Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.7#352
Expected Predictive Rating-20.9#363
Pace66.6#246
Improvement+0.8#130

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#302
First Shot+0.7#149
After Offensive Rebound-5.2#364
Layup/Dunks-4.0#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#45
Freethrows-1.5#272
Improvement-0.7#247

Defense
Total Defense-8.2#361
First Shot-8.3#361
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#179
Layups/Dunks-3.4#304
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#320
Freethrows-1.2#266
Improvement+1.5#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.1% 6.3% 3.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 63.3% 51.4% 63.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 2.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 10
Quad 45 - 175 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 21   @ Arizona L 64-93 1%     0 - 1 -11.7 -2.0 -8.9
  Nov 09, 2024 89   St. Bonaventure L 78-87 8%     0 - 2 -5.9 +17.1 -24.1
  Nov 13, 2024 360   @ Mercyhurst L 52-62 46%     0 - 3 -21.7 -19.1 -3.9
  Nov 16, 2024 263   SIU Edwardsville L 58-76 25%     0 - 4 -23.6 -13.3 -11.1
  Nov 17, 2024 295   @ Western Michigan L 69-92 20%     0 - 5 -27.0 -5.5 -22.0
  Nov 19, 2024 19   @ Maryland L 37-108 1%     0 - 6 -53.6 -29.6 -18.1
  Nov 23, 2024 159   Brown L 76-83 18%     0 - 7 -10.1 +11.0 -21.9
  Nov 27, 2024 259   @ Robert Morris L 64-72 17%     0 - 8 -10.5 -4.7 -6.1
  Dec 06, 2024 217   Merrimack L 52-60 25%     0 - 9 0 - 1 -13.8 -17.5 +3.2
  Dec 08, 2024 283   Siena L 53-66 38%     0 - 10 0 - 2 -22.6 -13.3 -11.7
  Dec 14, 2024 213   Maine L 79-84 25%     0 - 11 -10.5 +12.3 -23.3
  Dec 18, 2024 104   @ Loyola Chicago L 62-83 3%    
  Dec 21, 2024 76   @ Bradley L 62-85 2%    
  Jan 05, 2025 277   @ Sacred Heart L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 10, 2025 288   Rider L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 12, 2025 221   St. Peter's L 63-70 26%    
  Jan 16, 2025 257   @ Iona L 66-76 17%    
  Jan 18, 2025 292   @ Fairfield L 70-79 21%    
  Jan 23, 2025 277   Sacred Heart L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 236   Marist L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 31, 2025 314   Niagara L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 06, 2025 238   @ Quinnipiac L 69-81 14%    
  Feb 08, 2025 217   @ Merrimack L 61-74 12%    
  Feb 12, 2025 314   @ Niagara L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 16, 2025 266   Mount St. Mary's L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 21, 2025 236   @ Marist L 62-74 14%    
  Feb 23, 2025 283   @ Siena L 64-73 20%    
  Feb 28, 2025 316   Manhattan L 75-76 47%    
  Mar 02, 2025 257   Iona L 69-73 35%    
  Mar 06, 2025 288   @ Rider L 65-74 21%    
  Mar 08, 2025 221   @ St. Peter's L 60-73 13%    
Projected Record 5 - 26 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 2.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.4 0.6 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 1.8 0.1 6.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.7 3.4 0.5 0.0 10.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.5 7.4 5.3 1.3 0.0 20.3 12th
13th 1.5 5.4 10.3 13.7 11.6 6.3 1.6 0.1 0.0 50.4 13th
Total 1.5 5.4 10.5 15.1 16.5 15.9 13.1 9.2 6.1 3.6 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 25.0% 0.0    0.0
14-6 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 11.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.3% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3
11-9 0.9% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8
10-10 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7
9-11 3.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.6
8-12 6.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.1
7-13 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.2
6-14 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
5-15 15.9% 15.9
4-16 16.5% 16.5
3-17 15.1% 15.1
2-18 10.5% 10.5
1-19 5.4% 5.4
0-20 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%