Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#216
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#173
Pace71.2#108
Improvement+2.2#85

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#238
First Shot-2.6#249
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#184
Layup/Dunks+0.8#144
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#348
Freethrows+3.8#18
Improvement+5.0#8

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#190
First Shot-2.1#245
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#55
Layups/Dunks-3.2#299
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#71
Freethrows-1.0#259
Improvement-2.9#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 8.1% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.1
.500 or above 96.2% 99.1% 94.5%
.500 or above in Conference 81.4% 92.9% 74.7%
Conference Champion 2.5% 5.6% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round6.3% 8.0% 5.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Away) - 36.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 35 - 66 - 8
Quad 413 - 519 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 32   @ West Virginia L 59-87 5%     0 - 1 -12.3 -5.3 -6.6
  Nov 07, 2024 196   @ Delaware L 77-81 34%     0 - 2 -2.8 -4.7 +2.3
  Nov 14, 2024 312   Stonehill W 63-51 79%     1 - 2 +0.6 -13.6 +14.5
  Nov 15, 2024 341   Lindenwood W 67-53 85%     2 - 2 -0.3 -3.7 +5.0
  Nov 17, 2024 343   New Orleans W 73-62 86%     3 - 2 -3.5 -10.6 +6.7
  Nov 21, 2024 134   @ Cornell W 86-76 23%     4 - 2 +14.5 +8.3 +5.9
  Nov 27, 2024 346   Canisius W 72-64 86%     5 - 2 -6.7 -8.3 +1.9
  Nov 30, 2024 147   @ Ohio L 68-84 25%     5 - 3 -12.1 -3.9 -8.2
  Dec 04, 2024 208   Youngstown St. L 58-72 58%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -19.1 -17.2 -1.2
  Dec 08, 2024 145   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-82 25%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -0.9 -5.7 +5.4
  Dec 17, 2024 176   Towson W 68-67 51%     6 - 5 -2.4 +2.9 -5.2
  Dec 21, 2024 345   St. Francis (PA) W 90-77 86%     7 - 5 -1.7 +5.0 -7.4
  Dec 29, 2024 235   Northern Kentucky W 97-93 3OT 65%     8 - 5 1 - 2 -2.9 -3.0 -1.0
  Jan 02, 2025 331   @ Detroit Mercy L 76-78 OT 68%     8 - 6 1 - 3 -9.9 -2.2 -7.6
  Jan 04, 2025 178   @ Oakland W 79-71 31%     9 - 6 2 - 3 +9.9 +13.9 -3.3
  Jan 08, 2025 173   Cleveland St. L 69-80 50%     9 - 7 2 - 4 -14.2 -4.6 -9.6
  Jan 12, 2025 177   Wright St. W 75-72 52%     10 - 7 3 - 4 -0.5 -4.3 +3.6
  Jan 17, 2025 333   @ Green Bay W 89-67 70%     11 - 7 4 - 4 +13.5 +10.7 +2.9
  Jan 19, 2025 161   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 81-79 28%     12 - 7 5 - 4 +5.0 +7.6 -2.6
  Jan 22, 2025 208   @ Youngstown St. L 69-72 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 178   Oakland W 67-66 52%    
  Jan 30, 2025 326   IU Indianapolis W 78-68 83%    
  Feb 02, 2025 177   @ Wright St. L 73-78 31%    
  Feb 05, 2025 331   Detroit Mercy W 76-66 84%    
  Feb 08, 2025 235   @ Northern Kentucky L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 12, 2025 173   @ Cleveland St. L 69-74 30%    
  Feb 15, 2025 145   Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-80 46%    
  Feb 21, 2025 333   Green Bay W 80-69 85%    
  Feb 23, 2025 161   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 27, 2025 326   @ IU Indianapolis W 75-71 65%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.2 1.0 0.1 2.5 1st
2nd 0.2 2.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.0 6.2 1.2 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 8.9 3.4 0.1 14.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.7 9.2 6.2 0.3 17.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 7.4 8.8 1.1 18.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 6.5 8.5 2.4 0.1 19.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.3 3.5 1.5 0.1 9.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.5 5.2 11.6 19.2 22.6 19.5 12.8 5.6 1.5 0.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 82.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-5 66.4% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2
14-6 22.0% 1.2    0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 1.5% 17.1% 17.1% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.3
14-6 5.6% 10.8% 10.8% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 5.0
13-7 12.8% 10.6% 10.6% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.1 11.4
12-8 19.5% 8.7% 8.7% 15.0 0.2 1.3 0.2 17.8
11-9 22.6% 5.5% 5.5% 15.3 0.1 0.8 0.4 21.4
10-10 19.2% 3.8% 3.8% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 18.4
9-11 11.6% 3.0% 3.0% 15.7 0.1 0.3 11.2
8-12 5.2% 1.9% 1.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 5.1
7-13 1.5% 1.5
6-14 0.3% 0.3
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.7 1.4 93.6 0.0%