Gardner-Webb
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.2#359
Expected Predictive Rating-15.3#348
Pace76.6#37
Improvement+0.2#175

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#346
First Shot-5.7#327
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#265
Layup/Dunks-2.0#244
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#166
Freethrows-1.3#255
Improvement+0.9#107

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#353
First Shot-6.8#357
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#212
Layups/Dunks-4.8#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#349
Freethrows+3.0#29
Improvement-0.7#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 76.1% 71.4% 77.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 27.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 30 - 70 - 14
Quad 43 - 103 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 102 @Minnesota L 60-87 3%     0 - 1 -19.1 -10.6 -7.7
  Fri, Nov 7 33 @Clemson L 59-97 1%     0 - 2 -21.7 -6.4 -15.3
  Sat, Nov 15 184 @Elon L 84-95 8%     0 - 3 -9.7 +1.9 -10.8
  Tue, Nov 18 134 @DePaul L 62-93 5%     0 - 4 -26.2 -14.9 -7.6
  Sat, Nov 22 105 @Richmond L 67-102 3%     0 - 5 -27.6 -6.9 -18.4
  Wed, Nov 26 197 Navy L 51-84 14%     0 - 6 -35.3 -19.5 -17.5
  Fri, Nov 28 246 SE Louisiana L 68-76 19%     0 - 7 -12.7 -5.5 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 29 109 @UNC Wilmington L 62-88 4%     0 - 8 -19.1 -8.0 -11.4
  Wed, Dec 3 196 @Queens L 74-107 9%     0 - 9 -32.3 -5.9 -24.9
  Sat, Dec 6 232 Georgia Southern L 84-88 25%     0 - 10 -11.1 +1.6 -12.4
  Mon, Dec 15 247 Wofford L 74-80 27%    
  Sun, Dec 21 17 @Tennessee L 59-92 0.1%   
  Sat, Jan 3 118 @Winthrop L 73-93 3%    
  Wed, Jan 7 97 @High Point L 72-94 2%    
  Wed, Jan 14 288 Radford L 81-85 35%    
  Sat, Jan 17 262 Presbyterian L 67-73 30%    
  Wed, Jan 21 287 @Longwood L 74-84 18%    
  Sat, Jan 24 274 South Carolina Upstate L 75-80 31%    
  Thu, Jan 29 203 @UNC Asheville L 70-85 9%    
  Wed, Feb 4 287 Longwood L 77-81 36%    
  Sat, Feb 7 262 @Presbyterian L 64-76 15%    
  Thu, Feb 12 118 Winthrop L 76-90 10%    
  Sat, Feb 14 97 @High Point L 72-94 2%    
  Thu, Feb 19 288 @Radford L 78-88 18%    
  Thu, Feb 26 203 UNC Asheville L 73-82 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 274 @South Carolina Upstate L 72-83 16%    
Projected Record 3 - 23 2 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 4.5 9.1 6.9 1.3 0.0 22.8 8th
9th 9.9 20.3 19.3 10.0 2.1 0.1 61.6 9th
Total 9.9 21.3 23.9 20.2 13.2 6.8 3.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0% 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.1
8-8 0.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4
7-9 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.0
6-10 3.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.0
5-11 6.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.8
4-12 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
3-13 20.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.2
2-14 23.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.9
1-15 21.3% 21.3
0-16 9.9% 9.9
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.4%