Gardner-Webb
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#239
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#229
Pace72.5#82
Improvement-2.1#275

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#225
First Shot-0.6#194
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#265
Layup/Dunks+3.4#68
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#278
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#271
Freethrows+0.6#134
Improvement-1.1#253

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#252
First Shot-2.1#244
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#223
Layups/Dunks-1.9#258
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#109
Freethrows-1.5#282
Improvement-1.0#236
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.8% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 16.9% 26.1% 7.9%
.500 or above in Conference 50.0% 66.7% 33.9%
Conference Champion 2.5% 4.4% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.3% 5.1%
First Four2.1% 2.0% 2.2%
First Round3.8% 4.9% 2.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Home) - 49.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 64 - 10
Quad 49 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 8   @ Tennessee L 64-80 2%     0 - 1 +5.5 +5.7 -0.8
  Nov 08, 2024 306   @ NC Central W 88-82 53%     1 - 1 +0.8 +7.6 -7.1
  Nov 11, 2024 40   @ Pittsburgh L 64-83 5%     1 - 2 -4.5 -6.0 +2.4
  Nov 15, 2024 158   Elon W 80-79 42%     2 - 2 -1.4 +9.9 -11.3
  Nov 19, 2024 224   @ Charlotte L 54-60 37%     2 - 3 -6.9 -14.9 +7.4
  Nov 26, 2024 220   SE Louisiana W 73-69 46%     3 - 3 +0.7 -2.3 +2.8
  Nov 27, 2024 255   Bethune-Cookman W 79-64 54%     4 - 3 +9.7 +3.0 +5.7
  Nov 29, 2024 139   @ Belmont L 74-83 21%     4 - 4 -4.7 -4.2 +0.2
  Dec 04, 2024 130   @ Wofford L 64-88 20%     4 - 5 -19.3 -5.2 -15.6
  Dec 07, 2024 306   NC Central L 77-78 73%     4 - 6 -11.7 -3.9 -7.8
  Dec 14, 2024 210   Queens L 83-85 53%     4 - 7 -7.2 +8.8 -16.1
  Dec 17, 2024 272   @ Georgia Southern L 81-86 47%     4 - 8 -8.5 +0.5 -8.7
  Dec 21, 2024 164   @ East Carolina W 84-79 24%     5 - 8 +7.9 +11.0 -3.3
  Jan 02, 2025 279   @ Charleston Southern L 63-72 48%     5 - 9 0 - 1 -12.9 -13.7 +1.2
  Jan 04, 2025 273   Presbyterian W 63-61 68%     6 - 9 1 - 1 -7.1 -9.5 +2.5
  Jan 08, 2025 197   Winthrop W 89-83 50%     7 - 9 2 - 1 +1.6 +10.0 -8.5
  Jan 11, 2025 105   @ High Point L 55-96 16%     7 - 10 2 - 2 -34.6 -21.1 -12.4
  Jan 15, 2025 204   @ Radford L 75-79 31%     7 - 11 2 - 3 -3.4 +4.5 -8.0
  Jan 18, 2025 338   South Carolina Upstate W 97-68 82%     8 - 11 3 - 3 +14.8 +11.3 +1.7
  Jan 22, 2025 187   UNC Asheville L 79-80 49%    
  Jan 29, 2025 199   Longwood W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 197   @ Winthrop L 79-84 30%    
  Feb 05, 2025 187   @ UNC Asheville L 77-83 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 279   Charleston Southern W 77-72 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 338   @ South Carolina Upstate W 82-78 65%    
  Feb 19, 2025 199   @ Longwood L 73-78 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 105   High Point L 77-82 31%    
  Feb 26, 2025 204   Radford W 72-71 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 273   @ Presbyterian L 72-73 46%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.4 1.3 0.7 0.1 2.5 1st
2nd 0.9 3.3 1.8 0.2 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 5.5 4.1 0.3 10.7 3rd
4th 0.8 6.6 7.5 0.7 15.6 4th
5th 0.5 6.4 10.3 1.9 0.0 19.2 5th
6th 0.7 6.5 11.6 3.4 0.1 22.3 6th
7th 0.6 4.5 8.0 3.0 0.1 16.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 3.3 1.3 0.1 6.7 8th
9th 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 9th
Total 0.4 2.9 8.5 16.2 21.9 21.2 15.9 8.5 3.4 0.8 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-4 82.1% 0.7    0.3 0.4 0.0
11-5 37.9% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1
10-6 4.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.8% 16.7% 16.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7
11-5 3.4% 10.5% 10.5% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 3.1
10-6 8.5% 10.6% 10.6% 15.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 7.6
9-7 15.9% 5.9% 5.9% 15.5 0.4 0.5 15.0
8-8 21.2% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1 20.1
7-9 21.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.7 21.2
6-10 16.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.4 15.9
5-11 8.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.4
4-12 2.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-13 0.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 95.3 0.0%