
Improvement-0.5#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.4% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 10.3% 15.6% 4.4%
.500 or above in Conference 34.8% 46.9% 21.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 3.4% 10.8%
First Four2.3% 2.8% 1.7%
First Round1.4% 1.9% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 52.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 32 - 7
Quad 412 - 1213 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 31   @ UCLA L 50-85 3%     0 - 1 -19.3 -8.4 -13.9
  Nov 06, 2024 290   @ San Diego W 68-67 39%     1 - 1 -3.7 -5.3 +1.6
  Nov 09, 2024 362   @ Coppin St. W 64-53 74%     2 - 1 -3.3 -10.5 +7.4
  Nov 12, 2024 291   @ Navy W 90-79 39%     3 - 1 +6.3 +15.2 -8.8
  Nov 19, 2024 50   @ Iowa L 58-83 4%     3 - 2 -11.6 -14.8 +3.9
  Nov 23, 2024 265   @ Bucknell W 57-53 33%     4 - 2 +0.8 -5.5 +6.9
  Nov 27, 2024 42   @ Villanova L 48-72 3%     4 - 3 -9.6 -13.0 -1.0
  Nov 30, 2024 196   Delaware L 66-72 37%     4 - 4 -10.3 -4.5 -6.5
  Dec 04, 2024 318   @ Fairfield L 75-78 45%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -9.3 +1.9 -11.4
  Dec 06, 2024 184   Quinnipiac L 67-72 35%     4 - 6 0 - 2 -8.8 +0.7 -9.9
  Dec 14, 2024 320   Stony Brook L 55-72 66%     4 - 7 -29.0 -14.1 -18.0
  Dec 20, 2024 287   @ Penn L 66-79 38%     4 - 8 -17.4 -1.2 -17.9
  Dec 22, 2024 93   @ North Carolina St. L 63-89 7%     4 - 9 -17.2 -3.3 -15.1
  Jan 05, 2025 297   Manhattan L 79-80 61%     4 - 10 0 - 3 -11.4 -0.1 -11.3
  Jan 10, 2025 346   @ Canisius L 67-85 56%     4 - 11 0 - 4 -27.2 -5.0 -24.3
  Jan 12, 2025 310   @ Niagara W 68-65 43%     5 - 11 1 - 4 -2.8 -0.5 -1.9
  Jan 16, 2025 266   Mount St. Mary's W 66-60 54%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -2.7 -11.5 +8.5
  Jan 18, 2025 218   @ Marist W 64-57 24%     7 - 11 3 - 4 +6.6 -0.1 +7.3
  Jan 23, 2025 253   Iona W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 25, 2025 184   @ Quinnipiac L 66-75 18%    
  Jan 31, 2025 232   St. Peter's L 61-62 48%    
  Feb 02, 2025 206   Merrimack L 63-66 41%    
  Feb 06, 2025 295   @ Sacred Heart L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 08, 2025 270   Siena W 67-66 56%    
  Feb 14, 2025 253   @ Iona L 66-71 31%    
  Feb 16, 2025 232   @ St. Peter's L 58-64 27%    
  Feb 21, 2025 318   Fairfield W 72-68 66%    
  Feb 23, 2025 266   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-70 34%    
  Feb 28, 2025 206   @ Merrimack L 61-69 22%    
  Mar 06, 2025 346   Canisius W 74-67 74%    
  Mar 08, 2025 310   Niagara W 69-65 65%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.4 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 1.0 3.9 2.8 0.7 0.0 8.4 4th
5th 0.6 4.8 4.5 0.8 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.2 3.9 7.1 1.4 0.1 12.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.8 7.7 3.0 0.1 12.6 7th
8th 0.5 5.6 5.7 0.5 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.8 7.3 1.3 0.0 11.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 6.0 3.6 0.1 10.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.4 3.9 0.5 0.0 8.5 11th
12th 0.2 1.8 3.1 0.6 0.0 5.7 12th
13th 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.7 13th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.6 8.3 13.9 19.0 19.3 16.5 10.4 5.1 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5 60.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 7.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.1% 0.1
14-6 0.5% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5
13-7 2.2% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 2.0
12-8 5.1% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.4 4.7
11-9 10.4% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.6 9.8
10-10 16.5% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.6 15.9
9-11 19.3% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.6 18.7
8-12 19.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 18.8
7-13 13.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.8
6-14 8.3% 8.3
5-15 3.6% 3.6
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.7 97.3 0.0%