Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#141
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#134
Pace73.1#75
Improvement+5.5#5

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#111
First Shot-2.2#239
After Offensive Rebound+4.6#11
Layup/Dunks+2.4#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#328
Freethrows+0.1#170
Improvement+2.9#20

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#210
First Shot-0.6#186
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#249
Layups/Dunks-1.1#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#189
Freethrows+0.7#136
Improvement+2.7#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.4% 21.8% 15.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 96.6% 97.0% 88.7%
.500 or above in Conference 96.0% 96.5% 87.4%
Conference Champion 36.0% 37.1% 16.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round21.4% 21.7% 15.7%
Second Round1.8% 1.8% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: IU Indianapolis (Home) - 94.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 36 - 56 - 7
Quad 415 - 320 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 99   @ Northern Iowa L 68-87 25%     0 - 1 -10.7 -0.2 -11.1
  Nov 13, 2024 220   @ Longwood L 62-76 54%     0 - 2 -13.9 -17.9 +5.9
  Nov 19, 2024 198   @ Duquesne W 80-74 49%     1 - 2 +7.3 +11.2 -3.8
  Nov 22, 2024 276   Portland St. W 91-74 83%     2 - 2 +7.9 +12.1 -4.3
  Nov 23, 2024 163   Wofford W 76-74 67%     3 - 2 -1.4 +5.2 -6.4
  Nov 24, 2024 143   St. Thomas W 69-65 63%     4 - 2 +1.8 -6.0 +7.9
  Nov 27, 2024 82   @ Central Florida L 76-84 21%     4 - 3 +1.7 +6.7 -4.8
  Nov 30, 2024 282   @ Southern Miss L 65-66 67%     4 - 4 -4.4 -1.7 -2.8
  Dec 05, 2024 241   Cleveland St. W 79-67 78%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +4.8 +11.8 -5.9
  Dec 11, 2024 331   @ Green Bay W 88-67 79%     6 - 4 2 - 0 +13.8 +10.8 +3.1
  Dec 15, 2024 146   Akron W 100-81 52%     7 - 4 +19.6 +8.1 +8.1
  Dec 29, 2024 353   IU Indianapolis W 84-67 94%    
  Jan 02, 2025 166   @ Oakland L 69-70 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 320   @ Detroit Mercy W 79-72 74%    
  Jan 08, 2025 152   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 82-84 42%    
  Jan 11, 2025 331   Green Bay W 88-74 91%    
  Jan 17, 2025 211   Youngstown St. W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 19, 2025 259   Robert Morris W 79-69 81%    
  Jan 22, 2025 133   @ Wright St. L 78-81 38%    
  Jan 24, 2025 216   @ Northern Kentucky W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 02, 2025 152   Purdue Fort Wayne W 85-81 63%    
  Feb 05, 2025 353   @ IU Indianapolis W 81-70 84%    
  Feb 08, 2025 241   @ Cleveland St. W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 14, 2025 133   Wright St. W 81-78 59%    
  Feb 16, 2025 216   Northern Kentucky W 77-70 73%    
  Feb 21, 2025 211   @ Youngstown St. W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 23, 2025 259   @ Robert Morris W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 27, 2025 166   Oakland W 72-67 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 320   Detroit Mercy W 82-69 88%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.8 7.5 10.4 8.2 4.7 1.7 0.4 36.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.2 7.9 6.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 21.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.7 4.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 15.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.9 3.3 0.6 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.4 2.6 0.4 0.0 7.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.4 4.6 7.2 11.0 13.9 15.8 15.4 12.8 8.5 4.7 1.7 0.4 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
19-1 100.0% 1.7    1.7 0.0
18-2 99.7% 4.7    4.6 0.1
17-3 95.9% 8.2    7.2 1.0 0.0
16-4 81.0% 10.4    7.1 3.0 0.3 0.0
15-5 48.8% 7.5    3.3 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 17.6% 2.8    0.5 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 36.0% 36.0 24.8 8.6 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.4% 52.6% 52.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
19-1 1.7% 45.6% 45.6% 12.3 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9
18-2 4.7% 40.5% 40.5% 12.8 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.8
17-3 8.5% 35.6% 35.6% 13.2 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.0 0.1 5.5
16-4 12.8% 30.1% 30.1% 13.6 0.2 1.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.0
15-5 15.4% 25.4% 25.4% 13.9 0.1 1.0 2.1 0.7 0.0 11.5
14-6 15.8% 20.1% 20.1% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.1 0.1 12.6
13-7 13.9% 15.8% 15.8% 14.6 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.1 11.7
12-8 11.0% 11.8% 11.8% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 9.7
11-9 7.2% 9.0% 9.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 6.5
10-10 4.6% 6.3% 6.3% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 4.3
9-11 2.4% 4.4% 4.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 2.2
8-12 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.0
7-13 0.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4
6-14 0.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 21.4% 21.4% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 6.1 8.1 4.6 0.7 78.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 11.5 1.1 3.3 2.2 35.9 54.3 3.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%