Longwood
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#167
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#117
Pace70.1#158
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#230
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#117
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.6% 18.7% 11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 84.2% 87.1% 66.4%
.500 or above in Conference 77.9% 79.9% 66.5%
Conference Champion 21.9% 23.4% 13.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 2.9% 6.1%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 1.1%
First Round17.3% 18.4% 10.7%
Second Round1.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Martin (Home) - 85.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 43 - 6
Quad 414 - 418 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 338   Morgan St. W 84-66 89%     1 - 0 +4.1 +0.2 +3.3
  Nov 13, 2024 240   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-62 73%     2 - 0 +7.4 -11.9 +17.4
  Nov 16, 2024 314   Tennessee Martin W 81-70 86%    
  Nov 19, 2024 330   @ Binghamton W 72-66 73%    
  Nov 22, 2024 101   UAB L 72-77 31%    
  Dec 05, 2024 360   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-61 94%    
  Dec 14, 2024 283   NC Central W 75-66 79%    
  Dec 18, 2024 304   @ Campbell W 71-67 64%    
  Dec 20, 2024 283   @ NC Central W 72-69 61%    
  Dec 29, 2024 63   @ SMU L 70-82 15%    
  Jan 02, 2025 264   @ Presbyterian W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 04, 2025 303   Charleston Southern W 76-66 81%    
  Jan 08, 2025 211   UNC Asheville W 74-69 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 163   @ Winthrop L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 15, 2025 125   High Point L 74-75 50%    
  Jan 22, 2025 254   @ Radford W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 25, 2025 316   South Carolina Upstate W 78-67 84%    
  Jan 29, 2025 217   @ Gardner-Webb L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 303   @ Charleston Southern W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 254   Radford W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 12, 2025 125   @ High Point L 72-78 31%    
  Feb 15, 2025 264   Presbyterian W 77-69 75%    
  Feb 19, 2025 217   Gardner-Webb W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 22, 2025 211   @ UNC Asheville L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 26, 2025 163   Winthrop W 70-67 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 316   @ South Carolina Upstate W 75-70 67%    
Projected Record 17 - 9 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.1 6.2 4.9 2.3 0.6 21.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 4.2 7.1 5.3 2.0 0.3 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.7 7.3 3.3 0.7 0.0 16.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.3 5.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.5 1.4 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.5 1.2 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.1 0.8 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.8 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 3.8 5.8 8.7 10.9 12.5 14.1 12.9 11.1 8.2 5.2 2.3 0.6 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
15-1 100.0% 2.3    2.3 0.1
14-2 94.8% 4.9    4.2 0.7
13-3 75.8% 6.2    4.3 1.8 0.1
12-4 45.8% 5.1    2.4 2.2 0.5 0.0
11-5 17.6% 2.3    0.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 21.9% 21.9 14.3 5.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.6% 57.9% 54.7% 3.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 7.0%
15-1 2.3% 54.2% 53.9% 0.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.1 0.6%
14-2 5.2% 43.9% 43.9% 12.9 0.0 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 2.9
13-3 8.2% 34.4% 34.4% 13.4 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.4
12-4 11.1% 27.0% 27.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.0 8.1
11-5 12.9% 21.0% 21.0% 14.3 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.1 10.2
10-6 14.1% 14.8% 14.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.3 12.0
9-7 12.5% 11.7% 11.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 11.0
8-8 10.9% 7.9% 7.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 10.0
7-9 8.7% 5.2% 5.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.2
6-10 5.8% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.6
5-11 3.8% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.7
4-12 2.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-13 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.6% 17.6% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.3 5.1 4.2 1.7 82.4 0.0%