Longwood
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#212
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace71.4#102
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#185
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#233
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 15.4% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.2 14.2
.500 or above 63.1% 87.0% 60.6%
.500 or above in Conference 65.2% 81.5% 63.6%
Conference Champion 8.9% 16.8% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 1.4% 4.6%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
First Round8.7% 15.2% 8.0%
Second Round0.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 9.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 32 - 43 - 8
Quad 413 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2025 64   @ Pittsburgh L 66-80 9%    
  Nov 12, 2025 138   James Madison L 71-72 47%    
  Nov 15, 2025 338   Binghamton W 76-65 84%    
  Nov 18, 2025 353   Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-62 87%    
  Nov 23, 2025 255   @ Columbia L 78-79 48%    
  Nov 28, 2025 185   Siena L 72-73 47%    
  Nov 29, 2025 299   Maine W 71-66 66%    
  Nov 30, 2025 292   @ American W 73-72 55%    
  Dec 06, 2025 356   @ Morgan St. W 81-73 75%    
  Dec 13, 2025 339   Delaware St. W 82-71 82%    
  Dec 17, 2025 67   @ Wake Forest L 66-80 11%    
  Dec 20, 2025 335   @ NC Central W 76-71 65%    
  Dec 31, 2025 153   Winthrop W 80-79 51%    
  Jan 03, 2026 88   @ High Point L 69-80 17%    
  Jan 07, 2026 179   @ UNC Asheville L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 10, 2026 308   Presbyterian W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 17, 2026 160   @ Radford L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 21, 2026 318   Gardner-Webb W 79-70 78%    
  Jan 24, 2026 320   Charleston Southern W 78-69 78%    
  Jan 29, 2026 330   @ South Carolina Upstate W 82-78 63%    
  Jan 31, 2026 88   High Point L 72-77 33%    
  Feb 04, 2026 318   @ Gardner-Webb W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 07, 2026 153   @ Winthrop L 77-83 32%    
  Feb 12, 2026 179   UNC Asheville W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 14, 2026 330   South Carolina Upstate W 85-75 80%    
  Feb 19, 2026 308   @ Presbyterian W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 21, 2026 320   @ Charleston Southern W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 28, 2026 160   Radford W 71-70 52%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.9 2.3 1.0 0.3 8.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.8 4.8 2.2 0.4 14.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 4.2 7.0 4.4 1.0 0.1 17.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 5.8 6.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 18.1 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 6.1 5.2 1.7 0.2 16.2 5th
6th 0.4 2.4 4.8 2.9 0.6 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 3.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 2.2 9th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.3 4.2 6.3 9.2 11.2 12.7 12.9 12.7 10.2 7.7 5.1 2.7 1.0 0.3 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
14-2 85.2% 2.3    1.8 0.6 0.0
13-3 56.3% 2.9    1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 24.1% 1.8    0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0
11-5 5.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.9% 8.9 5.0 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 57.4% 55.6% 1.9% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4.2%
15-1 1.0% 46.8% 46.8% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-2 2.7% 34.1% 34.1% 12.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.8
13-3 5.1% 25.9% 25.9% 13.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.8
12-4 7.7% 20.2% 20.2% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 6.1
11-5 10.2% 15.0% 15.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 8.7
10-6 12.7% 9.0% 9.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 11.6
9-7 12.9% 5.9% 5.9% 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 12.1
8-8 12.7% 3.9% 3.9% 17.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 12.2
7-9 11.2% 2.0% 2.0% 17.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 11.0
6-10 9.2% 1.2% 1.2% 17.5 0.1 9.1
5-11 6.3% 0.7% 0.7% 19.4 0.0 0.1 6.3
4-12 4.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.1
3-13 2.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-14 1.2% 1.2
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.8% 8.7% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 2.2 2.0 1.6 91.3 0.0%