Gardner-Webb
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#217
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#106
Pace72.5#98
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#208
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#218
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 9.6% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 44.3% 51.5% 26.8%
.500 or above in Conference 58.6% 62.7% 48.7%
Conference Champion 9.2% 10.7% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 6.8% 11.7%
First Four1.2% 1.0% 1.7%
First Round8.1% 9.2% 5.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Elon (Home) - 70.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 11
Quad 411 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 9   @ Tennessee L 64-80 3%     0 - 1 +3.8 +4.6 -1.4
  Nov 08, 2024 283   @ NC Central W 88-82 51%     1 - 1 +2.7 +8.6 -6.2
  Nov 11, 2024 35   @ Pittsburgh L 64-83 6%     1 - 2 -4.7 -5.0 +1.1
  Nov 15, 2024 272   Elon W 77-71 71%    
  Nov 19, 2024 133   @ Charlotte L 65-73 24%    
  Nov 26, 2024 276   SE Louisiana W 73-70 61%    
  Nov 29, 2024 151   @ Belmont L 74-81 27%    
  Dec 04, 2024 178   @ Wofford L 69-74 32%    
  Dec 07, 2024 283   NC Central W 76-70 72%    
  Dec 14, 2024 297   Queens W 82-75 74%    
  Dec 17, 2024 197   @ Georgia Southern L 76-80 36%    
  Dec 21, 2024 154   @ East Carolina L 67-74 27%    
  Jan 02, 2025 303   @ Charleston Southern W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 264   Presbyterian W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 08, 2025 163   Winthrop L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 125   @ High Point L 73-82 22%    
  Jan 15, 2025 254   @ Radford L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 316   South Carolina Upstate W 80-71 77%    
  Jan 22, 2025 211   UNC Asheville W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 29, 2025 167   Longwood W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 163   @ Winthrop L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 05, 2025 211   @ UNC Asheville L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 08, 2025 303   Charleston Southern W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 316   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 19, 2025 167   @ Longwood L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 125   High Point L 76-79 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 254   Radford W 76-71 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 264   @ Presbyterian L 75-76 47%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.8 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 9.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.9 2.8 0.8 0.1 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.5 5.8 2.5 0.4 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.4 6.3 1.9 0.2 14.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 5.4 5.9 1.6 0.1 14.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.7 5.4 1.4 0.1 12.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.8 4.2 1.1 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.8 2.6 0.6 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.8 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.8 5.2 7.9 10.7 12.9 13.6 13.1 11.4 9.0 5.9 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 94.6% 1.5    1.3 0.2
13-3 75.5% 2.5    1.7 0.8 0.1
12-4 46.3% 2.8    1.3 1.2 0.3 0.0
11-5 16.5% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1
10-6 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.2% 9.2 5.2 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 52.9% 52.9% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.5% 46.5% 46.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.6% 34.8% 34.8% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-3 3.4% 26.9% 26.9% 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5
12-4 5.9% 23.4% 23.4% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 4.6
11-5 9.0% 16.5% 16.5% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 7.5
10-6 11.4% 11.2% 11.2% 14.8 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 10.1
9-7 13.1% 7.6% 7.6% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 12.1
8-8 13.6% 5.7% 5.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 12.9
7-9 12.9% 4.4% 4.4% 15.8 0.1 0.5 12.4
6-10 10.7% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.4
5-11 7.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.8
4-12 5.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.1
3-13 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
2-14 1.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.3
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.2 2.7 2.1 91.4 0.0%