UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#182
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#183
Pace68.9#180
Improvement+2.1#57

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#152
First Shot-2.9#257
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#25
Layup/Dunks-2.2#261
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#286
Freethrows-1.2#252
Improvement+0.8#119

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#216
First Shot-1.5#219
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#189
Layups/Dunks-2.0#252
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#70
Freethrows-1.6#290
Improvement+1.3#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.5% 18.6% 13.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 70.5% 79.3% 57.7%
.500 or above in Conference 78.2% 81.8% 73.0%
Conference Champion 21.7% 24.7% 17.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 2.2% 3.6%
First Four1.1% 0.7% 1.6%
First Round16.1% 18.3% 12.8%
Second Round0.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 59.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 54 - 8
Quad 411 - 416 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 7   @ Alabama L 54-110 3%     0 - 1 -34.5 -14.0 -17.4
  Nov 09, 2024 161   @ Ohio L 76-82 35%     0 - 2 -3.1 -0.2 -2.7
  Nov 18, 2024 167   @ North Florida W 89-75 37%     1 - 2 +16.5 +16.6 +0.4
  Nov 22, 2024 297   Southeast Missouri St. W 72-64 72%     2 - 2 +0.8 -0.6 +1.5
  Nov 24, 2024 342   @ Central Arkansas L 83-92 2OT 76%     2 - 3 -17.3 -5.2 -10.8
  Dec 01, 2024 321   @ Tennessee St. W 92-74 69%     3 - 3 +11.9 +13.2 -1.9
  Dec 03, 2024 83   @ George Mason L 52-74 16%     3 - 4 -12.4 -10.6 -3.3
  Dec 14, 2024 308   Western Carolina W 78-61 82%     4 - 4 +6.0 +0.5 +5.1
  Dec 17, 2024 167   North Florida W 82-80 59%    
  Dec 21, 2024 142   @ UNC Wilmington L 71-76 32%    
  Jan 04, 2025 134   High Point W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 08, 2025 220   @ Longwood L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 11, 2025 250   @ Presbyterian W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 15, 2025 334   South Carolina Upstate W 84-72 87%    
  Jan 18, 2025 181   Winthrop W 80-77 61%    
  Jan 22, 2025 240   @ Gardner-Webb W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 25, 2025 299   @ Charleston Southern W 75-72 62%    
  Jan 29, 2025 202   Radford W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 05, 2025 240   Gardner-Webb W 78-72 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 134   @ High Point L 72-77 31%    
  Feb 12, 2025 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 81-75 72%    
  Feb 15, 2025 299   Charleston Southern W 78-69 80%    
  Feb 19, 2025 202   @ Radford L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 220   Longwood W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 26, 2025 250   Presbyterian W 76-69 73%    
  Mar 01, 2025 181   @ Winthrop L 77-80 40%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.6 6.5 6.0 3.4 1.2 0.2 21.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 5.6 7.4 3.9 0.9 0.1 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 5.5 7.2 2.4 0.2 16.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.5 6.5 1.8 0.1 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.5 1.6 0.1 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.2 1.4 0.1 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.9 1.2 0.1 6.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.6 0.1 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.5 6.3 9.3 12.3 14.6 15.4 13.5 10.6 6.9 3.5 1.2 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 1.2    1.2 0.0
14-2 98.3% 3.4    3.2 0.3
13-3 86.3% 6.0    4.7 1.3 0.0 0.0
12-4 60.9% 6.5    3.4 2.6 0.5 0.0
11-5 26.7% 3.6    0.9 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0
10-6 4.7% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 21.7% 21.7 13.6 6.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 44.9% 44.9% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.2% 46.5% 46.5% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-2 3.5% 40.9% 40.9% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 2.1
13-3 6.9% 31.7% 31.7% 13.7 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.3 4.7
12-4 10.6% 27.2% 27.2% 14.0 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.8 0.0 7.7
11-5 13.5% 21.7% 21.7% 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.3 0.2 10.6
10-6 15.4% 16.2% 16.2% 14.9 0.1 0.6 1.5 0.4 12.9
9-7 14.6% 12.3% 12.3% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.5 12.8
8-8 12.3% 9.2% 9.2% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 11.1
7-9 9.3% 6.0% 6.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 8.8
6-10 6.3% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.0
5-11 3.5% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 3.4
4-12 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-13 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-14 0.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.5% 16.5% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.7 2.6 5.1 5.6 2.5 83.5 0.0%