UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#211
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#279
Pace69.2#184
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#179
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#248
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.6% 13.0% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.3 14.9
.500 or above 42.7% 62.7% 35.9%
.500 or above in Conference 60.4% 71.0% 56.8%
Conference Champion 10.7% 15.8% 9.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 4.7% 9.5%
First Four1.7% 1.3% 1.9%
First Round8.9% 12.4% 7.7%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Away) - 25.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 63 - 10
Quad 410 - 513 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 7   @ Alabama L 54-110 2%     0 - 1 -35.2 -13.5 -18.6
  Nov 09, 2024 158   @ Ohio L 76-82 27%     0 - 2 -2.5 -1.3 -0.9
  Nov 18, 2024 140   @ North Florida L 75-82 26%    
  Nov 22, 2024 321   Southeast Missouri St. W 77-71 72%    
  Nov 24, 2024 346   @ Central Arkansas W 77-71 73%    
  Dec 01, 2024 306   @ Tennessee St. W 75-73 56%    
  Dec 03, 2024 95   @ George Mason L 66-77 16%    
  Dec 14, 2024 263   Western Carolina W 72-67 69%    
  Dec 17, 2024 140   North Florida L 78-79 47%    
  Dec 21, 2024 156   @ UNC Wilmington L 70-76 29%    
  Jan 04, 2025 125   High Point L 76-79 42%    
  Jan 08, 2025 167   @ Longwood L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 11, 2025 264   @ Presbyterian L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 15, 2025 316   South Carolina Upstate W 79-70 78%    
  Jan 18, 2025 163   Winthrop W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 22, 2025 217   @ Gardner-Webb L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 303   @ Charleston Southern W 74-72 55%    
  Jan 29, 2025 254   Radford W 75-70 66%    
  Feb 05, 2025 217   Gardner-Webb W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 08, 2025 125   @ High Point L 73-82 23%    
  Feb 12, 2025 316   @ South Carolina Upstate W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 15, 2025 303   Charleston Southern W 77-69 74%    
  Feb 19, 2025 254   @ Radford L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 167   Longwood W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 26, 2025 264   Presbyterian W 78-73 68%    
  Mar 01, 2025 163   @ Winthrop L 68-74 32%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.7 2.9 3.0 2.0 0.7 0.2 10.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.0 3.1 0.9 0.1 13.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.5 5.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.2 6.1 2.0 0.2 14.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 5.1 5.8 1.6 0.1 13.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.5 5.0 1.3 0.1 11.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.7 3.7 1.0 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 2.8 0.7 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.8 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.8 4.8 7.8 10.0 12.2 13.2 12.9 11.7 9.3 6.5 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
14-2 95.9% 2.0    1.7 0.3
13-3 76.5% 3.0    2.1 0.8 0.1
12-4 45.2% 2.9    1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0
11-5 17.8% 1.7    0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.7% 10.7 6.4 3.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 51.1% 51.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.7% 48.3% 48.3% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-2 2.0% 34.2% 34.2% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
13-3 4.0% 30.2% 30.2% 13.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.8
12-4 6.5% 23.0% 23.0% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 5.0
11-5 9.3% 17.6% 17.6% 14.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 7.7
10-6 11.7% 12.5% 12.5% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 10.2
9-7 12.9% 8.5% 8.5% 15.5 0.1 0.4 0.6 11.8
8-8 13.2% 5.7% 5.7% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 12.4
7-9 12.2% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 11.7
6-10 10.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 9.7
5-11 7.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.7
4-12 4.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-13 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
2-14 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.2 2.9 2.9 90.4 0.0%