Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#318
Expected Predictive Rating-18.7#353
Pace66.6#262
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#286
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#332
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.9% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 9.6% 15.6% 5.0%
.500 or above in Conference 29.5% 37.0% 23.7%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.7% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 16.7% 12.6% 19.8%
First Four1.4% 1.9% 1.1%
First Round1.3% 1.9% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Neutral) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 49 - 1210 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 8   @ Arizona L 64-93 1%     0 - 1 -8.5 -1.1 -6.6
  Nov 09, 2024 113   St. Bonaventure L 78-87 19%     0 - 2 -8.2 +14.3 -23.6
  Nov 13, 2024 356   @ Mercyhurst L 52-62 59%     0 - 3 -21.1 -17.1 -5.4
  Nov 16, 2024 293   SIU Edwardsville L 68-70 43%    
  Nov 17, 2024 311   @ Western Michigan L 69-73 37%    
  Nov 19, 2024 31   @ Maryland L 56-80 1%    
  Nov 23, 2024 199   Brown L 69-72 38%    
  Nov 27, 2024 295   @ Robert Morris L 69-74 34%    
  Dec 06, 2024 206   Merrimack L 64-67 39%    
  Dec 08, 2024 308   Siena W 70-68 57%    
  Dec 14, 2024 243   Maine L 67-69 44%    
  Dec 18, 2024 108   @ Loyola Chicago L 63-79 8%    
  Dec 21, 2024 90   @ Bradley L 62-79 6%    
  Jan 05, 2025 335   @ Sacred Heart L 76-77 45%    
  Jan 10, 2025 227   Rider L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 12, 2025 187   St. Peter's L 63-67 35%    
  Jan 16, 2025 221   @ Iona L 66-75 22%    
  Jan 18, 2025 258   @ Fairfield L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 23, 2025 335   Sacred Heart W 79-74 66%    
  Jan 25, 2025 226   Marist L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 31, 2025 320   Niagara W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 06, 2025 247   @ Quinnipiac L 71-79 26%    
  Feb 08, 2025 206   @ Merrimack L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 12, 2025 320   @ Niagara L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 16, 2025 256   Mount St. Mary's L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 21, 2025 226   @ Marist L 63-71 23%    
  Feb 23, 2025 308   @ Siena L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 28, 2025 334   Manhattan W 72-68 65%    
  Mar 02, 2025 221   Iona L 69-72 41%    
  Mar 06, 2025 227   @ Rider L 67-75 23%    
  Mar 08, 2025 187   @ St. Peter's L 60-70 19%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.4 3.3 0.8 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.0 1.3 0.1 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.8 1.8 0.1 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.0 5.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.2 4.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 12.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.7 4.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 12.5 12th
13th 0.2 1.0 2.4 3.0 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 10.7 13th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.8 4.6 7.2 9.3 11.0 12.2 11.8 10.5 9.1 7.4 5.0 3.4 2.2 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 85.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1
16-4 68.6% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 43.3% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 16.6% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 36.0% 36.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 31.9% 31.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.7% 15.2% 15.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6
15-5 1.2% 15.6% 15.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
14-6 2.2% 15.1% 15.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.9
13-7 3.4% 8.9% 8.9% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.1
12-8 5.0% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.3 4.7
11-9 7.4% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.1
10-10 9.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.9
9-11 10.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.3
8-12 11.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.7
7-13 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.2
6-14 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.0
5-15 9.3% 9.3
4-16 7.2% 7.2
3-17 4.6% 4.6
2-18 2.8% 2.8
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.8 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%