South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#274
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#239
Pace72.7#105
Improvement+1.2#99

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#290
First Shot-3.7#278
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#225
Layup/Dunks-0.4#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#305
Freethrows-0.1#188
Improvement-0.3#205

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#214
First Shot+0.9#139
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#313
Layups/Dunks-2.7#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#67
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#86
Freethrows-0.6#229
Improvement+1.5#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 6.4% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 14.9 15.5
.500 or above 24.8% 55.7% 24.5%
.500 or above in Conference 45.3% 61.2% 45.1%
Conference Champion 1.8% 4.1% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 3.5% 5.4%
First Four1.1% 1.2% 1.1%
First Round2.5% 5.5% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 1.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 410 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 131 @California Baptist L 75-87 15%     0 - 1 -7.0 +4.3 -11.2
  Wed, Nov 5 183 @Fresno St. W 67-66 24%     1 - 1 +2.3 -4.5 +6.8
  Sat, Nov 15 109 @UNC Wilmington L 60-73 12%     1 - 2 -6.1 -2.4 -5.6
  Wed, Nov 19 271 Tennessee Tech L 84-88 61%     1 - 3 -12.7 -0.1 -12.3
  Fri, Nov 21 318 @West Georgia L 64-72 50%     1 - 4 -13.9 -12.2 -1.6
  Tue, Nov 25 350 NC Central W 82-67 82%     2 - 4 -0.5 +5.2 -5.4
  Sat, Nov 29 48 @Nebraska L 63-72 4%     2 - 5 +4.8 -5.0 +9.9
  Wed, Dec 3 235 Coastal Carolina W 85-78 OT 55%     3 - 5 -0.3 -0.2 -1.0
  Sat, Dec 6 289 Western Carolina W 78-67 66%     4 - 5 +0.8 -0.6 +1.1
  Sat, Dec 13 22 @North Carolina L 65-89 1%    
  Tue, Dec 16 349 @South Carolina St. W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Dec 20 162 @Youngstown St. L 68-76 22%    
  Wed, Dec 31 288 Radford W 81-77 65%    
  Sat, Jan 3 262 @Presbyterian L 65-68 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 118 Winthrop L 76-82 29%    
  Wed, Jan 14 285 @Charleston Southern L 74-76 42%    
  Sat, Jan 17 97 @High Point L 73-87 10%    
  Wed, Jan 21 203 UNC Asheville L 74-75 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 359 @Gardner-Webb W 80-75 69%    
  Thu, Jan 29 287 Longwood W 78-74 65%    
  Wed, Feb 4 203 @UNC Asheville L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Feb 7 285 Charleston Southern W 77-73 64%    
  Thu, Feb 12 97 High Point L 76-84 23%    
  Sat, Feb 14 287 @Longwood L 75-77 43%    
  Thu, Feb 19 118 @Winthrop L 73-85 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 262 Presbyterian W 68-65 59%    
  Thu, Feb 26 288 @Radford L 78-80 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 359 Gardner-Webb W 83-72 84%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 4.9 5.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 15.2 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 7.5 6.2 1.7 0.1 0.0 19.0 4th
5th 0.3 3.5 8.0 5.0 1.0 0.1 18.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.4 7.3 4.3 0.7 0.0 16.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.0 3.0 0.4 13.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.6 7.5 11.5 14.3 16.1 15.0 12.5 9.0 5.1 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 88.6% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-3 54.7% 0.5    0.3 0.3 0.0
12-4 23.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 20.8% 20.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.3% 19.0% 19.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 1.0% 19.3% 19.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
12-4 2.5% 11.7% 11.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.2
11-5 5.1% 8.5% 8.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 4.6
10-6 9.0% 6.0% 6.0% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 8.4
9-7 12.5% 3.9% 3.9% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.0
8-8 15.0% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 14.6
7-9 16.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 15.9
6-10 14.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 14.1
5-11 11.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.4
4-12 7.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.4
3-13 3.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-14 1.4% 1.4
1-15 0.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 97.0 0.0%